The lads have been on brilliant form this week, Sean nailng the 12/1 winner of the Royal Bond last weekend, Ron advising a place only play RONALD PUMP, who again followed Honeysuckle home @ 22/1 and then notching an amazing 1966/1 Trifecta with a top three 1-2-3 in a Rated race on Saturday!

Ron's Podcast text this week reads:

PODCAST 02/12/21

FRIDAY

EXETER 2-05

The last 10 running’s have been dominated by horses aged five, six and seven. The six going to post tomorrow are five, six and seven.

With the exception of FLOWING CADENZA, they all carry 11st 2lb and as only one winner in the last decade has carried less than 11st, we can drop the 100/1 outsider.

We’ve had nine previous running’s of this race and the winner has only ever once been outside the front two on the tissue and right now it’s 6/4 joint favourite ADRIMEL and BOOTHILL.

It’s then 7/1 bar that pair.

BOOTHILL has had a race already this season and the word from Harry Fry’s yard is they think he could be top class over fences. I cannot see a winner of this previously, doing so on seasonal debut and so I’m with BOOTHILL as ADRIMEL has been missing for 237 days.

RON – BOOTHILL

SEAN - ADRIMEL

SANDOWN 2-25

Only five heading to post but a little cracker, as all five arrive having won last time out.

Horses aged four, five and six have dominated this but as the five runner comprise of 3 x 5-y-o’s and a brace of 6-y-o’s, that’s no help.

The market though does give off fumes and even though the winners of this in 2018 and 2019 were priced 12/1 and 10/1 respectively, seven of the last 10 winners were sited from two on the tissue.

Right now you are looking to one of:

BRAVE KINGDOM

FAIR FRONTIERES

….if that trend holds up.

The latter is trained by Kim Bailey and his horses have not been firing during the first four weeks of the core season. He has only run three in the last two weeks and by contrast Paul Nicholls, who trains BRAVE KINGDOM, is bang on blob with 12 of his last 43 runners winning, and 11 others finishing second or third.

I’ll go with BRAVE KINGDOM but it’s not a race I’d like to have a bet in.

RON – BRAVE KINGDOM

SEAN – VIVA LAVILLA

SATURDAY

AINTREE 12-20

I’m having Déjà vu!

I’m just going to revisit what I said last week as this race should have taken place at Carlisle, which we lost.

“ANOTHER WHERE ONLY FOUR ARE CURRENTLY GOING TO POST BUT INTRIGUING THAT MULLINS SENDS OVER ELIMAY AND HAS BOOKED BRIAN HUGHES TO RIDE HER.

Brian Hughes is now elsewhere and Aiden Coleman takes over the steering.

HE SENT BENIE DE DIEUX OVER TO WIN THIS IN 2017 AND I EXPECT ELIMAY TO GO OFF FAVOURITE AND WIN.

SHE RACES OFF LEVEL WEIGHTS WITH WHAT WILL PROBABLY BE THE SECOND FAVOURITE ANNIE MC AND YET IS OFFICIALLY 7LB THE BETTER HORSE.

SHE IS ANOTHER IN ONE OF OUR 10 TO FOLLOW LINES AND I EXPECT POINTS ON THE BOARD.

RON – ELIMAY

SEAN – ELIMAY

AINTREE 1-30

ADDOSH carries a penalty because she has won a Class 2 weight for age and the last horse to win this doing likewise was GITANE DU BERLAIS in 2013.

That winner was trained by Willie Mullins and went off 5/4 favourite and on Saturday I’m thinking we’ll see another Irish trained favourite in WHITE PEPPER, although that has gone from 7/4 > 5/2.

All three years of age, all the horses I’m interested in carrying 10st 12lb and so all I have to apply here from a trends angle, is market position.

Last season we had a 14/1 boil over and in 2017 the Gavin Cromwell trained FAMOUS MILLY won @ 10/1 but outside that pair, nothing has won this priced bigger than 4/1

The only qualifier, currently, is WHITE PEPPER, also trained by Gavin Cromwell.

So many of these are wholly unexposed and so I’ll just post up WHITE PEPPER as my selection but again, not a race I’d play with cash.

RON – WHITE PEPPER

SEAN – ADDOSH E.W.

AINTREE 2-05

I’m only interested in older horses here as the last five winners have been aged 10, 9