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The future has never been precisely predictable. And yes, in this fast and complex world today even less than ever before. But three things remain. First, every important decision is based on assumptions about the future. Whoever makes a decision is determined by an orientation. And thus has assumptions about the future, whether consciously or unconsciously, intentionally or unintentionally. There is no other way. If assumptions arise simply out of emotion and intuition, then they can also be improved. There are no perfect assumptions, because that would be like trying to predict. But there are bad and good future assumptions. At least the decision maker can have more and more solid knowledge about how his environment might change and what might surprise him. Second, more than ever, people are longing for orientation, meaning and vision. Especially when the environment is so unimaginably complex and changes breathtakingly fast, a clear mission and vision can bring a good deal more peace and clarity into life and work. Above all, managers must have a vision of the future to which they can lead their team. Effective leadership cannot be achieved without vision. And third: Most of the ideas, technologies and solutions that will determine our future are already there today. Those who want to recognize opportunities for new markets and professions only have to look around in the here and now to see much of the future. And if you want to discover threats to your company or profession today, you have to do exactly the same.
The future has never been precisely predictable. And yes, in this fast and complex world today even less than ever before. But three things remain. First, every important decision is based on assumptions about the future. Whoever makes a decision is determined by an orientation. And thus has assumptions about the future, whether consciously or unconsciously, intentionally or unintentionally. There is no other way. If assumptions arise simply out of emotion and intuition, then they can also be improved. There are no perfect assumptions, because that would be like trying to predict. But there are bad and good future assumptions. At least the decision maker can have more and more solid knowledge about how his environment might change and what might surprise him. Second, more than ever, people are longing for orientation, meaning and vision. Especially when the environment is so unimaginably complex and changes breathtakingly fast, a clear mission and vision can bring a good deal more peace and clarity into life and work. Above all, managers must have a vision of the future to which they can lead their team. Effective leadership cannot be achieved without vision. And third: Most of the ideas, technologies and solutions that will determine our future are already there today. Those who want to recognize opportunities for new markets and professions only have to look around in the here and now to see much of the future. And if you want to discover threats to your company or profession today, you have to do exactly the same.