Purpose Driven Finances – September 20, 2025

What’s My Number? — Investment Planning Edition

Segment 1: Let’s Talk the Portfolio

Theme: The Fed, Interest Rates, and the Quad 2 Outlook for Q4 2025

Allan opened the show with an update on Federal Reserve policy and what investors should expect heading into the final quarter of 2025. Current rate levels remain restrictive, but the Fed’s tone has shifted toward caution — signaling potential adjustments if growth or employment begins to slow.

Allan explained that interest rate policy directly shapes the performance of stocks, bonds, and real estate, emphasizing how critical it is for investors to stay aware of the economic backdrop rather than guessing market moves.

He then introduced the Quad 2 framework — periods of rising growth and rising inflation — noting that historically, this environment favors equities, cyclical sectors, and commodities, while long bonds and defensive assets tend to lag.

“This isn’t about predicting every tick of the market. It’s about knowing the environment you’re in — and positioning accordingly.”

Key discussion points included:

• What exactly defines Quad 2 in plain English.
• Whether Fed policy risks pushing the economy out of Quad 2.
• Why understanding this framework helps everyday investors make smarter, more disciplined decisions.

Segment 2: What’s My Number — Investment Planning Edition

Allan transitioned from macro strategy to personal planning, explaining how every investor needs to know their investment number — the set of figures that define a portfolio’s purpose, risk, and sustainability.

Why You Need an Investment Number

• Avoid blind risk-taking or emotional investing.
• Balance growth goals with your real risk tolerance.
• Tie your investments to your purpose, not just performance.

The Numbers That Matter

• Rate of Return Number: The average return needed to meet your financial goals.
• Risk Number: The level of potential loss you can realistically handle in a down year.
• Asset Allocation Number: The right mix of stocks, bonds, alternatives, and cash for your goals.
• Savings Number: How much you must contribute annually to stay on track.
• Withdrawal Number: A sustainable retirement draw rate — typically near 4%, adjusted to personal needs.

How to Discover Your Investment Number

1. Start with life and retirement goals.
2. Work backward to determine return needs and acceptable risk.
3. Use planning tools and stress-testing simulations to confirm sustainability.

Practical Investing Applications

• Rebalance Regularly: Keep allocations aligned with your plan.
• Stay Flexible: Adjust if market conditions or Quad cycles change.
• Maintain Discipline: Don’t chase headlines — stick to your purpose and your plan.

“Most investors fail not because of bad markets, but because they abandon their plan. Knowing your number helps you stay anchored through the noise.”

Every investment strategy needs structure — and that starts with knowing your numbers.

At Servus Capital Management, Allan and his team help clients:

• Define their return and risk numbers
• Align investments with personal purpose
• Adjust portfolios proactively through each economic cycle

📞 Contact Servus Capital Management at 434-316-0246 or visit www.ServusCM.com

Live with Purpose. Plan with Clarity.