All of my predictions for macro misery in July have come true so far, but a huge bear market rally happened anyway! Like other bear market rallies this year, it feels like the market is screaming ‘nothing matters.’ Could long bonds be a win-win strategy? And is a mental break in order?

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CPI is likely to come in hot, again, and we’re going to kick off earnings season. Here’s how I calculated why these numbers are likely to be bearish.

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We’ve had a nice rally recently, but July is likely facing some unpleasant headwinds, including poor earnings, another large rate hike, and the official announcement that we are in a recession.

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75 point hike is bad, and recession looms, but the best-run high growth tech stocks may soon see a bottom as inflation expectations start peaking.

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“Don’t fight the Fed,” we hear endlessly. But during the “good times” of QE, most tech stocks were destroyed… does that mean QT could be an opportunity?

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Inflation numbers are coming in tomorrow. Will they spark a rally? Are we near the bottom or is the pain just starting?

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Shorter Version: More volatility is coming.

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I’m not a big crypto investor - but not for the reasons you think!

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Are spreads more or less risky than open ended options? What are the main benefits and risks of using spreads? Are “double or nothing” spreads the optimal strategy?

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April 19, 2022 was one of the most random market days ever, with seemingly nonsensical volatility on both the upside and the downside.

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