Critical Point Podcast

The April unemployment rate provided additional evidence the business cycle model was correct for calling for a recession. It started warning of problems in 2018. It stated a recession should occur no later than 2021. Done deal. Next?

Long-term and intermediate-term assessment of cotton price trends.A long-term critical point is due.

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims were again higher than average guess, but also showed a slower pace of new unemployment.Tomorrow, the monthly Jobs Report is due. How large the surge in the unemployment rate?This podcast shows the history of unemployment.

A business cycle model viewpoint of the more important intrayear price fluctuation, plus long-term trends.

A long-term perspective of milk prices.An abrupt turn higher was seen recently in C3 milk futures.Is the move sustainable?

Today's podcast shows long-term and intermediate-term business cycle trends of price. Price trends reflect supply and demand fluctuation.Cocoa is at a critical point.

The refocus on negative fundamentals and overbought technical weighs on US stock market indexes.Today's stock market podcast shows anticipated swings by traders and investors over the next 12 hours to the next 4 weeks.I will be expanding the number of commodities shown. Stock market index signals will be moved to the Premium service, but there will be delayed or alternate discussion for free.Become a Premium service member. Thanks!

April US ISM-PMI manufacturing fell to 41.5 signaling a recession.Next week, we will learn about the readings of the services industries.This podcast shows a trend of the economic indicator derived from PMIs.The business cycle model was correct for calling for a recession during 2018-21.The economy grows for 7-12 years, then falls into recession for 1-3 years.History repeated. When will a booming economy return? Watch this podcast.Tell others. Link to others. Thank you!