RJ Bell's Dream Preview

WM Phoenix Open picks!

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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the WM Phoenix Open.


-Top 6 names on odds board -1 matchup -1 t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring

-Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

Recap of Pebble Beach Pro-Am (0:39 - 32:26)Rory McIlroy’s Dominance
  • McIlroy secured his 27th PGA Tour win with a commanding performance.
  • He finished 5-under on the final nine holes, with birdies at 10, 12, and 15, and a momentum-shifting eagle on the 14th.
  • Led the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and was top 10 in putting.
  • Averaged 336 yards per drive (leading the field), scaling back to irons strategically in the final round.
  • Will Doctor highlights McIlroy’s shift to a conservative approach in his final round, citing Jamie Kennedy (Golf Digest) for insightful questions on McIlroy's tactics.
    • Scottie Scheffler’s Performance
    • Finished T-9 despite high expectations.
    • Was above average in all statistical categories, with a final-round 67.
    • Second round (70) cost him ground, but overall solid performance.
      Tom Kim’s Near Miss
      • Finished T-7, cashing a top-10 ticket.
      • Struggled on par-5s, a key reason for missing a podium finish.
      • Big mistake: bogey on the par-5 6th, where he hit into the Pacific Ocean.
      • His slow play is a concern heading into Phoenix Open, especially with rowdy fans at TPC Scottsdale.

        WM Phoenix Open – Picks & PredictionsTop Contenders & Betting AnalysisScottie Scheffler (+305)
        • Back-to-back WM Phoenix Open winner (2022, 2023).
        • T-3 last year.
        • Improved putting over recent months.
        • Not betting outright but looking for a live number.
          Justin Thomas (15:1)
          • Driving accuracy concerns.
          • Has played well in Phoenix but struggles to win due to tee-shot inconsistencies.
          • Passing on JT outright.
            Hideki Matsuyama (17:1)
            • 2-time Phoenix Open winner (2016, 2017).
            • Struggled with driving accuracy in recent events.
            • Third consecutive tournament, raising fatigue concerns.
              Sungjae Im (22:1)
              • Has 2 top-10 finishes at Phoenix Open.
              • However, below-average iron play in 2 of last 3 starts.
              • Has not truly contended at this event.
                • Sam Burns (25:1)
                • Back-to-back top-10s at WM Phoenix Open.
                • Struggling with approach play in recent months.
                • Passing on Burns this week.
                  Tom Kim (33:1)
                  • Slow play may be an issue in a loud environment.
                  • T-17 last year, finished 11 shots back.
                  • Not enough value at 33:1, so passing on Kim.
                    • Best Bets & Sleeper PicksMatchup Bets
                    • Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106)
                    • Hoey: Great total driver & putter on overseeded greens.
                    • Lawrence: Poor driving accuracy & distance.
                    • Hoey should outperform Lawrence in these conditions.
                      • Top PicksKurt Kitayama
                      • Win: 66:1
                      • Top-20: +240
                      • Strengths: Elite driver, strong recent putting.
                      • Recent results at WM Phoenix Open:
                      • T-23 in 2023.
                      • T-8 in 2022.
                      • Why bet? Improved driving accuracy recently, well-rested after missing Farmers.
                        Gary Woodland (Sleeper Pick)
                        • Win: 115:1
                        • Top-20: +350
                        • Past Winner (2018).
                        • Ball-striking back to form with coach Randy Smith.
                        • Putting showed improvement at Pebble Beach.
                        • Low risk, high reward pick.
                          Daily Fantasy Picks (DraftKings & PGA Tour Lineup)DraftKings Lineup ($50K Budget)
                          1. Kurt Kitayama ($8.9K)
                          2. Luke Clanton ($8.3K)
                          3. Si Woo Kim ($8K)
                          4. Matt Fitzpatrick ($7.7K)
                          5. Charlie Hoffman ($7.2K)
                          6. Gary Woodland ($7.1K)
                            7. PGA Tour Fantasy Lineup
                            • Starters: Kitayama (Captain), Woodland, Clanton, Si Woo Kim.
                            • Bench: Hoffman, Fitzpatrick.
                              Final Predictions
                              • Winning Score: -18
                              • Best Bet: Kurt Kitayama Top-20 (+240)
                              • First-Round Leader Bet: Scottie Scheffler (Top-5 after Round 1) at +320.

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