Michael is joined by Andrew Laming MP, Liberal member for Bowman Qld & former infectious disease researcher, who wrote in yesterday’s The Australian that the newly released COVID-19 modelling shows that Australia’s response means we can move on from the modelling of overrun hospital wards because, on current data, this simply won’t happen.

‘What’s more important is to understand the likely scale of this disease through winter. The crucial­ measure is “active cases” — total infections minus the number of recovered patients and those who die. Active cases are heading for a manageable equilibrium, with infection­s brought in by travellers and cruise-ship passengers run­nin­g their course while the ranks of the ­recovered increase.’

‘So the bigger question is which lockdown measures need to stay and which don’t. The distant finish line is a vaccine early next year.’