Beta Finch - Industrials - EN

**BETA FINCH PODCAST SCRIPT**

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**ALEX:** Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown where we turn corporate earnings calls into conversations that actually make sense. I'm Alex.

**JORDAN:** And I'm Jordan. Today we're diving into GE Aerospace's Q4 2025 earnings call, and wow - this was one impressive quarter to close out the year.

**ALEX:** Before we get started, I need to mention that this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

**JORDAN:** Absolutely. Now Alex, let's talk about these numbers because GE Aerospace just delivered what CEO Larry Culp called "an outstanding year." We're looking at some seriously impressive double-digit growth across the board.

**ALEX:** The headline numbers are pretty striking, Jordan. For Q4, orders were up 74% - that's massive. Revenue increased 20%, earnings per share jumped 19% to $1.57, and free cash flow grew 15%. But the full-year picture is even more compelling.

**JORDAN:** Right, and that's where it gets really interesting. Full-year orders up 32%, revenue up 21%, and here's the kicker - operating profit grew by $1.8 billion dollars. That's not a percentage, that's $1.8 billion in absolute dollars. Free cash flow was up $1.5 billion to $7.7 billion total.

**ALEX:** What I found fascinating was how CEO Larry Culp framed this. He kept coming back to their purpose statement: "We invent the future of flight, lift people up, and bring them home safely." But then he backed that up with some hard data - nearly one million people are in flight right now with GE technology under wing.

**JORDAN:** And let's talk about that backlog, Alex. They're sitting on roughly $190 billion in backlog, up nearly $20 billion over the last year. That's not just a number - that's visibility into future revenue streams. When you have that kind of contracted future business, it gives you incredible confidence in your guidance.

**ALEX:** Speaking of guidance, let's break down what they're expecting for 2026. They're forecasting low double-digit revenue growth, with commercial services up mid-teens. Operating profit is expected to hit $9.85 to $10.25 billion - that's up a billion dollars at the midpoint.

**JORDAN:** And here's what caught my attention - CFO Rahul Ghai said they expect to hit that $10 billion operating profit milestone in 2026, which is two years earlier than their original outlook. That's not just meeting expectations, that's accelerating past them.

**ALEX:** The EPS guidance of $7.10 to $7.40 represents nearly 15% growth at the midpoint. And free cash flow? They're projecting $8 to $8.4 billion. Jordan, when you look at these numbers, what's really driving this performance?

**JORDAN:** It's really a tale of two segments, Alex. Their Commercial Engines & Services segment is absolutely on fire. CES orders were up 35% for the year, revenue grew 24%, and here's the key - services orders up 27% and revenue up 26%. That's the high-margin aftermarket business that keeps printing money for decades after an engine is sold.

**ALEX:** Right, and their Defense, Power & Technology segment, while smaller, also showed solid growth with orders up 19% and revenue up 11%. But let's dig into what's happening operationally because there were some really interesting strategic moves announced.

**JORDAN:** Absolutely. They're doing a major organizational restructuring. They're expanding their CES division to include their Technology & Operations team, now led by Muhammad Ali. The goal is better end-to-end engine lifecycle management. And they're elevating their customer-facing teams to report directly to the CEO.

**ALEX:** That organizational change seems designed to address what Culp acknowledged multiple times - their customers need more from them, faster. They talked extensively a

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**Beta Finch Podcast Script: Deere Q1 2026 Earnings**

ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown! I'm Alex, and I'm joined as always by Jordan. Today we're digging into Deere & Company's first quarter 2026 results - and folks, this is a company that's showing some real signs of life after what's been a pretty challenging agricultural cycle.

JORDAN: That's right, Alex. And before we dive in, I want to make sure our listeners know that this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

ALEX: Thanks, Jordan. Now, let's talk numbers because Deere really impressed here. They posted $9.6 billion in net sales and revenues, up 13% year-over-year, with equipment operations specifically growing 18% to $8 billion. Net income came in at $656 million, or $2.42 per share.

JORDAN: What I found particularly encouraging is that they beat their own expectations across the board. Management said all business segments performed ahead of plan, driven primarily by better-than-expected shipment volumes. And here's the kicker - they're calling 2026 the bottom of the current agricultural cycle.

ALEX: That's huge, Jordan. Let's break down the segments because there are some really interesting dynamics here. Small Ag & Turf was the star performer with 24% growth to $2.2 billion in sales and a 9% operating margin. Meanwhile, Construction & Forestry jumped 34% to $2.7 billion.

JORDAN: The Construction & Forestry story is particularly compelling. Their order bank has risen by over 50% in just the past quarter - that's the highest level since May 2024. Management is seeing strength across infrastructure projects, data center construction, and rental re-fleeting. It's giving them clear visibility into the second half of the fiscal year.

ALEX: And that's translating into some serious guidance raises. They bumped their Construction & Forestry net sales forecast to up around 15% for the full year, with operating margins now expected between 9-11%. But what really caught my attention was the Large Ag discussion.

JORDAN: Right, so Large Ag has been the problem child for Deere, but there are green shoots emerging. While the North American Large Ag industry is still expected to decline 15-20% this year, management noted that large tractor order velocity has picked up, and their rolling order books now provide visibility into the fourth quarter.

ALEX: The used inventory story is fascinating too. They've made significant progress reducing used equipment inventory - model year 2022 and 2023 8R tractors are down over 40% from their peak, and just in this quarter alone, they dropped 20% sequentially. That's clearing the trade ladder and enabling more replacement demand.

JORDAN: Let's talk about some of the strategic moves they're making. The big announcement is their new Deere-designed 20-ton class excavators launching at CONEXPO. This is their first fully Deere-designed and North Carolina-built excavator line, targeting about 40% of the North American construction equipment market.

ALEX: And they completed the acquisition of Tenna, which is all about digitizing construction workflows and fleet management. This fits into their three-layer strategy: machines, tasks, and job sites. They want to help contractors optimize not just individual machines, but entire operations.

JORDAN: The technology adoption numbers are impressive too. They now have over 500 million engaged acres - that's up 10% from a year ago, with nearly a third being "highly engaged." On the combine side, 99% of combines ordered through their early order program had some level of harvest automation, with nearly 80% taking the ultimate package.

ALEX: Now, it wasn't all sunshine and rainbows. They're dealing with $1.2 billion in tariff costs this year, and there are some reg

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**BETA FINCH PODCAST SCRIPT**

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ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown where we dig into the numbers that matter. I'm Alex.

JORDAN: And I'm Jordan. Today we're talking about Caterpillar's Q4 2025 results, and wow - this was a record-breaking quarter in more ways than one.

ALEX: Before we dive in, I need to mention that this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

JORDAN: Absolutely. Now Alex, when you say record-breaking, you're not kidding. Let's start with the headline numbers - what jumped out at you?

ALEX: The sheer scale of these results is impressive. Caterpillar posted record quarterly sales of $19.1 billion - that's up 18% year-over-year. But here's what's really eye-catching: their backlog hit a record $51 billion. That's up 71% from last year, Jordan. We're talking about $21 billion in new backlog growth.

JORDAN: That backlog number is staggering. And it's not just one segment driving this - they saw strength across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and especially Power and Energy. The Power and Energy segment alone grew 23% in the quarter to $9.4 billion in sales.

ALEX: Right, and CEO Joe Creed was pretty excited about this. He mentioned they had "unprecedented order strength across all business segments." What's interesting is that only about 62% of that $51 billion backlog is expected to deliver in the next twelve months. That's lower than their historical average, which tells us they're booking orders well into 2027 and beyond.

JORDAN: That's a double-edged sword, isn't it? On one hand, it provides incredible revenue visibility. On the other hand, it locks them into deliveries at prices set today, while their costs - especially tariff costs - keep climbing. Speaking of tariffs, that was a major theme throughout this call.

ALEX: Oh absolutely. Tariffs were the elephant in the room. They faced $1.7 billion in net incremental tariff costs in 2025, and they're projecting that to jump to $2.6 billion in 2026. CFO Andrew Bonfield was pretty direct about this - he said margins will remain "near the bottom of the target range" because of these tariff headwinds.

JORDAN: And yet, they still managed to deliver a 17.2% adjusted operating profit margin for the full year, which was within their target range. That's solid execution under pressure. But let's talk about what's really driving this growth - the data center boom. This is where things get fascinating.

ALEX: Yes! The AI and cloud computing infrastructure build-out is creating massive demand for Caterpillar's power generation equipment. They announced a huge order yesterday - 2 gigawatts of power generation equipment for something called the Monarch Compute Campus. Joe Creed said this is one of their largest single orders ever for complete power solutions.

JORDAN: And get this - they've now booked four separate orders of at least one gigawatt each for data center prime power applications. Creed mentioned they're seeing customers shift from backup power to prime power, where Caterpillar equipment runs continuously to power these data centers. That's huge for their services business down the road.

ALEX: Exactly. Because when you're running equipment 24/7, you need a lot more maintenance and service. Their services revenue hit $24 billion in 2025, and they're targeting $30 billion by 2030. The data center boom could be a major driver of that growth.

JORDAN: Now, let's talk about the segments. Power and Energy was clearly the star, but Construction Industries also had a strong quarter with 15% sales growth. What's interesting is that Creed attributed some of this to returning to "normal seasonal patterns" - apparently 2025 started unusually slow.

ALEX: Right, and he's optimistic about 2026 for Construction Indust

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ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown! I'm Alex, and joining me as always is Jordan. Today we're diving into Boeing's Q4 2025 earnings, which just dropped, and wow – there's a lot to unpack here.

JORDAN: There really is, Alex. But before we get into the nitty-gritty, I need to share our standard disclaimer: This podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

ALEX: Absolutely. Now Jordan, let's start with the headline numbers because they're actually pretty impressive on the surface.

JORDAN: They really are! Boeing reported $23.9 billion in quarterly revenue – and get this – that's their highest quarterly total since 2018. Revenue was up a massive 57% year-over-year. For the full year, they hit $89.5 billion, up 34%.

ALEX: That's a significant turnaround. What's driving those numbers?

JORDAN: It's really a combination of higher commercial deliveries and better operational performance across the board. They delivered 600 commercial aircraft for the year – again, the most since 2018. The 737 MAX program delivered 447 planes, while the 787 contributed 88 deliveries.

ALEX: Now, the earnings picture gets a bit more complex, right? Because there's this big one-time gain in there.

JORDAN: Exactly. Core earnings per share came in at $9.92, but here's the thing – $11.83 of that was from selling their Digital Aviation Solutions business for about $10.6 billion. Strip that out, and you're looking at underlying operations that are still losing money, but improving significantly from the prior year.

ALEX: Let's talk about what CEO Kelly Ortberg had to say about their turnaround plan. He seems cautiously optimistic but realistic about the challenges ahead.

JORDAN: I thought his tone was really measured. He said "we haven't fully turned the corner, but we're making real progress." That feels honest – they're not overselling the recovery. He highlighted their four-point plan: stabilize the business, execute on development programs, change the culture, and build for the future.

ALEX: Speaking of those development programs, there's some movement on the certification front for their delayed aircraft, right?

JORDAN: Yes, but it's a mixed bag. The 737-10 got approval for its final phase of certification flight testing, which is progress. They still expect both the 737-7 and 737-10 to get certified in 2026. For the 777X, they're sticking with first delivery in 2027, though they did mention a potential engine durability issue they're working through with GE.

ALEX: Now let's get to what investors are probably most interested in – the cash flow situation. This has been Boeing's Achilles' heel for years.

JORDAN: This is where it gets really interesting. They generated positive free cash flow of $375 million in Q4 and used $1.9 billion for the full year – but that was actually better than expected. More importantly, CFO Jay Mollave guided to positive free cash flow of $1 billion to $3 billion for 2026.

ALEX: But there are a lot of moving parts affecting that cash flow, aren't there?

JORDAN: Oh absolutely. Mollave walked through what he called "legacy issues" that are weighing on cash flow. The biggest one is the 777X program, which won't start delivering until 2027, so they're spending cash to build planes but not getting the full payment from customers yet. He said that program alone will be a higher cash use in 2026 than 2025.

ALEX: And then there are these "customer considerations" – essentially compensation for past delivery delays.

JORDAN: Right, and "excess advances" where they've already taken customer cash for planes they haven't delivered yet. These are both legacies of the production problems and MAX grounding from years past. Mollave said when you adjust for all these temporary issues, the underlying b

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