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For the week of April 7–11, 2025, equity markets posted a strong rebound across several regions and sectors (Table 1). Some of the best-performing indices included:
Equities recovered some of their steep recent losses, delivering solid performance for the week despite ongoing volatility and uncertainty.
On the other hand, some asset classes saw noticeable declines:
Rising interest rates, spurred by inflation concerns and potential imbalances in supply and demand of the US Treasuries, weighed heavily on fixed-income markets. There is also speculation that large holders of U.S. debt, such as China, may consider reducing their Treasury holdings, adding upward pressure on yields and driving prices lower.
One possible response by China to the imposed tariffs on their goods could involve selling a portion of its U.S. Treasury holdings. Currently, China holds approximately $760 billion in U.S. Treasuries (according to the Department of the Treasury). If China were to reduce its position, it could further drive yields higher. Such a move might prompt President Donald Trump to pause the collection of tariffs and potentially reopen trade negotiations between the two nations.
Of course, this remains speculative at this time.
Disclosures:
The analysis is based on historical data and future expectations that may not be correct. This paper was written as an opinion only. The data is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. Please consult with your financial advisor before making an investment decision. Neither ECNFIN.COM nor its author is responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
References:
China Holdings of US Treasury Securities. CEIC Data. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/china/holdings-of-us-treasury-securities/holdings-of-us-treasury-securities
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Enter your email address to follow ECNFIN.com and receive notifications of new articles by email for free. Be the first to read and do not miss future timely research publications.
For the week of April 7–11, 2025, equity markets posted a strong rebound across several regions and sectors (Table 1). Some of the best-performing indices included:
Equities recovered some of their steep recent losses, delivering solid performance for the week despite ongoing volatility and uncertainty.
On the other hand, some asset classes saw noticeable declines:
Rising interest rates, spurred by inflation concerns and potential imbalances in supply and demand of the US Treasuries, weighed heavily on fixed-income markets. There is also speculation that large holders of U.S. debt, such as China, may consider reducing their Treasury holdings, adding upward pressure on yields and driving prices lower.
One possible response by China to the imposed tariffs on their goods could involve selling a portion of its U.S. Treasury holdings. Currently, China holds approximately $760 billion in U.S. Treasuries (according to the Department of the Treasury). If China were to reduce its position, it could further drive yields higher. Such a move might prompt President Donald Trump to pause the collection of tariffs and potentially reopen trade negotiations between the two nations.
Of course, this remains speculative at this time.
Disclosures:
The analysis is based on historical data and future expectations that may not be correct. This paper was written as an opinion only. The data is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. Please consult with your financial advisor before making an investment decision. Neither ECNFIN.COM nor its author is responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
References:
China Holdings of US Treasury Securities. CEIC Data. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/china/holdings-of-us-treasury-securities/holdings-of-us-treasury-securities
Subscribe wherever you enjoy podcasts:
Our Mailing Address:
ECNFIN
1288 Kapiolani Blvd Apt 4003, Honolulu, HI 96814
Our Phone:
+1 720-593-1135
Our Fax:
+1 720-790-7606