Better System Trader

149: Trading in Probabilities - Scott Hodson


Listen Later

A huge part of algorithmic trading is all about stacking the odds in our favour.

Finding statistical edges, identifying times when probabilities indicate that market conditions are either favourable for a trade or perhaps unfavourable for a trade.

And although probabilities aren’t certainties, they can still be an important guides for traders, so joining us as special guest for this episode is Scott Hodson from Probable Trades.

Some of the things you’ll discover in my chat with Scott are:

  • How to apply probabilities to trading strategies and why looking at cross-sectional probabilities across multiple dimensions of data can potentially enhance trading results,
  • How a Probability Almanac can help track the performance of a trading strategy over certain time periods,
  • Why it can sometimes pay to have a fundamental knowledge of the stocks you’re buying instead of just blindly following trading signals,
  • How analysing risk to reward of past trades can help to determine at what point taking more risk is not beneficial,
  • Why you need to care for your ‘emotional capital, just as much as your ‘trading capital’,
  • A specific type of stop that can reduce the length and size of drawdowns,
  • Shorting strategies as a hedge to smooth out the equity curve and reduce drawdowns,
  • And much more.

 

Disclaimer: Trading in the financial markets involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. All content produced by Better System Trader is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Better System TraderBy Andrew Swanscott chats with professional traders Larry Williams, Ernest Cha

  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8

4.8

260 ratings


More shows like Better System Trader

View all
Michael Covel's Trend Following by Michael Covel

Michael Covel's Trend Following

670 Listeners

Freakonomics Radio by Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher

Freakonomics Radio

32,283 Listeners

The Joe Rogan Experience by Joe Rogan

The Joe Rogan Experience

226,206 Listeners

Masters in Business by Bloomberg

Masters in Business

2,174 Listeners

Talking Trading - Expert trading tactics so you can excel in the markets. by Created by best-selling authors and traders - Louise Bedford and Chris Tate.

Talking Trading - Expert trading tactics so you can excel in the markets.

18 Listeners

Top Traders Unplugged by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Top Traders Unplugged

582 Listeners

Chat With Traders by Tessa Dao

Chat With Traders

1,986 Listeners

Desire To Trade Podcast | Forex Trading & Interviews with Highly Successful Traders by Etienne Crete

Desire To Trade Podcast | Forex Trading & Interviews with Highly Successful Traders

105 Listeners

ChooseFI by ChooseFI

ChooseFI

5,086 Listeners

Flirting with Models by Corey Hoffstein

Flirting with Models

225 Listeners

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg by All-In Podcast, LLC

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

9,189 Listeners

The Ancients by History Hit

The Ancients

3,027 Listeners

The Algorithmic Advantage by The Algorithmic Advantage

The Algorithmic Advantage

11 Listeners