15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP)

We cover two past fascinating Roland Garros matches because we are badly missing the French Open which would be taking place right now if it wasn’t for the pandemic. We also discuss career numbers of Sampras, Agassi, and the Big 3. You will be surprised to see who has the highest serve rating…

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

Here at 15-30 we are bringing you stats from past epic matches such as Borg and McEnroe’s battle at Wimbledon in 1980 and Sampras and Aggassi’s epic clash at the US open in 2001. As always we bring you the numbers behind the epic matches as tennis and the rest of the world remains on hold.

COVID-19 has shutdown the world and tennis is no exception. Indian Wells, Miami, the European Clay Court Swing, the grass court season, and Wimbledon are all officially cancelled. Wimbledon hadn’t previously cancelled since World War II. We cover what we think the rest of the season will look like. Which players gain the most from the extended hiatus? Which players are the most disadvantaged? The Coronavirus seems to be the only thing that stop the Big 3…

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

The Australian Open has been Djokovic’s most successful grand slam tourney. He has conquered his rival Andy Murray in 4 finals down under. Murray and Djokovic play a similar brand of tennis. Why has Djokovic been so much more successful than Murray? As is often the case the numbers tell an interesting story…

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

Here at 15-30 we have developed a simple, new tool to analyze matches, the serve factor. It combines 1st serve in % with 1st and second serve points won to give one metric to compare opponents. We discuss how effective it has been at predicting winners at the 2020 Australian Open and its limitations. So far it hasn’t worked for one particular player…

Serve Factor = 1st Serve % (decimal) * 1st Serve + 2nd Serve

Where the 1st serve and 2nd serve are the percent of 1st serve and 2nd serve points won as a whole number.

Δ Serve Factor = Serve Factor of the winner – Serve factor of the loser

On average we saw that a Δ Serve Factor of about 30+ is a decisive straight sets win. 20 was a tight 3 setter or a decisive 4 setter. 10 was a tight 4 setter or a decisive 5 setter. <10 was a tight 5 setter.

To view our spreadsheet highlighting Serve Factors and other stats from the 2020 Aussie Open Click Here

2019 was a fantastic season for Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal who each bagged two grand slams. Nadal also ended the season as the top ranked player. Nadal only won one slam in 2018. How did his stats change between 2018 and 2019? The answers are fascinating. Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas reached career high rankings due to fantastic hard court and indoor seasons. How were they able to improve their games to reach new heights in 2019? So many answers, but even more questions heading into the 2020 season. The Big 3 have maintained their dominance thus far. But for how much longer? Does Roger Federer have it in him to lift another grand slam trophy?

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

Federer, Djokovic, and the Nextgen have been impressive during the indoor tennis season in Europe. Federer won a record 10th title on his home turf at Basel. What makes Federer so good indoors? The ATP Finals have a unique format that consists of the Top 8 players battling for the final trophy of the season. Which players statistically look primed to take the title?

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

What percentage of points does the world number 1 usually win over the course of an ATP season? What matches have been won despite the victor winning significantly less points over all? We cover these stats along with updates from the tour as they battle on the Asian hard court swing.

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

2019 was another historic year with the Big 3, namely Nadal and Djokovic, splitting the 4 majors. Nadal moves to 19 grand slams, one behind Roger Federer’s leading 20. The US Open was exhilarating with Medvedev making yet another summer hard court final. He went down two sets to love and then roared back to push Nadal to 5 sets and to the brink. Nadal and Medvedev covered an incredible amount of distance per point, which added to the epicness of the final. We cover all the stats from the second week including the thrilling 5 set final. What stats changed in the final that gave Medvedev a way back into the match?

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.

The North American hard court season has reached its pinnacle, the US Open. The Citi Open, Canadian Open, and the Cincinnati Masters were all hard fought with different winners at each tournament. The common denominator was young gun, Daniil Medvedev. He made the final each tourney and didn’t triumph until winning Cincy, his maiden Masters 1000 title. How will he and the rest of the NEXT GEN fare in the last major of the season? Will anyone be able to stop the dominance of the Big 3? We also uncover one significant stat that each of the Big 3 somehow manages to continue to improve.

Please subscribe to our podcast, 15-30 A Tennis Podcast (ATP), using Google Play, Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, or Spotify.

Theme music brought to you by: Kevin MacLeod with excerpts from his song, “Cool Rock”.