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Is the crypto market cooked? In this week's episode of Crypto Flip, three investors managing a combined seven-figure portfolio break down the current state of the market and whether the bull run is truly over.
The episode kicks off with the Crypto Confessions segment, featuring two wild stories from listeners. The first is about a coworker who turned $4K into $1.2 million on meme coins, retired at 28, and ended up working in a warehouse barely a year later. The hosts break down the difference between making money and keeping it, and call out the confession sender for pocket watching. The second confession comes from someone who accumulated 167 BTC back in 2014-2015 and spent most of it on drugs and cash trades—a stash that would now be worth over $16 million.
The main discussion dives into the question on everyone's mind: is the cycle over? The hosts analyze the recent 20% correction and explain why they don't believe the market is done. They discuss the flash crash on October 10th, which Ricardo describes as a "10 Sigma event" with odds of one in half a septillion years, pointing to market manipulation. Despite the fear in the market, Bitcoin holding above $100K is seen as a bullish signal, and the hosts argue that widespread panic and people declaring "it's over" is often a sign of an impending reversal.
The conversation also covers major catalysts on the horizon, including Trump's proposed $2,000 stimulus checks and the potential impact on crypto markets, drawing comparisons to what happened when stimulus checks were distributed in 2020. They touch on the pending XRP ETF approval on Nasdaq, historical November performance for Bitcoin, and the ongoing debate about December rate cuts.
Looking at the bigger picture, the hosts examine total crypto market cap, which peaked at $4.2 trillion this cycle compared to $3 trillion last cycle. They discuss the reality of diminishing returns as the market matures and the number of tokens grows exponentially.
The episode wraps up with practical investment advice. For casual investors, the recommendation is simple: stick to Bitcoin and top 5 coins, buy and hold, and don't try to trade unless you can dedicate two to three hours a day to the market. For active traders getting wrecked, the message is clear—you're probably doing too much. Setting alerts at key price levels and waiting for strategic entry points is far better than over-trading with high leverage.
"The market will remain irrational until you become insolvent."
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Nothing in these podcasts are financial advice, just banter and vibes. Stay safe out there.
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