Headlines ... Trump's sanctions dilemma: Migration crackdown vs. regime change ... The power of 'secondary sanctions' ... How sanctions drove inflation, hunger, and state failure ... From Venezuela to the US: Understanding the migrant wave ... Inside the Trump split: Rubio’s hardline vs. Grenell’s dealmaking ... Francisco: The US needs to be more realistic about Maduro ... The path to restoring democracy in Venezuela ...

A note about this podcast ... Paul aces Bob’s worthwhile Canadian pop-quiz ... Trump’s corruption: Illegal or just unprecedentedly gross? ... Elon bows out ... Trump’s crusade against elite colleges continues ... Is JD Vance more dangerous than Trump? ... Are AI doomers walking their talk? ... Trump makes Canada a golden offer ... Heading to Overtime ...

Why Max helped organize the 2023 “Pause AI” letter ... AI as a species not a technology ... The rate of AI progress since 2023 ... Loss of control is the biggest risk ... How to get the NatSec community’s attention ... How we could lose control ... He we stay in control ... Heading to Overtime ...

Headlines ... Bob joins to talk foreign policy ... The DC shootings and the war in Gaza ... Israel's growing isolation ... Are we headed toward an arms race in space? ... An end to the era of arms control? ... Heading to Overtime—and a programming update ...

How significant are the Middle East data center deals? ... Why did AI safety hawks quit talking about international cooperation? ... Why build data centers in the Middle East? ... Microchips and security risks ... The unexamined assumptions of Sinophobia ... What ever happened to peace, love, and understanding? ... AI Czar David Sacks takes on his critics ... Heading to Overtime ...

Headlines ... Why the PKK's disbanding should be the biggest news of the week ... How did Turkey get the PKK to lay down arms? ... A breakthrough for Turkey-Iraq relations ... How Syrian Kurds are trying to make nice with Damascus ... The end of US sanctions on Syria ... Rebuilding a shattered state ... Turkey and Israel: Syria caught in the middle ...

Is Kanye’s new song really pro-Hitler? ... How free should free speech be? ... Substack economics ... Welcome to Sam Altman’s orb ... Can higher education survive AI? ... Did Carney tame Trump? ... Good and bad signs from Trump 2.0 ... Heading to Overtime ...

The week's major international stories ... Trump's approach to everything ... The Houthi deal ... Trump's Middle East trip and Gaza ... India-Pakistan conflict ... Media coverage of Trump 2.0 ... Trump’s biggest Jan 6 transgression ... Is the Republic at stake? ... Heading to Overtime ...

Headlines ... Is Trump breaking with Israel? ... Making sense of the US-Houthi ceasefire ... Will the US give Saudi Arabia nuclear power? ... Reading the tea leaves on US-Iran talks ... Is Trump putting the US on track for war with China? ... Would Trump really go to war with Iran? ... Are restrainers gaining ground in the Trump administration? ... How Israel could undermine US-Iran talks ...

Holly’s newsletter and her work with PauseAI ... The state of AI safety ... Why Holly started PauseAI US ... Is AI acceleration… accelerating? ... What rationalists got wrong about the singularity ... Mechanize Inc. and the danger of AI safety sellouts ... Holly: Here’s why AI should alarm you ... Heading to Overtime ...