What’s More Important: Win Rate or Risk-Reward?

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#580: What’s More Important: Win Rate or Risk-Reward?

In this video:

00:23 – What should your win rate be?

01:03 – Controlling your emotions.

01:23 – An example of a 90% winning system trader.   

03:01 – A high reward:risk is more important.

04:47 – Summary of what’s important to be a profitable trader.

05:24 - 17 minutes Masterclass and Book a Call.

05:47 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker.

06:03 – Comments, Like & Subscribe.

What percentage win rate do you need to be a successful and profitable trader? Let's get into that and more right now.

Hey there, Trades! Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach. Video on podcast number 580.

What should your win rate be?

Want talk all about a winning percentage level rate. What should it be? and what do you need that to be in order to be a profitable trader. Now the answer is quite interesting. And it may not be quite what you're expecting me to say.

You see, if I ask most people out there, what should your percentage win rate paid? They'll go, oh, it needs to be 80%, 90% in order to be profitable. Then it's not actually true. There's more to it than just the win rate. Yes, sure. The win rate is very important. And yes, it's more than just how many winning trades you get.

Controlling your emotions.

It's the whole mental approach to trading. There's two things in trading you need to control. Like I've said, one's ahead, one's your heart. You've got to control your emotions. And so obviously having more winning trades, more profitable trades is a good thing psychologically, emotionally it helps you trading. Of course it does gives you confidence. Everybody wants to see winning trades.

An example of a 90% winning system trader.   

But here's a scenario, I had someone many years ago, and you may have heard me talk about this in the past, who came to me with and this was a real situation, by the way, came to me with a 90% winning system. So every ten trades, they had nine profitable trades, one loss. You'd think, especially if you're relatively new to trading.

Wow, what an amazing system. I want to know how they did it. The issue is, is that person was losing money. And you think about it. How does that happen? Well, it's quite simple. What they were doing is having small wins and a big loss. And to put it in very simple, basic terms, let's, let's talk pips.

You know, I don't like pips. And I don't believe in pips as a way of identifying profit. But let's make it simple. And let's say that they had nine trades in a row making an average of ten pips profit. So therefore they made 90 pips. You could think of it as like percentages. And they had one loss out of those ten trades that lost let's say 100 pips.

So now the minus ten pips. If they were making 1% all the time and they lost 10%. Yeah. Same thing. You know, they're negative, but the win rate's really good, which is what you all want. And I'm here to say, well, maybe it's not quite as important as you think. So for me, there's more important factors.

A high reward:risk is more important.

And a good strategy to me should always have a high reward to risk. And that's more important. And let's do some very quick numbers again. Let's imagine we still have ten trades. And let's imagine instead of being a 90% winning system we're only a 50%. So we're losing half the trades. We take one and every two trades we take will now lose. Okay. In this scenario. Now let's say we have a 3 to 1 reward to risk trade.

So that means on every single trader take I have a stop loss. Let's call it 1%. And I have a profit targets. Let's say it's three times. Now of course in reality it's not always going to be exactly that.