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This is your Daily Coffee Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Welcome to the Daily Coffee Price Tracker. I’m Vanessa Clark, and today is Wednesday, October 15th, 2025. Grab your favorite mug, because we’ve got the freshest coffee market news and price updates, plus what’s driving trends and what you should look out for if coffee matters to your wallet, your business, or your daily cup.
Let’s jump straight into the markets. Arabica coffee futures surged again, and today’s headline is that coffee just hit a four-week high. According to Trading Economics, the benchmark Arabica contract soared to four hundred five point seventy cents per pound—the highest levels we’ve seen since September. That’s up sharply from recent weeks, and if you’re paying close attention, you’ll notice coffee has risen fifty-seven percent over the past year. That is a huge swing that’s catching a lot of attention from analysts and traders alike.
So, why are coffee prices running so hot? A big part of the story comes down to weather issues in Brazil, which is the world’s largest producer of Arabica beans. Recent reports show a persistent dry spell, with last week’s rainfall in Brazil’s key growing region, Minas Gerais, coming in at just forty-eight percent of the historical average. That’s raising alarm bells for the crop’s critical flowering stage and threatening next year’s harvest—specifically the twenty twenty-six and twenty twenty-seven seasons. Dry conditions mean fewer flowers, and fewer flowers could lead to lower yields down the road.
Traders are also increasingly concerned about tight supplies. ICE monitored Arabica inventories are at a one and a half year low, with only four hundred ninety-six thousand bags available as of yesterday. The drawdown in exchange stocks comes alongside a major policy development: the United States has imposed a fifty percent tariff on coffee imports from Brazil. That move is making roasters scramble for beans, driving up prices, and forcing them to rethink blends. There’s talk that we might see more Robusta and African beans in US supermarket coffee mixes if these tariffs stick.
Speaking of Robusta, let’s look at those numbers. Robusta futures on the London exchange actually dropped, closing at four thousand four hundred eighty-seven dollars per metric ton, down over seventy-three dollars from the last session. The key reason is the weather—unlike Brazil, Vietnam, the world’s top producer of Robusta, is seeing abundant rainfall. This is good news for their farmers and could mean bumper crops. Vietnam’s Central Highlands, where most Robusta is grown, will get above-average rain this week, making the market bearish for Robusta prices. Those bigger supplies often mean prices edge lower.
If you’re a business owner or home brewer, what should you watch for next? First, expect Arabica to remain volatile. If the projections for more dry weather in Brazil hold, we could see these elevated prices stick around, or even climb higher. Second, keep an eye on new blends in your local shop—if tariffs persist and supply remains tight, there may be more Robusta in your cup and less of that classic Brazilian Arabica flavor. For anyone buying in bulk, consider locking in prices now, especially if you rely on higher quality beans from Brazil.
Beyond market moves, the coffee world is buzzing with sustainability news. Today, Blue Bottle Coffee announced it achieved carbon neutrality, and they’re launching big plans for regenerative agriculture. If you care about the environmental impact of your coffee addiction, this is one company to watch.
For a quick actionable tip: If you’re buying coffee for a cafe or home use, pay attention to your suppliers’ origin breakdown. More tariffs or weather events could change availability and pricing quickly. Look for transparency—ask where your beans are coming from and what futures prices your supplier is using in their calculations.
That wraps up today’s Daily Coffee Price Tracker. I’m Vanessa Clark, and if you found this episode helpful, make sure to subscribe and tune in next time. Stay caffeinated and keep your eye on those beans!
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