The Pollsters

#48: Political ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada updates


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2016:
On the Democratic side, the contest continues to roil.
Straight Ace (Metrix).
Huffington Post/IA
Huffington Post/NH
Huffington Post/national
Democratic insiders in Politico.
DMR/Selzer/Bloomberg poll
 
GOP side.
Not sure the debate changed anything, polling-wise. Although maybe there’s Kasich-mentum?
Huffington Post average: IA
Huffington Post average: NH
Huffington Post: national
MassINC/WBUR
Matt MacWilliams on authoritarianism
NBC/WSJ on GOP contest
Full NBC/WSJ poll
 
We talk to Carl Bialik
You say bialy, we say burrito. And we talk about fivethirtyeight, forecasting, and polling pollsters.
FiveThirtyEight poll of pollsters
 
UK update
Tories aren’t shy, they’re busy! New reports on “what went wrong” in the UK election polling.
BPC report
The Guardian
Huffington Post
 
Elephant in the valley
A majority of women receive unwanted advances. Like a mixtape.
Elephant in the Valley
Poll your privilege (in Canada)
 
Ask a Millennial: Judge for yourself
Is Judge Judy on SCOTUS? We Ask a Millennial.
College grad study of civic engagement
 
Key Findings:
Just like wildly fluctuating snow predictions, we have wildly fluctuating IA & NH predictions. Get your snacks ready & hunker down for the long winter.
If we’re teaching our children good manners, does that mean they’re future Trump supporters? A new parenting thing to keep us all up at night.
And if my children don’t become tech zillionaires, perhaps they should move to Canada instead.
And who needs RBG when you have Judge Judy? And who does better in demo?
 

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The PollstersBy Margie Omero & Kristen Soltis Anderson

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