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This is your Daily Coffee Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Welcome back to the Daily Coffee Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark, your go-to podcast for the latest coffee prices, market news, and trends brewing in the world of coffee. I am your host, Vanessa Clark, and today is Thursday, October twenty-third, 2025. Let’s dive right into the buzz surrounding coffee markets and what it all means for your next cup.
Let’s kick things off with today’s headline numbers. As of this afternoon, the global benchmark for arabica coffee on the ICE Futures exchange closed at about four dollars and eleven cents per pound, marking a slight dip of just over three percent from the previous day. Despite today’s retreat, arabica prices have still soared nearly twelve percent over the last month and are up almost sixty-eight percent year over year. Robusta coffee, which is typically used in instant coffee and espresso blends, has also experienced a sharp rise lately, though it edged lower today as well.
Now, what’s driving these price swings? There are several factors at play. First, weather remains a fierce wildcard for coffee production. Brazil, which produces about forty percent of the world’s coffee, has been grappling with prolonged droughts, hitting major coffee-producing regions like Minas Gerais hard. Recent rain forecasts brought a bit of relief to farmers but not enough to fully offset the stress on crops from earlier dry spells. Vietnam, another coffee powerhouse, has also seen weather concerns ease, with reports indicating a lower risk of heavy rains harming robusta crops in the Central Highlands.
On top of climate issues, trade policy is shuffling the deck for global buyers. This summer, the United States imposed a hefty fifty percent tariff on Brazilian coffee imports. That move sent a shockwave through the US market, as Brazil is the leading source for American coffee roasters. Tariffs have pushed up costs, slowed imports, and, according to the Los Angeles Times, led to some of the highest coffee prices in recent memory. Inventories at US warehouses have slid to their lowest levels in years, putting upward pressure on prices. There’s hope on the horizon, though, with talks underway between the US and Brazil that could roll back these tariffs and bring some relief to coffee drinkers.
What does all this mean for you as a coffee lover, whether you’re brewing at home or running a coffee shop? Expect prices at your local café or grocery store to stay high—at least for the short term. Producers and retailers are feeling the supply pinch, and much of that cost gets passed along to consumers. Analysts say that part of the recent surge resulted in some people cutting back on coffee purchases due to sticker shock. But the consensus is that high prices are likely to stick around as weather volatility and global demand continue to squeeze supplies.
Looking ahead, market observers are watching the supply and demand seesaw closely. The United States Department of Agriculture forecasts global coffee production will climb to nearly one hundred seventy-nine million bags for the twenty twenty-five twenty twenty-six season, buoyed by a big jump in robusta output. Still, some market watchers, like Volcafe, warn that the market will see a significant deficit in arabica beans — and that could keep prices elevated for a good while yet.
In industry news, London is hosting the third World Coffee Innovation Summit this week, where more than two hundred leaders are discussing regenerative agriculture, new technologies, and ways to make coffee farming more climate-resilient. This summit highlights how everyone from farmers to financiers is scrambling to adapt to the ongoing impacts of climate change and shifting regulations.
Here are a few practical takeaways as you navigate these turbulent times in the coffee market. If you buy in bulk or source specialty beans, consider locking in contracts sooner rather than later while prices stabilize. For everyday coffee drinkers, trying new coffee origins or blends, especially those grown in diverse climates, can be a great way to balance quality and affordability. And if you’re thinking sustainability, supporting brands that invest in regenerative agriculture can help strengthen the future of the coffee industry.
That’s a wrap for today’s Daily Coffee Price Tracker. I’m Vanessa Clark, and I hope this episode empowered you with the latest coffee prices and insights you need to make smarter sipping choices. If you enjoyed the show, be sure to subscribe and tune in next time for your daily fix of coffee market news. Stay caffeinated and curious, and I’ll see you next time.
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