2:50: In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, I discuss how the yield-curve inversion has drastically steepened once again. By end of market yesterday, the 10Y closed at only 1 bp above its all-time low yield on July 5, 2016. Meanwhile, the 3M dropped to 1.53%. 10 days ago, the 10Y-3M inversion was thin, only 2 bp. At close of market yesterday, it had widened to 15 bp. The odds of another cut are now sharply rising. See "Power of the Spread, Revisited" for further yield-curve analysis.&nbs...

Yield Curve Steepens, Corona Spreads, Finns Take Leave, Pundits Fear The Bern.

Exciting news for all listeners: Neil Howe's podcast is undergoing an exciting transformation and emerging with a brand-new name—"Trend Watch". From now on, all upcoming episodes will be exclusively available in full on Substack. But that's not all—Neil's new Substack newsletter launching August 21, 2023, will feature thought-provoking insights on demographic, economic, and generational trends. Stay informed, stay engaged, and stay ahead of the trends! &nbsp; Visit: www.demographyunplugged.com to subscribe. &nbsp; Neil Howe’s podcast is designed to help savvy investors and business leaders uncover hidden trends and critical developments driving world markets and economies. It’s like peering into the future. Discover the likely winners (and losers) of “big ideas” as renowned demographer Neil Howe – the guy who coined the term “Millennial” – distills game-changing new developments down to their essence. 
 Neil Howe is an acclaimed historian, economist, and demographer and the bestselling author (with William Strauss) of The Fourth Turning, the New York Times Bestselling follow-up book, The Fourth Turning is Here, as well as over a dozen books on demographic and social change. The nation’s leading thinker on today’s generations—who they are, what motivates them, and how they will shape America’s future—Howe is Managing Director of Demography at Hedgeye Risk Management, an independent financial research firm, as well as President of LifeCourse Associates, which serves hundreds of corporate, nonprofit, and government clients.

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In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we replay a recent interview I did with Chuck Todd, who invited me on his podcast “The Chuck ToddCast from Meet the Press.” We had a great conversation and discussed Millennials' and other generations' impact on politics. Trust me, this was a fun interview. **********The content featured here is a small part of Hedgeye’s Demography Unplugged, a game-changing market intelligence product brought to you by historian, demographer and best-selling au...

Generations in Politics: Interview with Chuck Todd

In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we devote most of our conversation to China's decennial census. The results were mysteriously delayed, which had many insiders suspecting a dreaded population dip. But recently released provisional data show a slight population increase to 1.41 billion people. Could this be? I go behind all the ins and outs of how China counts its population, and provide theories on what the "true" count may be. Bolsonaro on the defense. Brazil's Senate has opened an...

A Deep Dive into China's Census

In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we pay tribute to John Williamson and Walter Mondale, RIP. Williamson died at the age of 84. He is most famous for in 1989 defining the "Washington Consensus," a list of what emerging market economies should or must do to succeed. While his theory is no longer popular, it was highly influential following the Reagan and Thatcher era. Mondale died at the age of 93. He famously lost the presidential election of 1984 in an abject defeat to Ronald Reagan....

Biden Tested, Myanmar Burns, And Immigration Surges

In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we discuss the future of Biden's agenda. Last week, the White House officially unveiled its $2T infrastructure package. The plan is popular among the public, and due to reconciliation, it only needs 50 votes to pass the Senate. Biden will also try to pass a minimum wage increase, a voting rights bill, and immigration reform. But these bills can't be passed through reconciliation and will need 60 votes to bypass the filibuster. While their chances of ...

Biden's Prospects, Israel's Fourth Election, and the Five Eyes Alliance

In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we discuss Biden's immigration strategy. Currently, the White House is using former President Trump's executive orders (notably Title 42) to handle the nearly 6,000 daily border crossings. But what's Biden's long-term plan? It largely mirrors the 2013 Senate bill, penned by the "Gang of 8." Undocumented immigrants could become citizens if they pay taxes, take a background test, and work in the US for an additional eight years. Turkey's Lira tumb...

Yield Curve Steepens, Corona Spreads, Finns Take Leave, Pundits Fear The Bern.

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