Military conflict in the Middle East. Rising gas prices. A Federal Reserve already on hold. This episode connects the dots between the U.S.-Israel attack on Iran, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and what it means for inflation, interest rates, and your household budget. Mattie explains why the real story isn't Iranian oil — it's insurance markets, Asian supply chains, and a Fed caught between inflationary and disinflationary pressure at the worst possible moment.

A special message from Mattie: Thank you to all the brave men and women serving in the armed forces, particularly during times of conflict. Below are charities supporting military & veteran causes that I have personally supported. I am sharing in case listeners feel moved to do the same.

• Travis Manion Foundation
• Best Defense Foundation
• Boulder Crest Foundation

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