What could go right with Trump’s foreign policy? ... Trump’s Bibi-pleasing Middle East path ... How would Europe-led defence of Europe work? ... What most miss about the Oval Office blowup ... Has relying on America doomed Ukraine? ... Heading to Overtime ...

Dan’s new paper, “Superintelligence Strategy” ... “Mutually assured AI malfunction” ... Does China see America’s AI policy as a grave threat? ... How likely is US-China conflict over superintelligence? ... How America’s chip war makes war over Taiwan more likely ... Why did China-hawkism sweep Silicon Valley? ... Can we avoid AI doom without global governance? ... The key points of Dan’s paper ... Heading to Overtime ...

Andrew’s new gig (and gifts) ... Play-by-play of the Oval Office blowup ... Zelensky’s and Trump’s obsessions ... What are Russia’s red lines? ... Guaranteeing Ukraine’s (and Europe’s) security ... Heading to Overtime ...

Introduction ... How the Pentagon budget got so big ... How to cut $60 billion in military spending this year ... The privatization of weapons acquisitions ... Prospects for military budget reform under Trump ...

Paul’s cold take on US-Canada relations ... How representative is representative government, really? ... Bob’s plan to end hockey fights ... A worthwhile Canadian initiative to dump Musk ... What makes James Bond James Bond? ... Bob’s reign as TV analysis king continues (claims Bob) ... Heading to Overtime ...

Intro ... Jack’s experience with presidential power ... Unpacking Trump’s Pentagon and DOJ purges ... Which legal battles could Trump win? ... The Trump-Musk chaos: bug or feature? ... How Trump is putting “unitary executive theory” into practice ... Is a unitary executive unconstitutional? ... Heading to Overtime ...

Intro and housekeeping ... Trump's very good, very bad week on Ukraine ... Trump vs his foreign policy team? ... Great-power competition and its discontents ... Musk runs roughshod over DC ...

Nora’s work on AI alignment and interpretability ... Is *a* singularity near? ... Nora: AI may take my job within two years ... The reason(ing) behind AI’s latest acceleration ... Thinking through the “chain-of-thought” process ... AI “thinking” vs human thinking ... Heading to Overtime ...

Van's new book, The Rivalry Peril ... What policymakers forget about the first Cold War ... The roots of the US-China cold war ... The end of globalization and the rise of economic nationalism ... How rivalry deepens inequality in both the US and China ...

The newly united state of Canada ... What’s Elon’s endgame? ... Ross Douthat gives doubting Paul pause ... Which AI ad won the Super Bowl? ... The real stakes of Elon’s OpenAI bid ... Trump 2.0's free speech hypocrisy ... Heading to Overtime ...