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In this episode we will talk about Planning Fallacy and how it affects our plans. Hopefully, this knowledge will help you become more aware of the existence of psychological factors, take control of your life more effectively, and avoid the troubles that cause unnecessary stress.
Reference:
- Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos (1977). Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures. Decision Research Technical Report PTR-1042-77-6.
- Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Judgment under Uncertainty.
- Lovallo, Dan; Kahneman, Daniel (July 2003). "Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions". Harvard Business Review.
- Koole, S., & Van’t Spijker, M. (2000). Overcoming the planning fallacy through willpower: Effects of implementation intentions on actual and predicted task-completion times. European Journal of Social Psychology
- Sherif, Muzafer; Taub, Daniel; Hovland, Carl I. (1958). "Assimilation and contrast effects of anchoring stimuli on judgments". Journal of Experimental Psychology
- Forsyth, D. K., & Burt, C. D. (2008). Allocating time to future tasks: The effect of task segmentation on planning fallacy bias. Memory & Cognition
- Optimism bias. (2019, August 22). The Decision Lab. https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/optimism-bias/
By Son BuiIn this episode we will talk about Planning Fallacy and how it affects our plans. Hopefully, this knowledge will help you become more aware of the existence of psychological factors, take control of your life more effectively, and avoid the troubles that cause unnecessary stress.
Reference:
- Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos (1977). Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures. Decision Research Technical Report PTR-1042-77-6.
- Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Judgment under Uncertainty.
- Lovallo, Dan; Kahneman, Daniel (July 2003). "Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions". Harvard Business Review.
- Koole, S., & Van’t Spijker, M. (2000). Overcoming the planning fallacy through willpower: Effects of implementation intentions on actual and predicted task-completion times. European Journal of Social Psychology
- Sherif, Muzafer; Taub, Daniel; Hovland, Carl I. (1958). "Assimilation and contrast effects of anchoring stimuli on judgments". Journal of Experimental Psychology
- Forsyth, D. K., & Burt, C. D. (2008). Allocating time to future tasks: The effect of task segmentation on planning fallacy bias. Memory & Cognition
- Optimism bias. (2019, August 22). The Decision Lab. https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/optimism-bias/