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Why Your Five-Year Plan Is Obsolete: The Case for Emergent Strategy in a Complex World | Pete Compo
Why do sophisticated five-year plans so often fail the moment they hit real-world complexity? In this conversation, Pete Compo—author of The Emergent Approach to Strategy and former corporate director at DuPont—argues that traditional planning isn't just ineffective in today's world, it's actively dangerous.
Most leadership teams operate with LAMO tools (linear, anthropocentric, mechanistic, ordered) whilst the world demands VUCA fluency (volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous). The arrival of AI has made this mismatch impossible to ignore.
In this episode, Pete and Mark explore:
- Why five-year plans were never useful—but we can say with certainty they're useless today
- The LAMO trap: why we treat organisations like high-precision clocks when they behave like murmurations of starlings
- The five disqualifiers of flabby strategy: how to test whether you've got real strategy or just goals masquerading as one
- Nested strategy frameworks: cascading logic and interaction, not goals
- The central rule: a rigorous, simple rule designed to bust through your organisation's primary bottleneck
- Distal CEOs: empowering people at the edge to develop strategies based on simple rules
- Why cascading goals create silos: manufacturing optimises for efficiency, marketing for revenue—everyone hits their numbers whilst the organisation fails
- The four-station dashboard: foundational feedback, adherence, progress, and bottom line
- Why AI makes the emergent approach urgent: traditional planning is like flying a modern aircraft using steam-age instruments
Key Quote: "It's not somebody's job to just have a piece of the goal. It's everybody's job to have a strategy framework on how they're going to do their part of the whole."
About Pete Compo: Pete Compo is the author of The Emergent Approach to Strategy and a former corporate director at DuPont, where he spent decades witnessing firsthand why traditional strategy and planning often collapse the moment they hit real-world complexity. His work focuses on helping organisations develop strategy frameworks that actually function in complex, uncertain environments.
Resources mentioned:
- emergentapproach.com – free downloadable resources, examples, and task sets
- PeterCompo.com – Pete's personal website
- Pete Compo on LinkedIn – regular posts on strategy, complexity, and adaptive systems
Send your thoughts to Arkaro
Connect with Arkaro:
🔗 Follow us on LinkedIn:
Arkaro Company Page: https://www.linkedin.com/company/arkaro
Mark Blackwell: https://www.linkedin.com/in/markrblackwell/
Newsletter - Arkaro Insights: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/arkaro-insights-6924308904973631488/
🌐 Visit our website: www.arkaro.com
📺 Subscribe to our YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/@arkaro
Audio Podcast: https://arkaroinsights.buzzsprout.com
📧 For business enquiries: [email protected]
View all episodes
By Mark BlackwellWhy do sophisticated five-year plans so often fail the moment they hit real-world complexity? In this conversation, Pete Compo—author of The Emergent Approach to Strategy and former corporate director at DuPont—argues that traditional planning isn't just ineffective in today's world, it's actively dangerous.
Most leadership teams operate with LAMO tools (linear, anthropocentric, mechanistic, ordered) whilst the world demands VUCA fluency (volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous). The arrival of AI has made this mismatch impossible to ignore.
In this episode, Pete and Mark explore:
- Why five-year plans were never useful—but we can say with certainty they're useless today
- The LAMO trap: why we treat organisations like high-precision clocks when they behave like murmurations of starlings
- The five disqualifiers of flabby strategy: how to test whether you've got real strategy or just goals masquerading as one
- Nested strategy frameworks: cascading logic and interaction, not goals
- The central rule: a rigorous, simple rule designed to bust through your organisation's primary bottleneck
- Distal CEOs: empowering people at the edge to develop strategies based on simple rules
- Why cascading goals create silos: manufacturing optimises for efficiency, marketing for revenue—everyone hits their numbers whilst the organisation fails
- The four-station dashboard: foundational feedback, adherence, progress, and bottom line
- Why AI makes the emergent approach urgent: traditional planning is like flying a modern aircraft using steam-age instruments
Key Quote: "It's not somebody's job to just have a piece of the goal. It's everybody's job to have a strategy framework on how they're going to do their part of the whole."
About Pete Compo: Pete Compo is the author of The Emergent Approach to Strategy and a former corporate director at DuPont, where he spent decades witnessing firsthand why traditional strategy and planning often collapse the moment they hit real-world complexity. His work focuses on helping organisations develop strategy frameworks that actually function in complex, uncertain environments.
Resources mentioned:
- emergentapproach.com – free downloadable resources, examples, and task sets
- PeterCompo.com – Pete's personal website
- Pete Compo on LinkedIn – regular posts on strategy, complexity, and adaptive systems
Send your thoughts to Arkaro
Connect with Arkaro:
🔗 Follow us on LinkedIn:
Arkaro Company Page: https://www.linkedin.com/company/arkaro
Mark Blackwell: https://www.linkedin.com/in/markrblackwell/
Newsletter - Arkaro Insights: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/arkaro-insights-6924308904973631488/
🌐 Visit our website: www.arkaro.com
📺 Subscribe to our YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/@arkaro
Audio Podcast: https://arkaroinsights.buzzsprout.com
📧 For business enquiries: [email protected]