Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, takes a deep dive into the U.S. soybean balance sheet and explains why China's purchasing decisions may have a bigger impact on soybean prices than weather this summer.

In this June 3 update, Arlan covers:

• Why soybean futures have come under pressure despite strong crush demand

• What current crop ratings are signaling about the 2026 soybean crop

• How additional soybean acreage could impact production estimates

• Why soybean crush remains a major source of demand growth

• The role of soybean oil and biofuel demand in supporting the market

• Whether USDA's export projections are realistic

• Why U.S. soybeans remain significantly more expensive than Brazilian supplies

• What China's commitment to purchase 25 million metric tons could mean for the balance sheet

• How Chinese soybean buying would reshape global trade flows

• The potential impact on U.S. ending stocks and soybean prices

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