Carolina Weather Group

Do you know which has a greater chance of occurring: a low risk of thunderstorms, or a slight risk of tornadoes? The wording used to convene probability and risk across the weather enterprise is not standardized and thus not widely understood.

University of Oklahoma graduate students Emily Lenhardt and Rachael Cross discuss their findings from "How Likely is That Chance of Thunderstorms? A Study of How National Weather Service Forecast Offices Use Words of Estimative Probability and What They Mean to the Public," paperwork they co-wrote along with Makenzie Krocak, Joseph Ripberger, Sean Ernst, Carol Silva, and Hank Jenkins-Smith.

Their argument: No forecast is ever certain, as no meteorological phenomenon is guaranteed to occur. As such, the uncertainty in forecast information should be communicated in a way that makes sense to end-users.

The researchers examined nearly 9,000 tweets from National Weather Service offices across the United States. Their findings: Only 3 tweets accurately convened the true probability of the forecast.

The terms used in these tweets were "generally vague, unqualified notions of probability that may impede the public’s ability to interpret the information hat forecasters are trying to communicate."

Now the findings from this study are being used to improve forecast communications.

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The combination of the new moon, onshore winds, and potentially some showers will produce salt water flooding along parts of the Carolina coast beginning Wednesday morning, with major flooding possible in lower South Carolina by the end of the week.

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This week, Part 2 of the Carolina Weather Group's College Series, where we talk with tomorrow's stars of weather and atmospheric science. 

Our student guests are back telling us why they choose their college or university, and what makes their college town the most unique. 

If you have not yet seen Part 1 of our series, you can watch it here: https://youtu.be/Lcnb2YEBaUk

We talked with these students across multiple recording sessions but what you’ll see is a little bit from all of them. 

And if you’re hungry for more, unlock the raw, extended interviews by supporting us on Patreon. https://patreon.com/carolinaweathergroup

Let’s meet our students:

Brianna Fox of UNC Charlotte

Matthew Toadvine of UNC Charlotte

Kate Melvin of UNC Charlotte

Ethan Clark of Penn State University

Chandler Pruett of Florida State University

Robert Szot of Florida State University

Jake Carstens of Florida State University

Dylan Hudler of Mississippi State University

Aric Illbeig of Mississippi State University

Andrew Messersmith of the University of Oklahoma

Tyler Harrington of University of Massachusetts-Lowell

Justin Buchinsky of Virginia Tech

And let’s meet our Carolina Weather Group panel, asking questions on-camera and behind the scenes:

Scotty Powell in Morganton, North Carolina

Frank Strait in Columbia, South Carolina

Evan Fisher in Asheville, North Carolina

Shea Gibson in Charleston, South Carolina

Dan Whittaker in Greensboro, North Carolina

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The Carolina Weather Group operates a weekly talk show of the same name. Broadcasting each week from the Carolinas, the show is dedicated to covering weather, science, technology, and more with newsmakers from the field of atmospheric science. With co-hosts across both North Carolina and South Carolina, the show may closely feature both NC weather and SC weather, but the topics are universally enjoyable for any weather fan. Join us as we talk about weather, environment, the atmosphere, space travel, and all the technology that makes it possible.

This week, the Carolina Weather Group is kicking off a new multi-part series talking to our industry’s rising stars. You’re going to hear from 12 atmospheric science students currently studying at college programs across the United States: What drove these kids into weather? How did they pick their schools? And what do they hope to accomplish in their career?

We talked with these students across multiple recording sessions but what you’ll see is a little bit from all of them. 

And if you’re hungry for more, unlock extra content for this series by subscribing to us on Patreon. In addition to unlocking the next episode early, you'll be able to watch the raw, extended interviews. SIGN-UP NOW: https://patreon.com/carolinaweathergroup

Let’s meet our students: 

Brianna Fox of UNC Charlotte

Matthew Toadvine of UNC Charlotte

Kate Melvin of UNC Charlotte

Ethan Clark of Penn State University

Chandler Pruett of Florida State University

Robert Szot of Florida State University

Jake Carstens of Florida State University

Dylan Hudler of Mississippi State University

Aric Illbeig of Mississippi State University

Andrew Messersmith of the University of Oklahoma

Tyler Harrington of University of Massachusetts-Lowell

Justin Buchinsky of Virginia Tech

And let’s meet our Carolina Weather Group panel, asking questions on-camera and behind the scenes:

Scotty Powell in Morganton, North Carolina

Frank Strait in Columbia, South Carolina

Evan Fisher in Asheville, North Carolina

Shea Gibson in Charleston, South Carolina

Dan Whittaker in Greensboro, North Carolina

Stay subscribed. Next week, our group of students will tell us more about their schools, including what makes their college towns most unique. 

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SUPPORT US ON PATREON

VISIT OUR WEBSITE

The Carolina Weather Group operates a weekly talk show of the same name. Broadcasting each week from the Carolinas, the show is dedicated to covering weather, science, technology, and more with newsmakers from the field of atmospheric science. With co-hosts across both North Carolina and South Carolina, the show may closely feature both NC weather and SC weather, but the topics are universally enjoyable for any weather fan. Join us as we talk about weather, environment, the atmosphere, space travel, and all the technology that makes it possible.

The last days of summer-like weather are among us, with a cold front approaching this weekend bringing in crisp, cool autumn air.  

Plus... what's with all the bugs? We're taking a look at the perspective of bugs appearing on weather cameras throughout the Carolinas. With cooler temperatures moving in, the bugs are looking for new places to live. Some of them may even be coming into your homes.  

And Scotty to the rescue! Not only does he cover flooding, but he's also the man you need in a pinch. Scotty tells the tale of aiding his stranded, fellow storm trackers. 

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Fantasy football weather

CWG's Storm Chase Week 2019

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Grab those dancing shoes and prepare to have your socks knocked off, we're taking you inside our special Spotify series: The Carolina Weather Group Panelist Playlist.

James Brierton chats with Tim Pounds, the host of our special podcast series which brings you inside the musical stylings of our Carolina Weather Group panelists.

With episodes for the young and old, our panelist not only drop the needle on their favorite tunes, but they'll tell you stories about their favorite weather memories, their most treasured places to visit in the Carolinas, and what makes each one of our panelist a special, unique-type of nerd.

The episodes are free and can be found within the Carolina Weather Group audio podcast feed on Spotify. They feature full-length music from your favorite artists if you're already subscribed to Spotify Premium. If you're not, don't worry! The free version of Spotify still comes with audio samples of each song.

Find the Carolina Weather Group on Spotify:

Or get plugged in directly with episodes from:

James Brierton

Scotty Powell

Jared Smith

Evan Fisher

Shea Gibson

Peter Planamente

Frank Strait

Florida State University students Robert Szot and Chandler Pruett think improvements can be made to the hurricane forecast cone produced by the National Weather Service's National Hurricane Center. The cone is seen across television and the Internet. These FSU students join us this week to discuss the results of a public survey they did to better understand how the public understands and consumes this famous forecast graphic.

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It's been 32 years since Hurricane Hugo arrived in the Carolinas. The infamous storm, which impacted coastal and inland Carolina alike, is still ingrained in us over three decades later. This week, we're revisiting our anniversary special from 2019.

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SpaceX has launched Inspiration4 mission – the world’s first all-civilian human spaceflight to orbit – aboard SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and Dragon spacecraft from historic Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida. 

Many of you are sharing photos and videos of the rocket's vapor trail across the eastern Carolina sky.

Approximately three days after liftoff, Dragon and the Inspiration4 crew will return to Earth and splashdown at one of several possible landing sites off the Florida coast.

This week we're also tracking four areas of interest in the tropics, including the remnants of Nicholas, which will help bring rain chances to the Carolinas this week and weekend.

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There's a lab in Chester County, South Carolina where scientists build life-sized structures, and re-create actual severe weather, to test the integrity of home construction. Inside their lab, they can recreate damaging hail, damaging wind, hurricanes, and even wildfires. They can then test to determine how walls, windows, garage doors, roofs, cars, and more hold up against severe weather.

Ian Giammanco is the senior director of product design and lead meteorologist with the Insurance Institute for business and Home Safety.

Ian shares new state-by-state rankings that show how states, including North Carolina and South Carolina, stack up against other states when it comes to building safety codes.

To make improvements on your own home, visit https://inspecttoprotect.org.

To prepare your family for a weather disaster, visit https://disastersafety.org.

And to learn more about the Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety, visit https://ibhs.org.

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