This discussion reflects on the forecast that lands hardest in governance discussions, the existential challenges now facing nonprofits that can’t afford to be legible, the exhaustion of rebuilding every rule case by case, and why the pull right now is toward the local and the core.

Episode 4 guests: Cheryl Chung, CEO of Tent Futures in Singapore and a longtime figure in the country’s whole-of-government foresight practice, and Austin-based Dr. Jake Dunagan, who leads the Governance Futures Lab at the Institute for the Future, work through what the forecasts look like from inside the nonprofit, foundation and public sectors — where the capacity to think past the next fire is the scarcest resource of all.

Runtime: 33:28

Related forecasts: F00 — From One Game to Many Games · F04 — From Special Relationships to Strategic Situationships · F06 — From Open Society to Tactical Shape-shifting · F03 — From Digital Empathy to Localised Solidarity

About 10F One to One Each episode pairs two contributors to the 10F forecasts. Same questions, no host, no moderation.

About 10F The 10F Consortium is an independent collective of futurists, strategists, and domain experts who produced ten open-access structural forecasts for the decade 2025–2035. The forecasts are free to read, share, and use under CC BY 4.0 at 10fconsortium.org.

Follow the Project

Beyond this newsletter, you can find 10F on:

LinkedIn — 10F Consortium — longer-form updates and discussion

Bluesky — @10fconsortium.bsky.social — signal tracking and real-time commentary

Instagram — @10fconsortium — visual summaries and forecast highlights

GitHub — 10F Consortium — full forecast archive with version history and transparency, and new tools as we develop them

Share your own experiences in the comments below.

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit 10fconsortium.substack.com

Episode 3: Lina Srivastava and Igor Schwarzmann

Resource holders who aren’t prepared, agency deficits in institutions that have every reason to act, the difference between monoculture and shared cultural moments, and whether the courage to be specific is the thing that’s actually missing.

Lina Srivastava, founder and director of the Center for Transformational Change and interim executive director of Proximate Press, and Igor Schwarzmann, advisor and researcher working at the intersection of culture and technology, range across the 10F forecasts and what it looks like to work at the point of pain rather than the point of power.

Runtime: 47:20

Related forecasts: F00 — From One Game to Many Games · F02 — From Political Spectrum to Ideological Fog · F03 — From Digital Empathy to Localised Solidarity · F05 — From Collective Climate Ambition to Fragmented Adaptation · F07 — From Selective Migration to People as Asset Class

About 10F One to One Each episode pairs two contributors to the 10F forecasts. Same questions, no host, no moderation.

About 10F The 10F Consortium is an independent collective of futurists, strategists, and domain experts who produced ten open-access structural forecasts for the decade 2025–2035. The forecasts are free to read, share, and use under CC BY 4.0 at 10fconsortium.org.

Follow the Project

Beyond this newsletter, you can find 10F on:

LinkedIn — 10F Consortium — longer-form updates and discussion

Bluesky — @10fconsortium.bsky.social — signal tracking and real-time commentary

Instagram — @10fconsortium — visual summaries and forecast highlights

GitHub — 10F Consortium — full forecast archive with version history and transparency, and new tools as we develop them

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit 10fconsortium.substack.com

Episode 2: Scott Smith & JD D'Cruz

Migrant labor and sovereign corridors, the slow death of multilateralism, performed strategy inside large institutions, and whether open-source foresight can make a difference when you can't stipulate the outcome. Scott Smith (co-founder, 10F Consortium; managing partner, Changeist) and JD D'Cruz — seasoned sustainability strategist and leader of a multi-stakeholder sustainable agriculture non-profit — range across the 10F forecasts and what it takes to keep reasoning clearly when the systems you helped build are coming apart.

Runtime: 52:32

Related forecasts: F00 — From One Game to Many Games · F01 — From Agreed Transparency to Engineered Opacity · F05 — From Collective Climate Ambition to Fragmented Adaptation · F07 — From Selective Migration to People as Asset Class · F09 — From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled

About 10F One to One Each episode pairs two contributors to the 10F forecasts. Same questions, no host, no moderation.

About 10F The 10F Consortium is an independent collective of futurists, strategists, and domain experts who produced ten open-access structural forecasts for the decade 2025–2035. The forecasts are free to read, share, and use under CC BY 4.0 at 10fconsortium.org.

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit 10fconsortium.substack.com

Episode 1: Karen K. Burns & Prof. Ariella Helfgott

Energy systems, climate adaptation, AI infrastructure, and the demands of clear thinking when the rules are shifting. Karen Burns (CEO, Fyma) and Prof. Ariella Helfgott — Director of the SA Futures Agency and Professor of Foresight at the University of Adelaide — range across the 10F forecasts and what it takes to reason well when the underlying game has changed.

Runtime: 42:48

Related forecasts: F00: From One Game to Many Games · F01: From Agreed Transparency to Engineered Opacity · F04: From Special Relationships to Strategic Situationships · F05: From Collective Climate Ambition to Fragmented Adaptation · F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality

About 10F One to One

Each episode pairs two contributors to the 10F forecasts. Same questions, no host, no moderation.

About 10F

The 10F Consortium is an independent collective of futurists, strategists, and domain experts who produced ten open-access structural forecasts for the decade 2025–2035. The forecasts are free to read, share, and use under CC BY 4.0 at 10fconsortium.org.

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit 10fconsortium.substack.com