Better System Trader

152: "Backtesting trading strategies does not work" - John Ehlers


Listen Later

"Backtesting trading strategies does not work!"

Got your attention?

Maybe you agree with this statement.

Perhaps you strongly disagree and you're currently heading out to the backyard to grab your pitchfork.

Or maybe you're shaking your head thinking 'what the heck swanny, have you finally lost it man?'.

Well, the good news is I haven't lost it (yet). We're going to dive deeper into this statement in the podcast episode today.

But first, I'd like to introduce our guest - John Ehlers.

John is a friend of the show. He's been a guest multiple times, discussing topics such as cycles, indicators and digital signal processing. In our chat today we're going to tackle robustness and also intraday trading.

Some of the things you'll hear on the show today are:

  • The startling differences between intraday and daily timeframes and the critical factors you need to watch out for,
  • Why it's more difficult to predict where market prices are going on an intraday basic compared to daily timeframe, and how you need to think about intraday data differently,
  • We'll be digging deeper into this "Backtesting trading strategies does not work" statement to find out what it means,
  • How to use a simple Genetic Optimization trick to determine the robustness of a strategy
  • How Genetic Optimization can be used to identify suitable ranges for optimization parameters
  • Why short walk forward periods could be better than longer,
  • Plus a whole lot more.

So lets jump over to my chat now with John Ehlers.

Disclaimer: Trading in the financial markets involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. All content produced by Better System Trader is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Better System TraderBy Andrew Swanscott chats with professional traders Larry Williams, Ernest Cha

  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8

4.8

260 ratings


More shows like Better System Trader

View all
The Joe Rogan Experience by Joe Rogan

The Joe Rogan Experience

229,277 Listeners

Economist Podcasts by The Economist

Economist Podcasts

4,165 Listeners

Chat With Traders by Ian Cox and Tessa Dao

Chat With Traders

1,995 Listeners

Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,070 Listeners

Top Traders Unplugged by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Top Traders Unplugged

589 Listeners

Desire To Trade Podcast | Forex Trading & Interviews with Highly Successful Traders by Etienne Crete

Desire To Trade Podcast | Forex Trading & Interviews with Highly Successful Traders

101 Listeners

Swing Trading the Stock Market by Ryan Mallory

Swing Trading the Stock Market

810 Listeners

Flirting with Models by Corey Hoffstein

Flirting with Models

229 Listeners

B The Trader by Alex B

B The Trader

355 Listeners

Rebel Capitalist News by George Gammon

Rebel Capitalist News

1,032 Listeners

Huberman Lab by Scicomm Media

Huberman Lab

29,154 Listeners

The Algorithmic Advantage by The Algorithmic Advantage

The Algorithmic Advantage

11 Listeners

Words of Rizdom - Trading Podcast by Riz Iqbal

Words of Rizdom - Trading Podcast

29 Listeners