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Country Date Time Impact Forecast Previous CB Consumer Confidence USD 07-27-2021 2:00pm High 123.9 127.3 CPI q/q AUD 07-28-2021 1:30am High 0.7% 0.6% Trimmed Mean CPI q/q AUD 07-28-2021 1:30am High 0.5% 0.3% CPI m/m CAD 07-28-2021 12:30pm High 0.4% 0.5% FOMC Statement USD 07-28-2021 6:00pm High FOMC Press Conference USD 07-28-2021 6:30pm High Advance GDP q/q USD 07-29-2021 12:30pm High 8.5% 6.4% GDP m/m CAD 07-30-2021 12:30pm High -0.3% -0.3% Core PCE Price Index m/m USD 07-30-2021 12:30pm High 0.6% 0.5%
GBP/USD 1.3728 GBP/AUD 1.8648
GBP/USD 1.3750 GBP/AUD 1.8640
GBP/USD 1.3610 GBP/AUD 1.8648
GBP/USD 1.3650 GBP/AUD 1.8640
GBP/USD 1.3720 GBP/AUD 1.8648
Pound weakens near the end of the week amid risk aversion. GBP/USD could post the lowest weekly close since April. Decisive ECB policy action to back up the new policy framework could trigger a fresh EUR sell off next week at a time when other major central banks (BoE & Fed) are moving closer to raising rates. A failure to act would provide some relief for the EUR. The risks though for next week are higher that there is a more lasting impact on EUR given this meeting follows the updated monetary policy strategy review and ECB President Lagarde has clearly indicated that changes will be made, at least to guidance and depending how explicit those changes are will determine the impact. Any shock or surprise is likely to imply a EUR downside move. EUR/USD is likely to remain in a consolidation phase between 1.1770 and 1.1895 in the next 1-3 weeks. The dollar edged higher on Friday, logging its largest weekly gain in a month, after upbeat retail sales data boosted expectations that economic growth accelerated in the second quarter.
GBP/USD
1.3825
GBP/USD 1.3850 GBP/AUD 1.8555
GBP/USD 1.3855 GBP/CAD 1.7262
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