The Pollsters

#52: Fear & Loathing AND Las Vegas. The Supremes AND the Grammys.


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Poll of the week: Now Fear This!
Now that people are coming to terms with a Trump nomination somewhere between likely to certain, some pollsters are asking how people feel about this: Scared? Or really really Scared? As often in this Presidential race, we turn to Canada.
Canadian poll on fear
USA Today/Suffolk on fear
 
Dem Side: Firewall?
Does HC have a firewall? And if so, is it Nevada, SC, Super Tuesday, Super Delegates? Something else? We thought we’d have to wait all the way till Saturday for some more public polling in NV but PHEW! There is some.
CNN/ORC NV poll
Twitter NE voter sentiment, study shows
Huffington Post/Pollster: NV Dem contest
Huffington Post/Pollster: SC Dem contest
Huffington Post/Pollster: National Dem contest
NBC/Survey Monkey national poll with race breakouts
Gallup on Dem candidate favs by race
 
GOP side: Fireproof?
Trump continues to breathe fire & not get burned. He can be a 9/11 Truther, or an Internet Troll, it simply doesn’t matter. And his base in SC seems ready to go even farther.
Huffington Post/Pollster: National GOP contest
Huffington Post/Pollster: SC GOP contest
PPP Poll in SC
Bloomberg/Purple SC focus group
 
The Supremes
No new polling (yet!) on the all but certain Scalia replacement showdown. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t something from the archives!
Gallup on Scalia, Supreme Court
 
You guys forgot too.
We kinda snoozed last week by not mentioning the Grammys, Valentine’s Day, OR President’s Day. But it looks like we’re not alone.
Rasmussen on President's Day
YouGov on the Grammys
NRF on Valentine’s Day experiences
 
Key Findings
The Democratic race is narrowing, but can it narrow fast enough for Sanders?
The Republican race is winnowing, but can it winnow enough to defeat Trump?
Whatever candidate you fear, we all fear week-long stretches without polling.
Soon the other half of America will be hearing a lot more about the late Justice Scalia.
Did you miss the Grammy’s? President’s Day? Polls show like us, you probably did too.
 

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The PollstersBy Margie Omero & Kristen Soltis Anderson

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