The Pollsters

#25: Trump vs. Bernie


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Last week we had our biggest download day ever! So now some debate post-game to follow up that pre-game.

 
Feeling the Bern in New Hampshire
 
The latest polling shows Sanders up in New Hampshire, but the interesting data is beneath the surface.
 
Franklin Pierce/Boston Herald NH Dem Poll
CNN/ORC poll IA Dem poll
 
Trump: 1st is the Worst
 
More people said trump did worst job in debate than said best job. Yet why is he still leading? Two recent online polls shed some light, including one from Kristen’s firm Echelon Insights. We also talk about the growing acceptance of online poll methodology, including Google Consumer Surveys.
 
MSNBC/Survey Monkey poll
CNN/ORC IA GOP poll
Echelon Insights poll
Washington Post/Monkey Cage
 
Pessimism on race
 
Both Gallup and Pew show more now worried about race relations. Although there are a few silver linings on hopes for the future.
 
Gallup on race: Release #1Release #2
Pew poll on race
 
Work/Life balancing acts
 
There’s no shortage of studies on work-life balance. Washington Post and the New York times make the economic case, and others show some interesting demographic breakouts.
 
Washington Post Poll on work after kids
NYT article on millennial dads
NYT Upshot 8/10 article - Can Family Leave Policies Be Too Generous?
 
Key Findings
 
NH is feeling the Bern! But the interesting stuff is beneath the surface.
Trump is still strong in the polls. Despite having the worst debate performance. Go figure.
Across the board people are worried about racial tensions.
And we still see major gender divides and struggles over work-life balance.
Perhaps whatever the topic, online studies are improving.
 
 

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The PollstersBy Margie Omero & Kristen Soltis Anderson

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