Descripción del episodio:
- Problema climático del día: Los impactos del aumento de temperatura (1.5°C, +2°C, +3°C, +4°C)
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Referencias:
A) 1.5°C:
1. IPCC, 2018: Summary for Policymakers. In: Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 32 pp.
2. Schleussner, C.-F., et al.: Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016, 2016.
3. Naumann, G. et al. (2018) Global Changes in Drought Conditions Under Different Levels of Warming, Geophysical Research Letters
4. Dosio, A., et al., 2018: Extreme heat waves under 1.5°C and 2°C global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 054006, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab827.
B) +2°C:
1. Alfieri, L., et al. (2017), Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth's Future, 5: 171-182. doi:10.1002/2016EF000485
2. Schleussner, et al.: Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016, 2016.
3. Naumann, G. et al. (2018) Global Changes in Drought Conditions Under Different Levels of Warming, Geophysical Research Letters
4. Mora, C., Dousset, B., Caldwell, I. et al. Global risk of deadly heat. Nature Clim Change 7, 501–506 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3322
C) +3°C:
1. Sigmond, M., Fyfe, J.C. & Swart, N.C. Ice-free Arctic projections under the Paris Agreement. Nature Clim Change 8, 404–408 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0124-y
2. Warren, R., et al. "The projected effect on insects, vertebrates, and plants of limiting global warming to 1.5 C rather than 2 C." Science 360.6390 (2018): 791-79
3. Naumann, G. et al. (2018) Global Changes in Drought Conditions Under Different Levels of Warming, Geophysical Research Letters
4. Turco, M. et al. (2018) Exacerbated fires in Mediterranean Europe due to anthropogenic warming projected with nonstationary climate-fire models, Nature Communications. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-06358-z
5. https://www.si.edu/spotlight/buginfo/benefits
D) +4°C
1. Vermeer, M. & Rahmstorf, S. (2009). Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 106(51) 21527-21532. https://www.pnas.org/content/106/51/21527
2. P. Wester, et al. (eds) (2019) The Hindu Kush Himalaya Assessment—Mountains, Climate Change, Sustainability and People. Springer Nature Switzerland AG, Cham.
3. Urban, M. Accelerating extinction risk from climate change. Science.348.6234 (2015), 571-573. https://science.sciencemag.org/content/348/6234/571
4. Mora, C., et al. Global risk of deadly heat. Nature Clim Change 7, 501–506 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3322
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