The Crypto Conversation

Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Curve - last model standing?


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Dave the Wave is an investor, trader, and technical analyst. A contrarian, Dave is respected on Crypto Twitter for his objective, rational approach to technical analysis. Dave's thesis is that Bitcoin is following a Logarithmic Growth Curve model. Logarithmic growth suggests exponential gains at the beginning that slowly taper off towards a plateau in the long term.

Why you should listen:

Andy and Dave discuss Dave's Logarithmic Growth Curve model. Dave says that Bitcoin is a nascent currency in the process of capitalization. There are periods of volatility in both directions as new people add and subtract liquidity in adoption waves.

Despite sometimes being misunderstood as bearish, Dave says that if Bitcoin follows the Logarithmic Growth Curve, Bitcoin could hit almost $1million in approximately ten years' time.

Dave analyses several other Bitcoin models, such as Stock to Flow, and Lengthening Cycles, and explains why in his view, they have been invalidated, leaving Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Curve as the last model standing.

Supporting links

Masterworks

Dave the Wave

The Logarithmic Growth Curve

Dave on Twitter

Andy on Twitter

Brave New Coin on Twitter

Brave New Coin

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