Unfiltered Media

Can premium survive and thrive?


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Recorded on the eve of the Future TV Advertising Forum in Sydney, this episode unpacks one deceptively simple question: can premium inventory survive in a world of unlimited impressions? Justin and Ian argue the "premium" debate is really a proxy war over advertising budgets — and that being premium is no longer enough on its own.

  • Premium is a means to an end: Ian reframes the debate — advertisers don't buy premium for its own sake, they buy outcomes. Content is "a secondary issue."
  • Two ideological camps: Traditional media says not all content is equal; tech platforms argue all audiences are equal and ad share should equal audience share.
  • The fragmentation problem: In Australia, scheduled TV fell from ~60% of viewing in 2015 to ~20% in 2025, fuelling the scramble for share against flat AV budgets.
  • Robbing Peter to pay Paul: Broadcasters are jacking up BVOD to offset linear declines — undervaluing linear in the process. In New Zealand, linear rates at times match YouTube rates.
  • AI "slop": Studies cited suggest one in five YouTube videos is AI-generated and 10% of fastest-growing channels are slop — and it's more profitable for platforms to serve than premium content.
  • Transparency, attention and trust: All make a product more premium — but the industry keeps losing the argument in the only room that matters: the boardroom.
  • The boardroom problem: CEOs and CFOs treat advertising as a cost to be optimised, and often override marketing teams. Tech platforms are simply the more persuasive salespeople.
  • Ad tech and agency deals: A sprawling supply chain leaks huge value (an ~80% middle in some markets), while procurement-driven agency deals chase cheaper CPMs — and you can't get better for less.
  • Diversification: Pure ad-funded broadcasters need other revenue streams. Green shoots exist — Super Bowl ad prices jumped from $8m to $10m and sold out in record time.
Key takeaways
  • The premium debate isn't really about content — it's a proxy war over how advertising budgets get allocated.
  • Being premium is no longer enough; broadcasters must prove direct business outcomes in the language of CFOs.
  • Broadcasters are undervaluing linear by inflating BVOD to mask the linear-to-digital transition — a short-term fix.
  • High attention, transparency and trust all make inventory more premium, but the evidence keeps losing in the boardroom.
  • AI slop is structurally more profitable for platforms than premium content, creating an incentive to push it.
  • Pure ad-funded media businesses need to diversify; you can't win alone in advertising today.
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Unfiltered MediaBy Justin Lebbon & Ian Whittaker