Schwab Network

2026 Fed Path: Employment Issues Overblown, or Pivotal?


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Jeanette Gerretty and Chuck Lieberman break down the latest FOMC minutes and assess the rate cut path for 2026. Jeanette wonders what data the Fed will have by their upcoming meeting, with December employment numbers releasing next week and “sketchy” numbers around inflation. She thinks it will be tough for them to do anything but be on pause. Chuck finds parallels to Alan Greenspan’s tenure as Fed Chair and notes that jobs only need slight growth to “soak up” the unemployment rate.


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