Critical Point Podcast

An update of the more important intrayear trends of interest rates, the dollar index, gold, and oil.Stock market investors watch these markets.Pro-inflationists have an interest.Investors eye the election. Modeling suggests a better economy under Biden than otherwise.A super-cycle in rates and inflation should turning higher. A correctly anticipated long-term bull market in stocks that began from a buy signal Mar 25 is intact.

No change to model outlook. Strong demand persists at harvest-time.On watch for an L3 Critical Point.Traders watch harvest, US-China, South America.The dollar swings lower this week. In line with expectations.Interest rates are firms as anticipated by the model.Heavy snow the Northern Plains?

No change to 10-30 day outlook for the US stock market indexes.

L4 intraweek swings are not clear. Sideways action today? Likely to swing higher by close tomorrow. Watch for support late today.

Dependent upon stimulus speculation.

Fundamentals are status quo as economy grows but so does the virus.

L4 reversal today? Soybeans are losing upside momentum.

No change to outlook from last week per the trend of the grains into next month.

Strong export sales persist. Traders watch inspections for the clue that demand follows through.

Harvest continues.

Traders watch SA dryness. The dollar is likely to range bound, but what of all markets around election time.

China's GDP came in at 4.9% or somewhat below expectations, but showed recovery from the virus-recession.

A long-term point of view of a commodities index and selected markets like corn, coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton.

Generated from a model that tracks long-term business cycles plus major groups that create nearly 100% of price fluctuation.

Inflation and interest rates are due to rise over the next 15-25 years relative to super-cycles. A growing global economy plus inflation can stimulate commodity prices. Is there a commodity that will outperform the stock market?

Morning Brief of the US stoc market.

Higher index futures overnight signal the recent bullish calls via the model are correct. Trends are intact.

Investors eye stimulus negotiations, election, a chance for growing economies.

Gold is nearing time for an L2 top, but doubt it matters. A chance for higher prices when looking to yearend.

Bonds decline from an early but forecasted high. May decline into November. But what of election?

Crude oil should work higher as forecast.

The dollar is to swing lower or at least show range trade in the coming weeks relative to an intermediate intrayear trend via the model.

Weekly model-based evaluation of the US stock market for the most important intrayear trends and the long-term.

The recent call for a model-based L1 uptrend this month is well underway to being proven correct!

Investors watch stimulus negotiations and related speculation, plus the coming election.

Virus cases provided additional evidence of the quant-model call for rising cases.