A Value View - The Merchants Trust PLC Podcast

What’s in store for UK interest rates and investors as we approach year-end? In this 32nd episode of a Value View podcast, portfolio manager Simon Gergel shares his outlook and discusses the factors that had informed the investment case behind Whitbread, owner of Premier Inn. Listen in to find out if Premier Inn’s all-you-can-eat breakfast will stay on the menu.

Who holds the power: the government or the market? In this episode, Simon Gergel discusses the aftermath of the recent UK elections, marked by a significant Labour victory. He explores the market response and highlights where opportunities are being found today. Listen in now to find out more about the impact of a new government and what it means for investors.

In this 30th episode of the A Value View podcast, Jon and Simon discuss dividends once again. With Merchants having reached its 42nd consecutive year of paying an increased dividend, just how has the trust managed this? And, what does the state of play look like for the future, not only for income, but for the UK equity market in general? Takeovers, banks, the economic outlook and the effects of political uncertainty all come under the spotlight.

In this episode, Merchant’s portfolio manager, Simon Gergel is challenged around his ‘glass half full’ view of the UK market. Simon takes the challenge in hand explaining the factors behind his thinking and why, despite short term pain, the opportunity set for investors in the UK market remains pretty much unprecedented. We look at how Simon and his team choose good opportunities for the portfolio from that opportunity set, and which sectors are currently providing the best dividend opportunities.

The technology sector that has emerged from the pandemic is different to the one that went before. And we are still seeing some of the ramifications. In this latest podcast we discuss how the sector has changed over the past two years, and how that is reflected in the portfolio. Which pandemic trends have endured, how has the higher interest rate environment dented the valuation of higher growth shares and how has the portfolio been reshaped to reflect this changing environment.

Recorded and produced at the Lansons studios.

There have been many reasons over recent years for investors to be ‘out of love’ with the UK; Brexit, political uncertainty, pandemic, Ukraine, Trussonomics and the perception of worse inflation & economic performance for the UK to name a handful. But, has the depressed sentiment been overdone? In this podcast the team discuss that with many of these factors firmly in the rear-view mirror, and with interest rates potentially close to their peak and UK economic growth recently being revised upwards, could the glass actually be half-full, rather than the pessimistic alternative?

As the trust gears up for the release of its latest interim results, many investors will have an eye on the upcoming dividend. As an AIC Dividend Hero, the trust is well known for maintaining a steady dividend payment throughout the many ups and downs in market conditions over the past several decades. Host Jon Cronin and Portfolio Manager Simon Gergel discuss the approach taken to try to achieve the trust’s aims for shareholders and where the best opportunities currently lie for value investors in the UK market. A ranking, a rating or an award provides no indicator of future performance and is not constant over time. Past performance does not predict future returns.

The housing market has long been seen as a key bellwether of the overall state of UK market. But the recent squeeze on the cost of living – namely, rising prices which have in turn driven interest rates higher – has been keenly felt in that sector. In the latest podcast episode, Jon and Simon debate the fortunes of the UK’s housebuilders as well as looking at what other companies could benefit from a more buoyant sector, with first quarter trading generally having been quite resilient and mortgage rates having come down a little.

In the latest episode of ‘A Value View’, host Jon Cronin gets Simon Gergel’s thoughts on the current outlook for the UK’s FTSE 100. On the one-hand, the FTSE hit an all-time high in February, on the back of bumper profits for several of its constituent stocks. But, on the other hand, there are questions around the future growth prospects of the London market after two major UK companies announced they intended to pursue stock market listings in New York. Simon gives his thoughts on the market’s current state and, more importantly, it’s future.

Recorded and produced by Lansons.

Are we in an environment where investors can now see the proverbial light at the end of the tunnel? Some inflation pressures are abating and although rates are still going up, the fear that rates are going to go up faster, and to higher levels than expected, is probably over. This is already starting to be reflected in the stock market. However, the UK market still trades well below historical averages with many strong companies trading at unusually attractive valuations. Against this backdrop, Simon Gergel talks to Jon Cronin about whether he’s feeling optimistic or pessimistic about the coming year and beyond as an investor.

Recorded and Produced by Lansons.