This podcast episode, "The Drums Begin Again," warns that the November 2024 ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah is effectively over, marked by resumed Israeli airstrikes targeting Hezbollah's elite Radwan Unit and a strategic shift toward preemption on Israel's northern front.
Hezbollah, though weakened, is actively rebuilding its infrastructure south of the Litani River, while Iran continues to rearm its proxy via Syria, which is now considered a single operational theater with Lebanon.
Lebanon's government is powerless, while President Trump's transactional U.S. foreign policy supports Israel's self-defense while urging restraint and tightening sanctions on Iran, even as backchannel diplomacy with Egypt and Jordan resumes.
The situation is risky and complicated, with Hezbollah getting stronger, Israel changing its approach, Iran still getting more weapons, Russia becoming more confrontational worldwide, and Turkey and Egypt trying to mediate, indicating that a big regional conflict is likely to happen soon. Listen today.
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