The Overlook

What Will Iran Do Next?


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Trump has reinstated his Maximum Pressure policy toward Iran. However, the region looks drastically different than it did four years ago.

Calculations and considerations are complicated by Israel’s war in Gaza, regime change in Syria, and the weakening of Hezbollah in Lebanon. 

Dominique is joined by Philos Senior Research Fellow Farhad Rezaei to discuss Iran’s next move under a Trump administration. 

Watch this episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/jM3eEIAQWkM 

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Link to executive order fact sheet: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-restores-maximum-pressure-on-iran/   

📖 Episode Chapters:

00:00 Introduction

02:32 U.S. Policy Shifts on Iran Under Biden and Trump

05:33 Iran's Cybersecurity Threats and Regional Influence

08:35 Iran's Nuclear Capabilities and Diplomatic Tensions

11:24 Mixed Signals in U.S.-Iran Negotiations

14:27 Failed Nuclear Deal and Prisoner Exchange with Iran

16:57 Impact of Iran's Weakening on Abraham Accords

20:05 Saudi Arabia's Security Concerns with Iran

22:57 Maximum Pressure on the Iranian Regime

...more
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The OverlookBy Dominique Hoffman