Ride AI

38: Assessing the Market for Micromobility in African and Asian cities


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In this episode, Horace and Oliver run over Horace’s insights from his recent research using UN data into city-level potential for micromobility markets globally. We run through the most interesting growth trends in 1800+ cities.
Specifically we look at:
- Contextualising the rapid growth in car-based urbanisation as part of a 5000 year trend
- Why Africa is one of the most interesting potential markets between now and 2035.
- The cities positioned for both the fastest growth and largest increase.
- How the low-income demographics of new migrants to these emerging mega-cities necessitates the need for cheap micromobility transport
- Why we should look at auto-ownership rates to understand the 'low-end' potential of micromobility.
- The likely business models we'll see emerge with the confluence of autonomy, networking and new propulsion options.
- How these vehicles will beat the current incumbents of petrol powered scooters in Asia
The things mentioned in the episode are:
- The blogpost that Horace has written on the micromobility markets by city.
- The talk by Jeremy Grantham re: the majority of increase in global population coming from Africa between now and 2100 - https://youtu.be/cPCblFpqrkI?t=1635
As requested, if anyone has a suggestion for an interview guest for micromobility in India or Africa, please message me on Twitter @oliverbruce. Thanks!
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Ride AIBy Oliver Bruce and Horace Dediu

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