Why 90% Win Rate Systems Are Dangerous for Forex Traders

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#564: Why 90% Win Rate Systems Are Dangerous for Forex Traders

In this video:

00:26 – Do you want a 90% win rate system?

01:48 – A traders comment about a high win rate strategy.

03:15 – Focus on the quality trades.  

05:05 – My 17 minutes Masterclass and Book a Call.

05:15 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker.

05:55 – Comments, Like & Subscribe.

As a Trader. Someone gave you a system that had a 90% win rate. I bet you'd want to trade it. The reality is, you should not trade a 90% win rate system. I'm going to explain why right now.

Hey there, Traders! It's Andrew Mitchem at The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 564.

Do you want a 90% win rate system?

So you heard me right. If I said to you, hey, I'm sure you love my system, that's got a 90% win rate, I. But you're going to make lots of money and you get. Yes. Please give it to me. The reality is that you're probably not going to make money off of a system like that.

Now, if you've been following me for any length of time, you'd know the story I told a real true story from a few years ago where someone came to me with a 90% win rate system, and they were very excited and it all looked really good. The problem was that they were losing lots of money because their focus was on win rate.

They were having, let's say, out of ten trades, they were having nine out of ten trades hit their profit target, hence a 90% win rate system. But the trouble is they were making lots of small little gains. And every 1 in 10 trades had a massive loss that wiped out all their gains, plus lots more. And so that becomes the, the reality of it.

You know, you've got to be very careful with win rate. Don't put all your focus into that because you'll end up not doing, you know, what you should be doing, which is looking at things like control, risk, high reward to risk, looking at what the market's doing at the time, looking at the pair you trading, the current conditions, all those type of things that mean that there are so much more to having a successful trading system than simply having a high win rate. High win rate is not necessarily good and in most cases is not good at all.

A traders comment about a high win rate strategy.

And this issue resurfaced just yesterday when I had someone come to me with something very similar to this. And I just need a high win rate system because that's going to make me feel better and and it's going to make me trade better.

And I tried to explain to them, look, the end of the day, you've got to make money out of your trading. That's the important thing isn't it? So why not focus on making money and doing it trading properly, than just being completely glued and fixated on this one thing? Because you find that with the people with 90% win rates, they do these crazy things like having there reward to risk run the wrong way, or have very structured and rigid, profits and stops which generally are not in their favor, as in they may have, let's say that pluck some figured that this guy, you know, a 50 pips stop loss and a 20 profit target.

Now, if you know the way I trade, we never talk pips. But unfortunately, the people with the high win rate systems do. And so that's their issue is they keep getting stopped out. And that reward to risk is not good. Or they'll do something like they'll have, a ten pip profit target and 110 pips stop loss. And you know, nine out of ten trades go well.

You're one big one loses. And so having their focus around the wrong way is something that they don't realize until they trade live. And they see that this 90% win rate system does not work

Focus on the quality trades.  

For me,