In our latest episode, we present the January Business Risk Index results and analysis. CreditorWatch CEO Patrick Coghlan and index creator James O'Donnell from Open Analytics discuss the key insights.
Key Business Risk Index insights for March:
Trade receivables and credit enquiries up, indicating the economy many have reached a turning point for trade activity.
Multiple adverse impacts will likely temper this positive data over the coming months.
The Business Risk Index national default rate was up marginally to 5.8 percent, from 5.7 per cent in February, however CreditorWatch forecasts a continued rise across 2022.
Credit enquiries were at 219,428 for March – the highest monthly number since July 2021 and second highest since March last year.
Court actions were at their highest point since March 2021 indicating that enforcements and collection activities are returning to normal levels.
Trade payment defaults are at their equal highest point since October 2020, another leading indicator of rising insolvencies.
The probability of default for the hospitality industry jumped from 6.7 per cent to 7.2 per cent from February to March. Arts and Recreation and Transport have also deteriorated.
Trade payment default rates in the Lismore region have increased from February to March but remain well below the national average.
The net result of the CreditorWatch Business Risk Index and our broader credit indicators is that the economic outlook is bumpy, with multiple negative impacts conspiring to drag on growth.
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