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By Reed Smith
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The podcast currently has 22 episodes available.
This episode features a panel discussion on the current state of the health care private equity market, comparing it to previous years and exploring how the industry has adapted, and continues to adapt, to remain competitive.
The panel was moderated by Chris Sheaffer, global vice-chair of Private Equity at Reed Smith, and Nicole Aiken-Shaban, Life Sciences & Health Care partner at Reed Smith. Panelists included Tony Crisman, managing director and head of Healthcare IB at Stout; Daniel Schultz, managing director of BD at Webster Equity; Kevin Reilly, managing director at Ally Bridge; Brandon Cohen, principal at H.I.G. Capital; and Brian Bewley, Life Sciences & Health Care partner at Reed Smith.
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Transcript:
Intro: Hello, welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content through this series, please contact our speakers.
Chris: Welcome to the panel. Appreciate you guys taking part in this kind of state of the healthcare healthcare market panel as part of our private equity healthcare forum being hosted in the New York office today. We've got a great panel together. Maybe before we start, we'll kind of kick things off with introductions. My name is Chris Sheaffer. I'm vice chair of Reed Smith's private equity group.
Nicole: Nicole Aiken-Shaban. I'm a partner in Reed Smith's Philadelphia office with a focus in healthcare regulatory and transactional work, and particularly in the private equity space.
Tony: Tony Crisman, Managing Director, Head of Healthcare Investment Banking at Stout, 25-year healthcare investment banker. I was at Lincoln for 15 years before that and started out at an old name firm, Dain Rauscher Wessels.
Brandon: Brandon Cohen, I'm a principal at HIG Capital based out of Miami. I spend all my time in healthcare.
Daniel: My name is Dan Schultz. I'm a Managing Director at Webster and I manage all of our business development.
Kevin: And I'm Kevin Riley. I'm Managing Director at Ally Bridge Group. We're a life sciences-focused healthcare investor, predominantly in biotech and medtech, mainly focused on growth stage transactions.
Brian: Good afternoon. My name is Brian Bewley. I'm in our life sciences and health industry group like Nicole and heavily focused on private equity transactions.
Chris: So let's just dig into it. I mean, private equity investing in healthcare has been a very hot topic over the last couple of years. You know, the market generally between interest rates, you know, macro events, obviously an upcoming election. There's been a lot of focus on the regulatory side recently. Look, Tony, you're sitting closest to me. I mean, look, on the investment banking side, you guys obviously see quite a lot. I mean, how has 2023 been? How's the first ’24 been? How's the first half of the year?
Tony: It's been an interesting start to the year. I think that there was a lot of pent up demand, an interesting thing that I always think about. The beginning of my career, capital was the scarcity and assets were the commodity, and we're completely upside down. And we were trending that way over the last 20, 25 years. But I think a lot of people were really hoping for a tidal wave of transaction activity to start ’23, or start ’24. And I think for the most part, what we've seen coming to market are a lot of assets that bankers and private equity have been kind of holding on to maybe late ’22, ’23 might have been their initial timing. But just looking at the overall market dynamics and things of that nature, they were kind of held. So it really started to perk up in late March. And I do think that the regulatory dynamics, they always drive deal activity within healthcare, which is why it's technically attractive. And so you do see a lot of portfolio adjustments through COVID and into the current day in terms of where healthcare investors are looking to deploy capital, not just recession resistant, but pandemic resistance.
Chris: Brandon, what are you guys seeing on the sponsor side? I mean, have you guys been hearing from your LPs a little bit more? I mean, how are things going with HIG?
Brandon: Yeah, I'd echo some of the comments. It felt like the first month or two of the year were a little bit slower than expected. I was actually looking back at some data. Our healthcare deal volume is probably up 30%, 40% in 24 year-to-date versus the same period in ’22, ’23, still off of the 2021 peak. The interesting thing that we've seen is just the quality of the assets. You mentioned in, people holding things back. And we've seen, it feels like the number of deals getting done are far fewer than that 2021 level, despite the volume being fairly close. And it feels like buyers are still pretty cautious, right? We've seen a lot of instances where a banker tells me, hey, got a dozen IOIs or multiple turns higher than you. And weeks later, that deal kind of falls apart. And on the sell side, we've seen several processes where buyers kind of complete most of their work and don't show up at the end. And, you know, I don't know that that's healthcare specific, but it just feels like buyers are fairly cautious and, you know, sellers don't necessarily want to take a discount to 2021 levels.
Chris: Yeah. I mean, I think that extends well beyond healthcare. We're seeing the same thing regardless of market and sector. It just seems like the valuation still needs to be bridged a little bit, both healthcare and otherwise, but hopefully, you know, we're optimistic for the back end of the year here.
Nicole: Brian, this one's for you. Chris did mention some of the recent changes in the healthcare industry that have been happening recently. Could you give a brief overview of those to the participants here today and thoughts on what investors should be thinking about on the horizon when they're looking to invest in the healthcare space?
Brian: Thanks, Nicole. I actually printed off something because this is a year where there's quite a bit of activity, so it's unusual. There's been a lot of developments on both the state and federal level. I'm sure most of you have been following it. At the state level, several laws have been passed. There's some laws that are pending. Really around, I think approximately 13 states now have promulgated or adopted essentially many HSR laws requiring notice and at times approval by the state governments for private equity transactions. There are some states that are, for lack of a better way of saying it, worse than others, more restrictive. California, Illinois, Minnesota, and New York are the four that I wrote down that are incredibly restrictive because they require pre-merger notification requirements and then also approval of the transaction. At the federal level, similarly, there's been quite a bit of activity from the antitrust side. And I'm not an antitrust attorney, but because I do a lot of of work in this space. It's obviously on the top of minds of us as counsel, but also our clients. The first thing, FTC, DOJ, and HHS issued a joint request for information in March of this year to examine private equity's role in healthcare consolidation. They actually extended the deadline for responses to June 5th, which has already passed. Obviously, we don't know the outcome of that RFI and what they're ultimately going to do with it. But I assume that probably by the end of the year, we'll see some activity resulting from that RFI that the government issued. And as you all probably know, because you've gone through deals that require these HSR filings, but FTC has proposed changing to the filing requirements that would increase the disclosure obligations for healthcare deals. Usually I'm generally reluctant to talk about proposed legislation because it's just proposed and you don't know for sure if it's going to come to fruition, if it will ultimately result in some sort of law that's promulgated. But I think it was about four weeks ago, Senators Warren and Markey proposed, and this is the exact title of it, Health Over Wealth Act. There's a lot of different things that it requires. If it's successful, it will require private equity firms to obtain licenses from the Department of of Health and Human Services to invest in health care entities. And if you fail to qualify or obtain a license, you would be restricted from doing deals in the health care space and potentially would have to divest portfolio companies. This would also allow HHS to block deals pending their review, and then it would also require that the PE firms disclose financial and operational data, including debt levels, political spending, what wages are going to be, and what facilities are going to be utilized and not utilized. And then the last thing that would be required, again, if this is successful, is that there would have to be an escrow account. You'd have to establish an escrow account to cover all health services costs for five years should there be facility closures. Now, again, this is their proposal. I think there's quite a bit. I don't know if it will be successful. And frankly, even if it is, I think it's going to be challenged because of how restrictive this law would be. And frankly, it's anti-capitalistic. And so I'm not sure how much legs or how if it will actually get legs but it is certainly something that we should all be paying attention to and then I guess the last thing and this is more of a general theme and some of you are probably members with like the American investment council but a lot of the activity that we're seeing at the state and federal level you know is the result of really one-sided narratives that are being pushed about private equities role and and health care transactions and obviously at the FTC level even at the congressional level and I would even say the Department of Health and Human Services, some of you may know, I was a former government attorney well over a decade ago, both with the Department of Justice and with the Office of Counsel to the Inspector General for HHS. And private equity was a thing back then, and there was some talk about it, but it's taken well over a decade to see what we're now seeing both at the state and federal level. And I think, unfortunately that is part of that is the result of private equity not having the same same type of representation from a lobbying perspective within the gov you know within the government and I think that's now changing and so I what I do expect and what I do anticipate I know many of you the private equity firms are part of this you know whether it's AIC or other industry associations I do expect that counter narratives are going to start being popping up and being presented because there's obviously a really good story and narrative that private equity needs to put out there. Namely, if private equity is not funding technological advances or advances in patient care, where's the money going to come from? Because we know the government is not going to fund these things. So I do think that we're going to see changes in how this narrative is being presented, But it largely is going to be driven by private equity firms and cooperation with industry associations and law firms.
Chris: Yeah. And just picking up on those last points, if anybody's listened to the webinars that have been put out there as part of the FAQs of the government, they are very anti-private equity, to the point they're completely one-sided. Maybe I'll throw this to Dan and Kevin. What has been, I guess, your respective firm's reaction to some of this regulation? Are you looking at it both in terms of investment and PR? I mean, how are you guys kind of thinking about it more broadly? Because there's just such a spotlight on the sector right now.
Daniel: Yeah, I mean, for us, it's not necessarily outward PR, but more with our LPs and trying to position to them sort of where patient care meets what we're doing to give them their returns. And so for us, it's internally thinking about within ESG, within some of these other initiatives that we have is how do we message that to LPs and other groups that we work with that what we're doing is actually a benefit to the community.
Chris: Kevin?
Kevin: Yeah, I mean, I think the increased scrutiny in this entire space just coming from a place of regulators trying to understand everything that's going on, right? Trying to digest the effects of consolidation within the healthcare industry and how does a traditional private equity flip and strip transaction affect jobs? How do physician roll-ups affect the space? How do these new value-based care platforms and startups affect the market? So honestly, I get the focus on it. It's something as healthcare investors need to be constantly thinking about. I've spent my whole entire career in healthcare and I don't understand the intricacies between all these different subsectors within healthcare. So why do we expect the regulators to, right? So I think the intent might be well warranted. I think the problem is, in reality, I think consolidation that's causing a lot of issues in the healthcare world is less so by private equity-backed businesses and more so by corporate giants amongst the payers and PBMs, et cetera. So it keeps me up at night. It's top of mind for us on all the HSR issues that was just touched on. And I think the problem is, is we're investing in companies, particularly in biotech and medtech, oftentimes this increased scrutiny is preventing additional innovation in the category, right? So again, it's top of mind for us and very similar to what was just described over here. It's something we need to constantly be educating our LPs on too.
Nicole: Yeah and I think it's a good point to make that the scrutiny at the government level is not just on private equity, although that's obviously one of the big talking points that we see in the press and in the proposed legislation that Brian was talking about as well. But we also see it with sort of that consolidation more broadly with vertical integration with some of these payer organizations. So I think there's going to continue to be that government activity as we move forward into 2024 and 2025. A question for you, Brandon, on your end, when you're thinking about the government's role in healthcare investing going forward, let's say in the next six to 12 months, what do you think that role is going to look like and its impact on the investments that you're looking at doing?
Brandon: Yeah, obviously don't have a crystal ball. And Brian, one more quick answer to that question. Look, I think we're obviously focused on the areas that you brought up from a regulatory or approval standpoint from an FTC perspective, corporate practice of medicine at the state level is something we're very focused on. Obviously, it depends on who wins the election and what that does to regulation. But as I think a lot of folks have touched on, we've always been focused on, compliance and quality on outcomes, as I'm sure most investors are. And demonstrating that value proposition has become a bigger topic to us, getting involved in those lobbyist groups and showing that, hey, we are creating jobs, we are driving, you know, better quality, better outcomes, and, you know, kind of setting that up, regardless of what the government decides to do with some of their proposed and pending regulation.
Nicole: And Kevin, feel free to weigh in more broadly on what you think the government's role would be, but maybe more specifically, thinking ahead to the election, which is, you know, coming up in a few months, you know, what do you think the outcome of that election one way or the other might have on the healthcare investing sort of in that period of time right after the election finally, the dust settles, let's say, and we know who the next president's going to be.
Kevin: Yeah, I mean, on the first part, I think the cardinal rule in healthcare is things always take more time, more money, just because everything is incredibly regulated, right? I think on the product side that we're investing in, again, drugs, medical technologies, et cetera, FDA has done a great job of pushing drugs and technologies to approvals. I think they're at all-time highs, which is great. Reimbursement has become more and more of a slog for investing in commercial stage opportunity, just getting an approval means nothing nowadays. Now you have to go out and get reimbursement coverage. And we're seeing that across our portfolio. It's getting more and more difficult, even though we're picking companies that have an incredibly robust amount of clinical evidence that shows good clinical outcomes. And also, you're actually saving the healthcare system money. I think back to the HSR side, it's cloudy our investment thesis if we think it's going to be a difficult ultimate exit down the road, if a strategic is thinking about how this affects you know antitrust issues right we were we we led this series seeing a company called GRAIL if you guys probably know that was sold to Illumina that just had to be forced to divest that business actually yesterday and spun it out so it's just it's all very top of mind to us on the question around election I i'm not going to pretend to be a political analyst here obviously there's always critical matters at stake I looking back at the data over the last four or five election cycles, so-called the last 20 years, I think we've seen Republicans sweep, Dems sweep, split government and if you look at all the data, there's always volatility in and around the time of the election, but the healthcare market generally performs well right after the election. And I think this year specifically, I actually think healthcare is a little bit less in the limelight than just other broader geopolitical issues and things that we're all well aware of. So versus elections in years past, I'm actually less concerned about who wins the house and how that affects our investment philosophy.
Chris: Maybe I'll throw this to you, Tony. We've started this panel about everybody expecting to be this massive waves of assets, of quality assets that have been building up and building up. We heard from Brandon, obviously, though, that sale processes are taking longer, people are being a lot more deliberate. I commented about valuations maybe not yet being there. We've also talked about the increased regulation. How is all of this coming together? Where are we heading for the next six months? Where are we heading next year? Are people less inclined because of some of this regulatory focus to be in the market? What's your view in terms of what things look like going forward?
Tony: Yeah. No, there's going to be activity. I think post-Labor Day, we're going to see, as I mentioned, I think a lot of what's been coming out are things that I'll say bankers have been holding back, rightfully bankers and their owners saying, hey, it's not the right time until we got some normalization of the debt markets. We're just accepting what the debt markets are, I guess is what it really is. But the thing now, I think we're going to start seeing that pitch velocity for the assets that are going to be coming out. What's interesting, I do still think there's been a quality of asset. I said, I mean, I'm a banker, so every B and C asset's an A, don't worry about it. But I think we have seen more of the Bs and Cs where we are getting the canaries in the coal mine, like those A assets in certain segments that everybody else is watching to see if it transacts and happens. And that gives people the confidence that, hey, the values are out there, right? I mean, hey, we can put five and a half times leverage on this. Great. At that interest rate, we've got handcuffs with those. So how do we manage through that and things of that nature? One of the things, and I think, Brandon, you said a couple of things that are very important, and it's something I'm talking to everybody within our team, but also across the bank, about is process design matters. I'm hearing a lot of frustration from private equity players that bankers are still trying to run processes like it's 2021. Now, we know banking is a young person's game. We haven't had a down market for 15 years. So a lot of folks who've only really seen an up market and how you market in an up market. My reality is I think some bankers are still over pitching valuations because in a down market, you got to get what you can get. Problem is if you go out and try and mark that in the market, you end up with issues of, and we give a lot of advice to buyers looking at assets. We're like, look, this is a 10 to 12 times business all day long. We think you got bid 14 to get in. And there are groups bidding the book. And what's happening is you're ending up with attrition immediately post-MP and losing parties, losing competitive tension, and ending up with hung transactions. The secondary thing is if you're running your process too fast. Private equity is in the conundrum right now. They have to do twice as much diligence. It's half because of lenders, but it's half because, hey, I'm willing to get to your premium value. I've got the capital. I've got to put it to work. I need it to diligence out clean. So stop telling me it's speed, certainty, terms, and value all day long. You're going to have to start giving people exclusivity. It was the anomaly was 2020, late 2020 to late 22. too. That was the anomaly, not the norm. And I think people are still trying to run processes through that. And it's creating a lot of challenge for buyers and you're seeing attrition. So I'm telling our team, we're running processes proper. We're not telling clients we can get you everything all the time. And it says, by the way, I don't like hung deals. And then finally, bring in some of your hard bidders. If you've got bidders at 14X, bring in your hard 12, because I guarantee you that 14 is going to turn into an 11 and the hard 12s are going to say, you're an idiot. And by the way, that's good for your fee overall, but bring in some of those players that are cuspy. You can go ahead and keep your message to the market that, hey, it's 14X to get in and just tell the player that's a hard 12. Hey, I know you can play up, you know, play into that. And that's why we're seeing far more transaction activity than we're seeing transaction closings.
Chris: I mean, Dan, you're on the other side of that. You're getting the books, you're looking at everything, you're acting with Stout and the banks. I mean, what's your reaction to what Tony did?
Daniel: I think first, you still have a very, very wide range of expectations, right? Buyers have one expectation that we're in the credit market. Sellers have the other expectation that we're two years back and we're still trying to look back in the 2021, 2022 timeframe. From where I sit in sourcing deals as my primary job, deals between zero and 15 million to be able to have still been in the market in healthcare services. We're seeing those deals. There's good quality deals. The ones that are larger than that, bankers are really having to have tough conversations. We've been sitting on this deal for the last six months, nine months, 12 months, is now the right time to pull the trigger. Good assets still get premiums and are still getting valuations that we expect. We're still buying deals that we're getting on good multiples. I'll say where the add-ons come into play is a little different. They're not getting the same multiples today that they were getting two years ago, which were consistent with what we were playing for platforms. So you're seeing the change as we do our buy and build strategy within healthcare services. The add-ons are not as rich of a multiple as we had been. Going forward, I think that you're probably gonna see deal flow kind of stay the same within that lower middle market, you're going to have some of those larger deals come to market. But really, I think 2025 is going to be when more of the floodgates open and people get a little more comfortable with the market.
Nicole: We've heard a little bit about the changes on the horizon from a regulatory perspective, the financial outlook, and the markets generally. This is going to be the lightning round for the entire panel. And I'll start with Tony, since you're right on my right. I know you get to go first. Just a one-minute view on what you expect the outlook for healthcare investing to be for the rest of 2024.
Tony: Yeah, I think for the remainder of 2024, we are going to continue to see increased activity month over month. I do also think you're going to start to have those conversations happening in Q4 for Q1 launches, because I do think 2025 is setting up to be a year of necessity of going to market in transaction velocity. You know, hopefully we can get to a point where we're seeing transaction closings matching what's in market. But I do think that's getting to that alignment that Dan was talking about. So I would anticipate seeing increasing deal flow, increasing direct discussions with some of those assets, maybe you've been knocking on doors of where they're getting serious and saying, all right, now's the time to go make it happen. So through the remainder of the year, I think I'm optimistic. I've never been a great wave person. Like, hey, there's going to be a wave of deals. I do think ’25 is going to be better, but I think each month is going to tick up. And I think investors are finding the right seams where they want to go target. We have seen increased interest in life sciences and diversifying some of those healthcare services plays. But we saw that starting kind of back in ’21 having to do with that pandemic resistance dynamic overall. So I would anticipate seeing more in med tech, seeing more in outsourced pharma services, areas like that where there's a little bit more insular budgets and better regulatory dynamics where, hey, we're actually getting FDA approval. So that's great, as opposed to, hey, everything's a problem and a little bit murky and opaque.
Nicole: Yeah, go ahead, Brandon. We'll go down the line.
Brandon: Yeah, I'd echo a lot of that. I think we've still seen those A-plus, A-deals getting done, not just the ones that Tony are telling us are A-deals. To Dan's point, I do think you see more activity in 2025. But I think, and you asked the question earlier, I didn't answer it. Look, we're fortunate to be a big firm and not have a ton of LP pressure, but you're going to see more and more LP pressure. I'm not sure you talked to our investor relations teams and they're telling you, you know, LPs are very focused on return of capital. I think on top of that, you're going to see lender pressure as well, right? Those companies that should have sold in 2022, it's now 24, you know, they gave you kind of a year or two. At some point, they're like, look, guys, we want to get out of this. And I think you'll start to see sponsors where, you know, hey, you were hoping this was a two, three times return. turn. But if you have a path to getting an acceptable outcome, whether it's your LPs or your lenders, you're going to be pushed. So I think from a deal activity standpoint, I think we'll expect to see volume increase. And I think you'll start to see that close rate increase as well.
Daniel: Yeah. So I think the activity is still going to happen. I mean, right now we have in healthcare services, two deals under LOI. So in the summer months, hopefully those two will close, but I think you'll start to see some of those middle market deals actually get closed. One thing that we didn't mention is that I see approval too, is becoming harder to get with a lot of these companies. So I think that, you know, there are certain markets within healthcare services that are favorable and some that are unfavorable. So some of those favorable markets, deals are continuing to get done. The unfavorable ones, it's going to be cyclical. And once kind of the market knows and the perception changes, I think you'll start to see more activity there. But I think it's, as I mentioned earlier, I don't think it's going to be until 2025 that we really see the market come back to where we had seen it before.
Kevin: First of all, I feel very good now that I know the playbook on how to sell a company, from Tony. But yeah, I think a little bit of what Brandon said too, I think just across the board for private equity firms, regardless of the subsector in healthcare, DPI is low in funds that were raised in 2018 through 2022. So I think you're just going to see more and more deal volume have to pick up from that perspective. On the product side and in biotech and medtech, we're seeing a lot more activity now. I think we did in medtech, for example, we did two investments in 2022, 2022 and 2023, we're doing four, about to be five over the next month and a half. So I think that's an effect of finally post the COVID kind of bubble era companies or high quality companies are finally willing to kind of take their medicine a little bit on valuation. So I think every single one of the deals we're doing right now are at significant down rounds or with heavy structure, which I think is just, you know, taking the dose of reality where the public markets are. In biotech, we've seen very high-quality companies be able to get public, and the highest-quality ones trade well. I think medtech and other areas like Digital Health will lag the biotech market, but I do expect IPO activity to pick up later this year and early next. And that's a little bit of a lag as well because M&A volume has picked up from strategics as they've sorted through their own balance sheet issues and on portfolio construction issues. So overall, I think activity will continue to pick up and I'm actually pretty bullish on 2025.
Brandon: It's one thing that you touched on an interesting point, just like the need for creativity, whether it's through structure, or getting a little bit more scrappy on how to get a deal across the finish line. We've seen the founder led deals where they're not focused on last dollar, people feel are willing to maybe roll a little bit more and increasing corporate carve outs. So I think part of it to your point too, is not running the same playbook from the private equity guys and being a little bit more relaxed, I roll up your sleeves, do a little bit more work, incorporate structure.
Brian: Yeah so notwithstanding what I said at the beginning at my talking points uh i'm incredibly optimistic uh I've been doing this for 20 years, eight years at a high level in the federal government and I've seen cycles where the rhetoric is really aggressive you know it was for several years it was targeted in the life sciences space with drug manufacturers med device manufacturers. You know and then it moved into the not-for-profit space with hospitals and health health systems being non-compliant, especially when it comes to the Stark law, a lot of types of, you know, lots of regulatory activity. And now we're seeing it in the private equity space. And usually what happens is, you know, the rhetoric starts very aggressive. There's a lot of hyperbolic comments and statements at both the federal and the state government levels, but then it ultimately balances out. It always comes back down to a more even keeled, manageable perspective and view. So unfortunately, I think that's what we're seeing right now. But like I said, if you go back 10 years, you will see that there were the similar types of rhetoric and hyperbole was being pushed by government regulators, but focusing on different companies in the industry. So I'm optimistic because of that. And I know Carol, I've been doing this for 20 years. Carol's been doing this for longer. I'm sure she would agree. It does go in cycles. We just happen to be in one of those cycles, but it will certainly balance itself out.
Chris: Well I’m glad we're ending on a high note in terms of optimism going forward. Obviously, that's better for everybody at this table. So thank you, everybody, for participating in the panel. Really appreciate the time. Definitely some valuable insights. Thanks, everybody.
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Reed Smith partners Mark Goldstein, Cindy Minniti, and Michelle Mantine come together to break down the Federal Trade Commission's final rule on non-compete agreements and how it may affect U.S. businesses.
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Transcript:
Intro: Hello, and welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content, please contact our speakers.
Mark: Welcome back, everyone, to Dealmaker Insights. My name is Mark Goldstein. I'm a partner in Reed Smith and Labor and Employment Group, and I'm joined by my colleagues, Cindy Minniti and Michelle Mantine, both partners as well at the firm. Today's topic is non-compete agreements. Been all over the news lately. Non-compete agreements have long been used by businesses to bar key employees from leaving their business and going and setting up shop across the street the next day. There are a whole host of reasons why businesses may want to impose a non-compete agreement on an employee. However, over the past several years, state legislators have worked increasingly scrutinized the use of non-compete agreements that passed a whole host of legislation. And finally, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission in April 2024 issued a final rule that if it takes effect, would prohibit virtually all pre-existing and future non-compete agreements across the U.S. So I'd like to turn it over to my colleagues today, Cindy and Michelle, and together we'll break down what the Federal Trade Commission's final rule says and how it may impact U.S. businesses. So, Cindy, let me start with you. Can you tell us a little bit about the background to the rule?
Cindy: Sure. Thanks, Mark. Like you said, there have been a lot of state legislation recently over the last couple of years, really trying to limit the use of non-compete agreements. And President Biden in July of 2021 directed the Federal Trade Commission to come up with some federal legislation really limiting the use of non-compete agreements. In an effort to really be wide sweeping in January of 2023, the FTC put out a proposed rule, which got a lot of attention from businesses and a lot of people commented on the proposed rule during the comment period. There were about 26,000 comments to the proposed legislation. And then ultimately, the proposed rule is now out as of May of this year, it was published in the Federal Register. And like you said, if it does go into It will go into effect in September. But it really is an absolute ban to non-compete agreements. There are very, very limited exceptions, but this is really an absolute ban on current and future non-compete agreements for virtually everyone. There's a small exclusion for senior executives and some other minor exclusions, but really this is an effort to really stop people from really enforcing non-competes on their workforce, really open up people and to be able to go to competitors. It's also interesting that it's not just for employees. The proposed rule is for anyone that's really doing work. So So employees, contractors, anybody that's got any kind of a relationship. So independent contractors, interns, it's really very broad sweeping.
Mark: That's a great point, Cindy. And the definitions within the final rule are really key and are extremely broad. The definition of worker, as you said, the definition of non-compete clause is quite broad. Michelle, let me ask you, because I know that this is a question a lot of our clients have asked. We understand that future non-compete agreements after the rule takes effect, if it takes effect in September as the currently scheduled effective date, those would not be above board. But what about pre-existing non-compete agreements? I know Cindy alluded to it, but how does the final rule adjust pre-existing non-competes?
Michelle: No, it's a great question, Mark. And as Cindy said, it's pretty broad sweeping. Yes, the final rule absolutely applies to pre-existing non-compete agreements. There is sort of or are limited exceptions. The exception that I would note here in particular is for pre-existing non-compete agreements entered into with senior executives. And that term, like so many of the other definitions that accompany this rule, is defined very carefully and specifically in terms of what it means to be a senior executive. And if you fall outside of that category, the ban does apply. With respect to those other pre-existing non-compete agreements, those not with senior executives, I mean, the ban is saying, as Cindy pointed out, that the agreements will not be enforced. First, they are illegal, and that would be after the final rule's effective date, which currently absent any changes from it based on litigation is September 4th. The FTC is also saying as part of this guidance that the employer must provide clear and conspicuous notice to the worker of these sort of factors to make it very clear to the worker that if they have this pre-existing non-compete agreement, it's going away very soon. So the exceptions are extremely narrow. And again, something that if you're looking on relying on an exception for the senior employees, the senior executive employees, or in another context, you really need to look closely at the definitions to make sure you're in a safe spot.
Cindy: Michelle, that's a great point about the definitions. Another question we get a lot is when you talk about non-compete, what about competitive activity during employment? And I think it's important to note that this is a broad sweeping regulation for post-employment restrictions. So we still are able to have employers banning current employees from having any sort of competitive activity during their employment, that this is really post-employment competitive activity that we're talking about. And I think it's just important to note.
Michelle: Great point, Cindy. Let me ask, are there any exceptions? I know, obviously, we have the carve out for pre-existing agreements with senior executives, which from a high-level perspective, the rule essentially defines as someone making at least $151,000 a year and in a policymaking position. Besides that, are there any, Cindy, let me ask you, are there any exceptions to the rule? Some state legislatures, like in California and Minnesota, who have adopted all-out bans on restrictive covenants, do still include a carve-out, for instance, in the sale of business context.
Cindy: Yeah. So I think that's probably one of the most talked about things right here is it's a bona fide sale of business is an exception. And there was a lot of discussion about what is a bona fide sale of business and are there percentages or a threshold that should be considered. Considered, and that was a lot of the comments and a lot of the consideration, but this final rule does have a carve-out for bona fide sale of the business so that you could have a restriction there because there are other interests at stake. And there are two other sort of litigation exceptions as well. So if there was litigation or if there was some interest in enforcing the non-compete before the rule goes into effect, or if there's a good faith belief that the rule is inapplicable. So, you know, I guess if you're arguing, is someone really a senior executive, or if you believe that they are a senior executive, something like that. But so those are the two sort of litigation exceptions. But I think really, the sale of the business is probably the one that we're going to see the most. Mark, did you have any thoughts on the sale of business and all of the discussion and back and forth, you know, before the final rule was proposed?
Mark: Yeah. So I think that the sale of business exception probably is the biggest change between the proposed rule and the final rule. Generally speaking, the proposed rule that came out in January 23 is conceptually the same as the final rule that came out in April, May of 2024. Some of the language was tweaked, but the underlying concepts are the same. But the sale of business exception changed substantially. And the reason for that is because in the proposed rule, the FTC said that this carve out for the sale of business would only apply if the person that you're trying to bound by a non-compete is purchasing or owns 25% or more of an ownership interest in the entity at issue. So if somebody had a 12.5% ownership interest, the sale of business exception would not apply and they could not be bound by a non-compete. So in the final rule, the FTC dropped that 25% requirement, really conceding that there was no specific underpinning or justification for that metric. However, the FTC has said that despite this, they do anticipate rigorously looking at transaction to make sure that folks aren't entering into what they call sham deals. So essentially make sure there's a genuine bona fide sale at issue, not some sort of attempt to evade the FTC's non-compete ban.
Cindy: I’m going to jump in on that. I think that's really important because we were hearing a lot of questions when we saw the proposed rule about what really is a sale and what if there are some corporate maneuvers that can happen, would we still have the enforceability of these restrictions? And I think that the comments and the commentary took a long, hard look at that and tried to make this as broad as possible.
Mark: Yeah, that's exactly right. And the FTC even calls out things like repurchase rights or mandatory stock redemption programs and makes clear that those are not bona fide sales transactions, so they would not be subject to the exception. Obviously, particularly in the private equity space, businesses will be looking to capitalize and see if there are transactions that can be deemed bona fide that perhaps are broader than the scope initially contemplated by the FTC based on the language in the final rule. And that's obviously something you'd want to consult with counsel about to see if you're able to exercise and invoke the sale of business exception. Michelle, let me ask you, because I know that I've gotten this question a whole lot. But if you put a non-compete into a document other than an employment agreement or restrictive covenant agreement, some other sort of agreement could be an equity incentive, equity agreement, does that matter at all to the FTC?
Michelle: It does not. And I have gotten that question a lot as well, Mark. People are trying to think of ways in which perhaps the non-compete has legs. And I don't say that in a nefarious way. I think people are thinking about ways in which to protect their trade secrets, their technology, things that they have concerns about sort of walking out the door. What will happen to it if that employee leaves? Are they adequately protected? And the FTC has said that, you know, this non-compete ban covers all terms of employment that meet the definition of a non-compete clause, regardless of whether that terms in something characterized as an employment agreement, an incentive equity award agreement, or some sort of separate restrictive covenant agreement, separation agreement, employee handbook, whatever document it is, you have to, again, go back to those definitions and say, is this a non-compete clause? And then is there any narrowly tailored or limited exemption that might apply here, right? So they really are saying they want these gone. Interestingly, the FTC had sort of a follow-up to the final rule release in April that they did on May 14th of 2024, sort of talking about how do you comply with the new rule. Interestingly, they didn't provide, at least from my perspective, they didn't provide a whole lot of concrete, specific guidance. But they certainly hammered home this point that if it's a non-compete, it doesn't matter what kind of document it sits in. We're saying this rule is saying get rid of them. And they even said, if you're an organization that's perhaps not under the purview of being regulated by the FTC, that the FTC would encourage you to get rid of non-competes because of the damages that, in its view, non-competes have had on the working environment. So definitely broad sweeping, to say the least.
Mark: And I want to ask you something, Michelle, and it relates to something Cindy said earlier. Cindy mentioned this covers post-employment non-compete agreements. So non-competes during employment are still permissible. I want to ask you about what we call garden leave agreements. And these are very common in the UK and in the US are fairly common in the financial sector. And essentially, a garden leave agreement is an agreement where for a certain period of time, often somewhere between 90 and 180 days, when individuals still remain employed by a business, they'll still be getting paid their salary, but they won't perform any active duties. They often won't come into the office. But again, they'll still technically remain an active employee. Does the FTC weighed in on garden leave agreements?
Michelle: They have, and the final rule does not apply to these agreements. I mean, as you pointed out, sort of the structure of them, they're also common in different sectors like financial services, for example. I think that the idea that garden leave agreements are sort of outside the scope is consistent with what Cindy mentioned before about this being a post-employment rule. The final rule commentary actually specifies that an agreement whereby the worker is still employed and receiving the same total annual compensation and benefits on a pro rata basis would not be a non-compete clause under the definition because such an agreement is not a post-employment restriction. So they're looking at it in that circumstance as the worker continues to be employed, even though the worker's job duties, their access to colleagues or the workplace has been significantly changed or perhaps it's gone away entirely. You know, so it's a really interesting sort of take on things and makes you think that perhaps we'll be seeing more employers use these garden leave agreements as it seems like one of the only, if not the only, option for a business that has concerns about, you know, sort of how workers may compete post-employment with them. Can this garden leave provision provide them with any protection or benefit?
Cindy: Michelle, I think that's a great point on garden leave and looking at garden leave and is that an opportunity for employers to protect interests that they want to protect while employees are They're still getting compensation, so they're not being penalized in some way. And I do think that we might see garden leave becoming a little bit more commonplace moving forward. The one thing that I would encourage everyone to do is just really take a look at garden leave and make sure that it's not having unintended consequences. Make sure that your benefit plans are protecting people that we think it's going to protect and make sure that there's no other agreements or anything else that we need to look at. So we want to make sure we're not solving for one issue, but creating others. So look at that closely. Great point. Mark, I think we were just going to turn and I think it would be interesting if you want to talk about non-exempt status and what does that do with this rule?
Mark: Yeah. So a lot of chatter has been around what types of organizations are exempt from the purview of the FTC's rule, because Section 5 of the FTC Act does not apply to every single entity in the US. For one thing, certain banks are exempted from Section 5 of the FTC Act. Another type of business that has traditionally been thought of as being exempt are nonprofits. And the FTC acknowledges, therefore, in the commentary on the final rule, that on its face, a true nonprofit is not subject to the final rule and therefore is not banned from having non-compete agreements with its employees. Though, you know, I think it's probably fair to say that non-compete agreements are less common in the nonprofit sector than they are in the for-profit sector. But the FTC then goes on and cautions entities that are claiming tax exempt status as nonprofits and says, you know, just merely claiming tax exempt status does not mean that you are truly outside of the purview of the FTC Act. The agency says, you know, what we look to is really that there be an adequate nexus between an organization's activities and its public purposes, and also that its net proceeds be properly devoted to recognize public as opposed to private interests. So the FTC uses a two-part test to determine whether or not an entity truly meets the test for being a nonprofit, regardless of what's claimed on a tax form. So an entity theoretically could be claiming tax-exempt status, but for purposes of final rule, the FTC might not consider that to be a nonprofit. And thereby the entity would be subject to the final rule. So if you're a business that is claiming tactical gun status as a nonprofit and still want to be able to use non-competes going forward, it would certainly make sense to review with counsel, you know, whether or not, you know, you definitely squarely fit within, you know, the law's definition of a nonprofit.
Michelle: Mark, just two points on that. At the May 14th discussion by the FTC on how to comply with the non-compete ban, they actually mentioned this scenario in particular. And the FTC encouraged entities that are truly nonprofits to also get rid of their non-competes. It was quite an interesting take, in my view, that they were sort of acknowledging, yes, some of you might be outside of the span and outside of our purview of Section 5, but that we're strongly encouraging you to get rid of these provisions that we think are just not good. The other point on that, I just want to flag for everyone, if you haven't read it, if you're thinking about relying on nonprofit status or anything else to say to keep yourselves out of the purview of Section 5, take a minute to read the FTC's statement from November of 2022 on sort of the scope as the current administrators, the current agencies who see the scope of Section 5 of the FTC Act. They are interpreting it more broadly than ever. Specifically, they've said in that statement and in other public forum that the FTC Act really is designed to go after conduct that doesn't otherwise violate the antitrust law. So it might not be a violation of the antitrust laws, but they still think it sort of looks and smells like it could be a violation. It is extremely broad right now in the territory that sort of is being caught within Section 5. So you want to be really careful about sort of what you're doing and whether or not you could get caught up in a Section 5 investigation.
Mark: That makes sense. Thanks, Michelle. Before we turn to what the future holds, Cindy, I just want to confirm with you, outside of non-compete agreements, that's just one type of restriction or contractual clause that businesses may use to make sure that employees don't improperly compete with them. They may use things like employee or customer non-falsific clauses, confidentiality clauses. Are those referenced by the final rule?
Cindy: So that's a great point. So yes, employers can still use non-disclosure agreements. We can still have non-solicitation agreements. We can still have confidentiality clauses, again, subject to other restrictions and other guidance that's already out there and in place. But that's all permissible. Here, we're really talking about non-compete, so stopping somebody from competing with the employer. So, as long as you're complying with applicable state law and other federal laws, these other agreements are permissible.
Michelle: Probably a good time to take a look at those NDAs that you're using and those confidentiality agreements to make sure that they have the protections that you really need here. Because I think in the past, right, we've relied or some businesses may have relied on the non-compete and they're going to have to rely more heavily on the NDA and that confidentiality agreement.
Cindy: So that's a great point, because not only do we want to make sure that the other agreements are in place and that they're drafted appropriately, but in practice, employers should be really making sure that they're doing what they need to do to really protect things that they're saying are protectable. So, you know, if you've got confidentiality agreements in place, you want to really make sure that you are treating that information as confidential and that if there's a challenge, that you can really show why you don't want that information getting out. So really looking not only at your documents, but your practices.
Michelle: That's a great point.
Mark: So I want to ask you both in closing, what you think employers should do in the near term and potentially in the long term. And just to give everyone a status update, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has filed a lawsuit that has been consolidated effectively with another lawsuit in Texas federal court challenging the final rule on a host of grounds, including that the FTC doesn't have the authority to issue a rule like this. The Chamber of Commerce has made a motion to essentially ask the court to nullify or validate the rule. There's been no ruling on that yet, but since we have until at least September 4th before the final rule will take effect, there's plenty of time for the court to rule and for there potentially to be appeals. I think it's fair to say a lot of people from the business community think that there's at least a reasonable likelihood that the final rule will not take effect, at least as planned, understand either in whole or in part, and that some of the arguments put forth against the rule do hold water. So let me ask each of you, Michelle, I'll start with you. What would you say for the business community in the US right now, who's kind of bit of a limbo period, how they should proceed?
Michelle: Mark, it's a great question because we're really in sort of this limbo period, right? I think the biggest thing I would recommend right now is not to panic, to use this time, as we were just discussing, to take a look at, sort of take inventory of your agreements, your NDAs, your confidentiality agreements, how many workers you have that have a non-compete, how many of those might fall into the senior executive category, sort of looking at, okay, what's our exposure if this rule goes into effect, if this ban goes into effect? And then you need to sort of take, I think, a measured approach and sort of evaluating, okay, if it goes into effect, when we get rid of these, how do we protect ourselves from what we otherwise saw that nothing could protect us? Protecting our business interests post-employment and thinking of practical ways to do that with other agreements. I wouldn't suggest doing anything rash at this point, Mark, because of the good points you made with this pending litigation. I would expect the court to move rather quickly here and within the next couple of months, knowing that this proposed ban goes into effect on September 4th. And I do think there are some excellent, excellent legal arguments as to how the rule is just outside of the FTC's domain here and is really stepping on what is otherwise within our state law purview. you. That being said, again, with the state laws, those have also been developing quite often and they're changing. So keeping an eye on those, if you do have non-competes, making sure that the ones you have, that you are okay from a state law perspective as well. I think it's a really good time to look at that as well. So that's just a few tidbits. I'm sure Cindy can add to that.
Cindy: No, Michelle, that was a great answer. I think that's right. I think you should be taking stock right now of what agreements you have in place and what do you actually need, looking at what you want to protect and is there another better way to do that? And even making sure that the agreements, you know, whether this goes forward or is changed in some way or, you know, we really have to be mindful that there are state laws out there and there are other restrictions. So really want to make sure that we're looking at that. So I think take the summer, let's enjoy ourselves and look at all of our non-compete agreements and policies and practices and make sure that we're We're really protecting what we need to and so that you're ready if this does go into effect, but you're ready nonetheless for the state laws or other changes that may come along the way if it's not this one.
Mark: Awesome. Thank you, Cindy. Thank you, Michelle. And thank you, everybody, to listening to the Dealmaker Insights podcast brought to you by Reed Smith. And we thank you very much.
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In our latest episode of our Private Equity Spotlight series, Reed Smith partner Nick Gibson is joined by Matthew Carlos, a principal at New Water Capital, for a deep dive into the unique aspects of Lower Middle Market Private Equity.
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Intro: Hello, and welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content, please contact our speakers.
Nick: Welcome back to Dealmaker Insights, the Reed Smith podcast series spotlighting the private equity industry. I'm Nick Gibson, a private equity M&A partner in the Chicago office of Reed Smith, and I'm excited to welcome Matt Carlos of New Water Capital as our guest today. I've really enjoyed getting to know Matt and his team who have focused and thrived in the lower middle market. Matt wears a lot of hats at New Water Capital, and that's one of the topics we'll dig into a bit today. But first, I'll turn it over to Matt and let him introduce himself and New Water Capital. Great to have you here, Matt.
Matt: Thanks, Nick. Appreciate you having me and happy to chat through the latest and greatest of New Water here. So I can dive right into a quick background on myself and on New Water. So I'm a principal here at New Water Capital. Been with the guys now for over seven years. Joined back in January of 2017. The fund officially started in 2016 and was originally a spin out of Sun Capital Partners. So Jason and Brian spent around a decade together at Sun. Saw Sun grow from a few hundred million under management, multiples of billions. I'm sure as as you know. And the rationale or the reason to spin out and do their own thing, create New Water, was to refocus on the lower middle market. And we've incrementally refined that for us to be really focused on what we call blue-collar industries. So manufacturing, industrial services, packaging, distribution. That really covers the majority of what we're focused on. From an end market perspective, we're a bit more agnostic. So if you look at in our portfolio. It's food and beverage, it's industrial technology, auto, packaging, you name it. And so we do tend to be more operationally focused and much more opportunistic. So we've got an in-house ops team, ex-CEO, CFO, COO type folks who work exclusively for New Water, so not consultants on hired guns. And so they are invaluable in dropping into our portfolio companies and help them think through next steps. So there's just creating KPIs, budgeting, walking the shop floor, look at efficiencies, and or just being a shoulder to cry on, quite frankly, as we go through growing pains or integration. And so really a valuable part of the team, but it helps kind of differentiate what New Water does in the market, which is really focused on where we can help portcos grow, improve, and. Get to the next level.
Nick: That's great. Can you talk about the various hats that you wear in your role particularly, and maybe how that differs in approach from other private equity firms?
Matt: Sure. Yeah, we are a lean team. And so because of that, like you mentioned earlier, we do wear a lot of hats. First and foremost, I think other private equity funds that are our size and focus in our industries, I think it's very typical for those firms or a lot of our brethren these days to have a designated business development arm. We at New Water do not at the moment. I think at some point in the future, hopefully we will be large enough to where it's needed. But at the moment, we don't. And so what that means is that myself and the other folks on the deal team here, we will kind of pass the hat or pull straws to just do the best we can to attend as many events and conferences, to be doing city visits visits, and meeting with intermediaries and bankers and lenders as much as we can. And of course, that takes away from, I guess, what you can say is our day job or what we are focused on most actively, which is portfolio management and getting deals done. The flip side is that I think if you were to poll the audience here in the deal team, we really do like being out in the market. I think it gives us a flavor, some firsthand experience of what people are saying, what other private equity funds are experiencing in real time, what bankers are seeing in real. And another angle to that is that a lot of our investment banker and intermediary friends, they feel like they have access directly into the deal team when they see us out on the road as well. So I think it works both ways. But additionally, what really makes us different and what we really focus on is on that ops part of the business. And so not just the operations team, do they focus a ton on portfolio management and portfolio improvement. Really, the deal team does as well. We oftentimes are just an extra set of hands for our leadership teams that are portfolio companies. And so when you get down with diligence and the ink dries on the purchase agreement, the folks who know that investment best right out of the gate is the deal team. And so we're really helping to help them think through forecasting and building out weekly flash reports and budgeting and all that good stuff. And then skew rationalization analysis, ad hoc analysis, we're oftentimes just extra arms and legs for the DLT or for the leadership team at our portfolio companies, just get stuff done out of the gate. And then over time, our ops team plays a much more active role with those portfolio companies, but it transitions that way over time.
Nick: Where is New Water at in its fundraising cycle? And what are you hearing from LPs this year that may differ from previous years?
Matt: Yeah, great question. Fundraising, obviously, a hot topic across the private equity universe. So for New Water, we are winding down fund one. We've got three assets left in fund one. Two of those three are pretty mature. And so hopefully in the next handful of months here, those will be officially in market via sell side. And fund two is ramping up we probably got enough room and fun too to do a couple more investments platform investments and so I put two and two together we're we're kind of knocking the door for for raising funds that's that's super exciting for us. The market so what what we're hearing is that the current state of the fundraising market is not too different this year from where it was last year. So I'm sure you're well-tuned to just general deal flow. It has been slow for the past couple of years. That means capital is not being recycled very quickly, which means LPs don't have a lot of room for allocations. And so the dam kind of has to break at some point. I think everyone knows it's going to happen. It's a matter of when. And so if you are listening to what LPs are saying, it feels like 2025 is the year in which more allocations are expected. And so we certainly hope that that's the case. We know that the fundraising environment has been tough over the past couple of years. And so once the wheels start turning in a more normal fashion in the market, assets are trading hands, there's more deal activity, we think that that domino effect will lead to more fundraising opportunities for the property equity universe.
Nick: Reflecting back on 2023, what were some of the market observations you had, maybe challenges you face, and then opportunities within 2023 that you found?
Matt: So 2023, I just mentioned it a little bit. It definitely was slower deal activity. I think 2022 was slow. And the numbers will tell you that 2023 is even slower than 2022. So definitely not a flurry of deal activity. The deals that we did get done were interesting. A lot of assets had what we were calling noisy EBITDA. So in this kind of post-COVID world we're living in, a lot has happened. Think about labor shortages, shipping crises, semiconductor shortages, commodity prices ripping. And so you add all that together and that just creates, again, kind of a noisy environment to look at an asset super clean and to really understand what's a normal margin profile or a normal growth rate you can expect out of the business. Again, given all those noisy dynamics over the past couple of years. And so it just took a lot more work and a lot more negotiating with sellers to come to a compromise on what's practical, what's transactable, what can two sides agree upon. So noisiness on what did get done was definitely an overarching theme for us. That's tighter leverage, of course. I think everyone's been well aware of what the debt markets have done over the past couple of years. Obviously, higher spreads, higher rates on that debt leads to just lower valuations and tighter leverage overall. Not a lot of platform opportunities for us. Specifically, we were being much more stringent, maybe a bit of a tighter filter on what we wanted to transact on from a platform perspective. But we got a ton of that on top. So I think eight transactions we completed over the past 15 months or so, all strategic add-ons for our current portfolio. So definitely active, definitely a lot of work getting done. You know, quite frankly, not a ton on the new platform front.
Nick: Got it. And now that we're into Q2, what are some of the trends you're seeing in 2024? Has anything carried over, at least in what you're seeing in your end of the market? Has anything surprised you yet?
Matt: So if you would have asked me a month ago, I would have said no real change in 2023. But really over the past month, we've seen deal activity pick up a pretty good bit. Definitely not this watershed moment where all of a sudden, it's blow your doors off busy, but it's definitely busier. Pipeline's a little fuller. There's more opportunities out there. We're actually seeing a lot of carve-out opportunities. The reason for that, not quite sure, but a lot of larger public and private businesses are trying to shed assets, maybe to raise some capital, maybe just being opportunistic in the market. But we're seeing a lot of carve-out opportunities, which is great for new water. Like I mentioned before, we're very operationally focused. So the extent there's some value there to carve something out of a larger business and get standing up on its own, clean it up. Obviously, all great opportunity for us. Valuation expectations, there does seem to be still a little bit of a gap from what sellers expect their assets to clear for versus what the market is speaking for at the moment. I think that's going to work itself off, but we definitely still see a bit of spread there. And the other thing that we've seen in 2024 that's a little bit of a mystery for us in 2023 is there is this kind of destocking phenomenon that folks kept talking about in 2023. Volumes were down pretty consistently across the board in industrial and markets. And a lot of folks pointed their fingers to this destocking event that was a byproduct of COVID. So, supply chain issues and COVID in many different facets led to buyers of raw material or commodities or finished goods to buy as much as they could because they weren't too sure of the certainty for product to be available when they needed it. And so, they opted to be more safe and just to buy as much as they could when they could. And what that led to is kind of rampant growth in 2021 and in 2022. And as you look back in 2023 and part ‘24 now, you can see that those inventory levels are coming back down, folks are buying less, and they're telling people that we bought too much and we have to clear out what we purchased too much of in prior years. And so in 2023, that felt like an anecdote. We were hearing that a lot, but couldn't be really sure of it as the dust settled. And in ‘24, we get to evaluate across our portfolio companies and talk to other experts in the the field, we can kind of validate that that was indeed a phenomenon that we saw. We see things kind of being more normal now and a little bit closer to business as usual.
Nick: And maybe it's among the themes you just touched on, but what excites you the most about the rest of 2024 ahead of us?
Matt: Yeah. Deal activity picking back up. I mean, you said it. So I think we are excited to have more to do, more to look at. That's every deal guy's dream, of course. So we're excited to see the wheels turning a little bit on the industry. We can definitely see it in our pipeline. I think investment bankers are reporting pretty robust pipelines of pitch activity. And so we know it's coming, kind of feeling it getting up a little bit. We hope it's something sustainable, not a head fake. And so we'll keep our ear to the ground there. And we know it has to happen, right? There's $2.6 trillion of dry powder on the sidelines, just in private equity capital. It's a record amount. Money has to be put to work. And so we know it's coming. It's just a matter of when, not if. We're still busy. A lot of space for smaller assets, founders, entrepreneurs in the lower middle market to where we play. They're still motivated to sell. That's where we find the most activity. So we continue to get a lot of looks. And like I mentioned before, hopefully more platform opportunities for us in 2024.
Nick: Well, you just touched on and perhaps gave a great segue into my next couple of questions, which are really focused on what you're hearing from founders, closely held businesses. I know from my experience in the lower middle market, there's some nuances there that maybe aren't as applicable or that are more important in the lower middle market. Maybe talk to us a little bit about what are you hearing specifically from founders and closely held businesses, particularly as now we're a few years past the pandemic, now we're heading into another election cycle. They've been through a lot, right? The last couple of years. So what is it in specific you're hearing maybe this year as you're talking to new opportunities or your existing platforms?
Matt: Yeah. I think you just said it, which is they've been through a lot. And I think that's why we're still finding motivated sellers in the lower minimum market. They've been through a lot. So between COVID and labor shortages, supply chain issues, commodity and raw material costs us swinging wildly up and down. And then just getting those materials was difficult for long periods of time. I think they've been through a lot. And to get through the other side of that. Pandemic and all the issues that came after, I think they're looking at is you've got a clean business now. You've got a good sellable asset at the moment. You're still going, okay, maybe I can't maximize my proceeds like I thought I could maybe a year or two ago or pre-pandemic even, but it's still sellable. It's still a life-changing event for me. And a lot of those founders and entrepreneurs are still pushing forward the transaction. And so... We know that to be true in our segment of the market. We've also seen a return. And this has been reported on a bunch. I don't think this is anything novel, but we've definitely seen a return of structure to the segment of the market as well. When the market was really hot, I think the ball was in the court of these founders and entrepreneurs, right? The sellers. And they were able to get better terms, not just in terms of valuation, but in terms of rollover and seller notes and structuring and performance notes, things of that sort that helped bridge the gap between expectations and market valuations. And as we sit here today, I think that pendulum has swung very much so back into the court of the buyers. So we've been able to execute transactions with more structure. So depending on the transaction, obviously what that looks like, but it's definitely opened up a little chest for us. A lot of uncertainty still with the economy. Like I mentioned before, you're still having to kind of wade through some noisy EBITDA. You know, 2023 was just a few months ago. And so you're still having to digest what actually happened in 2023, what's normal, what's not normal, and try to adjust for that. We know inflation has been sticky. It feels like rates are going to stay higher for longer. At least that's our expectation. We know that will have to come back at some point, but just given how sick inflation has been, it's not something we're betting on at the moment. And also, like you said, and I mentioned it just a few moments ago, but we can definitely tell a return to maybe more normalized volume activity in our portfolio has returned. Some of these destocking phenomenons that we were dealing with last year, I think that's been worked through. And so we've seen some volumes returning way too early to say if it's here to stay. Again, we hope it's not just a dead cat bounce or a head fake here. But at the moment, it feels like it's a more stable, normal operating environment.
Nick: Before we close, I wanted to go back to something you hit on in your intro, your blue collar industry's focus. What is your approach and how have you found success in building trust with founders in these blue collar industries, particularly from origination through exit? What does that partnership look like from your perspective? What do you hope it to look like from their perspective? And maybe then talk about the role that emotions play in these types of deals.
Matt: Yeah, such a good question. And honestly, it's something that we take a lot of pride in is this exact topic, which is gaining the trust of these founders, these entrepreneurs, these, multi-decade, multi-generational family-owned businesses, and getting them to trust that we will be good stewards or custodians of these legacies. And so it's something we focus on all the time. And... What I can say, what I think we do well is we are very transparent communicators. And so I think what these founders and entrepreneurs can tell is that we are being very honest in what our expectations are for the business, the relationship, the time, the energy it takes to transform business. And I think they feel that authenticity in our message. You know, we all sort of hyper communicative in our feelings around what we expect out of the business and them. And so I think they always feel like they're getting kind of an open book approach from us. And we combine that with the fact that thankfully, we have been very successful in our recent past and transforming these family owned businesses in the lower middle market. And so we're an open book when it comes to, please do call former sellers, executives, CEOs that we either work with now or worked with successfully in the past to ask them directly, how was it working at New Water? And so, again, we try to be an open book. We try to be transparent. We try to be authentic. And the last thing that I'll say, which I think is definitely more tactical in our approach that resonates with these sellers is we truly walk into these organizations without a playbook beforehand. And trust me, we've made mistakes before going and thinking that we already had a plan for business and we were just going to kind of expedite our way to success. And you can't move too fast without having everybody on board with you. And so the point of saying that is every opportunity is different. Every business is different. And you really have to go in there and listen to the people who have run that business every day for decades and solicit their feedback before making your own mind up on what does the business actually need, first and foremost, in terms of building out infrastructure and investing in people, investing in systems, investing in processes, before you have the platform ready to grow in the direction you want it to grow. And so no preconceived notions, no predetermined playbook, but just open communication and dialogue to figure out how to move business forward. I think that tactically has been helpful for us.
Nick: Well, Matt, that's all the questions I had for today. I really appreciate you joining Dealmaker Insights. You've shared quite a lot and I found it extremely valuable. Look forward to following New Water Capital the rest of the year and I look forward to you becoming a recurring guest on the program.
Matt: Perfect. Thanks, guys. Really appreciate it.
Nick: Thanks, Matt.
Outro: Dealmaker Insights is a Reed Smith production. Our producers are Ali McCardell and Shannon Ryan. For more information about Reed Smith's corporate and financial industry practices, please email [email protected]. You can find our podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, reedsmith.com and our social media accounts.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for educational purposes. It does not constitute legal advice and is not intended to establish an attorney-client relationship, nor is it intended to suggest or establish standards of care applicable to particular lawyers in any given situation. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Any views, opinions, or comments made by any external guest speaker are not to be attributed to Reed Smith LLP or its individual lawyers.
All rights reserved.
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In this episode of our Private Equity Spotlight series, life sciences and healthcare partners Carol Loepere and Nicole Aiken-Shaban discuss the new state laws requiring notices and consent from state regulatory authorities prior to completing healthcare transactions.
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Transcript:
Intro: Hello and welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content please contact our speakers.
Carol: Welcome back to Dealmaker Insights. I'm Carol Loepere, a partner in Reed Smith's Healthcare and Life Sciences Group and I'm joined today with my partner Nicole Aiken-Shaban. We both help companies navigate regulatory considerations for deals in the health care space. Today, we're discussing recent enactment of state laws requiring notice and in some cases approval from state regulatory authorities prior to completing a health care transaction. These are notable as they are separate from long-standing laws regarding changes of ownership or CHOWS as they're often referred to at the state level, governing state licensure and certificate of need. And also they're different from federal laws governing health care transactions such as Hart- Scott-Redo and Medicare, Nicole. Why are we seeing these laws? What are they designed to achieve?
Nicole: That's a great question, Carol. There are a number of different motivations and some states are focused on local concerns as a group. However, these laws broadly are meant to address a perceived gap in oversight for the majority of health care providers within a state that have not historically been subject to more intense certificate of need and or licensure processes. Uh think about hospitals and other hospices or entities like that. In that latter bucket, one question I have asked myself is why now as our listeners likely know, health care is a priority at the federal level right now with increased scrutiny on antitrust and anti competitive enforcement efforts, there's also a related effort to target private equity investment specifically in health care, both by federal agencies, Congress and also the press. Not surprisingly, that focus has trickled down to state legislative action when you take that focus and combine it with the proliferation of nontraditional providers that occurred during the pandemic. Just a couple of years ago, a number of states have started to look to exert more oversight over the provision of health care and who's providing it in their borders. Carol, what is a snapshot of the current landscape of these laws?
Carol: As of April 2024 there are 14 states with health care transaction notice and or approval requirements. Some of these have been on the books a long time while others are brand new and some are just taking effect later this year. One of them is Indiana and we'll talk a little bit about that later. Importantly, though there is legislation pending in several other states including California, for example. So it's very important to check state law as well as pending legislation and regulations that are implementing these laws as you consider health care transactions in various states. Before we discuss a couple of examples of these laws, Nicole, are there certain characteristics or themes that people should keep in mind in reviewing these laws?
Nicole: Yes, I know we are both a fan of lists and for our listeners, I've put together three key points to keep in mind when assessing these laws. First, they are very fact dependent. Many laws have threshold limits that define material transactions or the types of transactions and affiliations subject to the laws. They have varied effective dates, sometimes different effective dates within the same state based on the type of transaction. And there is specific language in those laws on their applicability to particular health care providers and entities in the space as well as obligations on those providers and their different types of notices. Second, definitions are key, not only are they fact dependent, but you have to understand what the definitions are for the law and to understand how it might apply to your facts. In a particular case, some state laws define health care entities subject to the law narrowly. Others are much broader. For example, in some states, the law is focused on health care providers, including even individual practitioners like physician groups and examples of those are Minnesota and Connecticut in other states, health care entities are even more broadly defined to include health insurers like in Indiana and California. And it's important to understand how they are defined in the particular state or states in which you are looking at doing a deal in order to know whether your deal may come within the purview of the particular law. Third on our list, some states have regulations or sub regulatory guidance that provides additional information on the application of the actual statutes and, and legislation such as Illinois is a good example. Washington has template notice forms that are available and the Attorney General's office is available to answer questions via email if you're not sure how to submit um a particular notice or have a question about applicability in other states regulations forms and FA Qs are or maybe forthcoming. A good example of that is New York where for now, um If you're doing a deal subject to the requirements in New York, you need to submit the notices based solely on what you the information provided in the legislation itself. Um but New York is planning to issue FAQs specific forms and additional information in the future. So it's important to really dig into that regulatory guidance and forms and FAQs where you have it, it's, it might add more color to what you need to provide in a particular notice how it should be submitted. And some of those logistics working through a deal. Let's take a deeper dive into a couple examples of some of these laws. Carol, why don't you get us started?
Carol: Thanks Nicole. Let's start with Indiana. I mentioned it earlier. It's one of the more recent laws that was just passed and it becomes effective July 1 2024. So here we are in April. If the parties are well on their way to doing a deal, they may be able to get a deal done even before the law becomes effective. Um So that's possible. And as we talked about, it's important to look at the effective dates if not. And if you're in a transaction that may take place later this year in, in Indiana, it's important to take a look at this law to see if it might apply. So the law adds a new title entitled Reporting of Health Care Entity, Mergers and Acquisitions to the laws and essentially parties must provide notice to the Indiana Attorney General 90 days prior to closing. So it's a 90 day notice requirement. It's important to keep in mind for this one that it's really a notice only requirement. Um The attorney general does have the authority to review the information that's submitted it. The attorney general can request additional information about the transaction and also can issue a civil investigative demand and issue a written opinion about the transaction, the parties to the transaction and whether it implicates any antitrust concerns. And under the law, the attorney general is supposed to do that within 45 days of submitting the notice. However, at least on its face, the attorney general does not appear to have the authority to block the deal from going forward. So what's covered under this law? So as I mentioned, it's, it's a discussion of transactions involving a merger or acquisition of a quote, health care entity, end quote. And that, that's a defined term as we talked about. Very key to look at that and I'll come back to that in a minute about what is a health care entity, but it's a merger or acquisition of a health care entity having assets of at least $10 million. If that's a transaction in which the parties are involved, the 90 day notice trigger may apply. Uh The term acquisition is also very broadly defined in the law. It's defined as any agreement, arrangement or activity, the consummation of which results in a person acquiring directly or indirectly the control of another person. So this would cover for example, asset acquisitions, equity deals and so forth. It's very broad. I mentioned that the law uh applies to a quote health care entity and, and in this law, it's is defined very broadly to include providers, payers, PBMs and private equity companies, which as we've discussed has been a focus of many of these laws. So the term of a health care entity is in an organization or business that provides diagnostic, medical surgical, dental treatment, or rehabilitative care. So that's gonna cover a lot of different kinds of providers. It applies to an insurer that issues a policy of accidental and sickness insurance, a health maintenance organization, a pharmacy benefit manager or, and here again, the focus on private equity, a quote, private equity partnership, regardless of where the private equity partnership is located seeking to enter into a merger or acquisition with any of these entities. Again, very broad. And we see that focus again here while the law does cover insurers, not surprisingly, the term does not include Medicare or Medicaid program. And also our listeners will note that there's no reference in this law to pharmaceutical or medical device manufacturers. Otherwise it's hitting a broad range of uh parties in the in the health care continuum. So again, uh an example of a very broad law, the law um does include specific information for parties to include in their notice. And importantly includes that the information submitted must be kept confidential. And of course, this is often a very key concern for parties doing a health care transaction. So stay tuned to see how Indiana law operates in practice. And again, whether there will be any sub regulatory or other guidance on how it will actually be implemented. But it is one of the ones that has been added to our list and should be on your list of states requiring prior notice of a healthcare transaction. Nicole let's take a look at another law. How about Connecticut?
Nicole: Thanks Carol. So Connecticut, while a smaller state has a health care review law that's been around for a few years actually, since 2018 and provides an interesting combination of considerations and applicability definitions that we've seen in a few different States rules. So I think it's a good test case to run through with our listeners today. Specifically, there are two types of transactions targeted by the law that are very different in scope. First, there are group practices in hospitals or other licensed health care providers and entities in the state that are parties to a transaction that involves a Hart-Scott\-Rodino or HSR filing with the FTC or DOJ. And then there's a separate group of transactions subject to the law for material changes to the business or corporate structure of a group practice. So that's a physician group practice regardless of whether there's an HSR filing. The first category of deals is a clear expression in the other state's interest in reviewing transactions within the state that would otherwise be subject to the federal antitrust review more broadly. Um And so there, I think it's more an aspect of Connecticut wanting a chance to review what's happening within its borders in tandem with the review happening at the federal level under those federal antitrust laws. The second on the other hand, seems aimed at those changes that by themselves will not trigger HSR thresholds and go through a traditional HSR review but could result in the consolidation of practices in a way that impacts the local market. And that's the state's attempt to start to look at some of these transactions that typically would not have been subject to that regulatory review. While the focus on group practices also could be viewed as aimed at private equity, given increased activity by private equity investment in the physician practice space. And it does require notices of mergers, consolidations or affiliations of group practices with other practices that results in more than eight physicians. So you know, potentially taking aim at some of those tuck ins where you grow from a number of smaller acquisitions into a much larger practice. Note that it's by its terms, affects by hospitals and health systems to form friendly PCs and or expand their group practice presence as well. So it's not targeted specifically at private equity, although you might have um some impact for those doing deals within the state and the physician practice space specifically with those tuck in practices with smaller acquisitions. adding on. From a timing perspective, it also matters what type of deal you have in Connecticut. So for those undergoing HSR review contemporaneously with the submission to the state notice is required to be submitted to the Connecticut Attorney General at that same time for the group practice changes. However, the notice is required to be submitted to the Attorney General at least 30 days before the effective date of the transaction. There are some detailed requirements for what goes into that written notice in the law itself. But in a nutshell, the goal is for the AG to better understand the party's proposed deal structure, location of affected service area and similar market related facts that are going to be impacted by whatever the particular transaction is. And as we see in many of these laws, Carol, the attorney general will review the notice and that gets submitted and then can institute any action it's otherwise permitted to do under Connecticut law if it needs to based on its review. So for example, you know, consumer protection rules that allow the AG to take certain action within Connecticut may be relied upon if the attorney general feels that that's necessary for a particular transaction. I think one final note on Connecticut for our listeners, that's interesting that there's a recent bill that was passed in committee late in March and is currently working its way through the legislative process in Connecticut, not fully approved and signed into law yet, but um has been progressing in a positive trend that may impact private equity investment within the state. The law itself does not implement restrictions on private equity investment or transactions within the state but instead instructs the Executive Director of the Office of Health Strategies to develop a plan to evaluate and address private equity investment in health care in the state. Um So more of a directive to that office of Health strategies to review the issue and then come back to the table to the legislature with a potential proposal, including any restrictions or additional notice and review requirements by early in 2025. So I think the final word on Connecticut is stay tuned. There might be more to see here, Carol. Do you have any closing thoughts for our audience as we work to wrap up our podcast today?
Carol: Yeah, Nicole, I think that you've really um made a great point in terms of talking about what's pending in Connecticut just to underscore that there is a lot of legislative activity in this area and the landscape is changing very rapidly. We are tracking a lot of different activities in various states, some proposed laws and you know, some additional guidance that we expect to see forthcoming in the coming months. So for all of our listeners, it's really important to keep on top of these and keep checking back as to where a particular state is in terms of potential notice or approval requirements, particularly for longer running deals. You might have a deal that, you know, you signed a letter of intent at the end of 2023 and are now just um dusting it off and getting going with the actual terms. It's a really good idea to check to see where, where these different states are or where your transaction may implicate various state laws and continue to monitor them as your transaction goes because we've seen some of these pop up pretty quickly. We here at Reed Smith, Nicole and I and our teams will continue to monitor these laws and publish onr updates. So please reach out if there are any questions on how they may apply to your deals. I know it is keeping a number of us very busy. Thank you so much for joining us today and please tune in to future episodes of Dealmaker Insights on more updates on these topics.
Outro: Dealmaker Insights is a Reed Smith production. Our producers are Ali McCardell and Shannon Ryan. For more information about Reed Smith's corporate and financial industry practices, please email [email protected]. You can find our podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, reedsmith.com and our social media accounts.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for educational purposes. It does not constitute legal advice and is not intended to establish an attorney-client relationship, nor is it intended to suggest or establish standards of care applicable to particular lawyers in any given situation. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Any views, opinions, or comments made by any external guest speaker are not to be attributed to Reed Smith LLP or its individual lawyers.
All rights reserved.
Transcript is auto-generated.
With the recent explosion of antitrust developments in the United States, members of our Corporate and Antitrust & Competition teams have come together to produce a three-part series that discusses the practical impact of these developments for our clients. In this third and final episode, Reed Smith partners Anatoliy Rozental and Ed Schwartz team up to talk about merger planning during these times of uncertainty.
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Transcript:
Intro: Hello and welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content please contact our speakers.
Anatoliy: Hi, everyone and welcome back to Reed Smith's podcast series, Dealmaker Insights. I'm Anatoliy Rozental, Private Equity M&A partner based in our New York office. With the explosion of developments in the U.S. antitrust space. I’ve teamed up with our antitrust and competition team to chair a three part series where we will be discussing the practical impact of recent developments and key priorities for our clients. Our third and final episode, I'm honored to be joined by my partner Ed Schwartz, who was a member of the global antitrust competition team and who is at the forefront of some of these antitrust battles. Ed, thank you so much for joining me today.
Ed: It's a pleasure to be with you today. Anatoliy.
Anatoliy: Thank you, Ed. So let's dive right in. We've all heard and read so much about the changes in antitrust enforcement under President Biden, especially when it comes to mergers. We've also heard that these changes have made it more difficult to get deals through both the DOJ and the FTC. So do merging parties really need to approach the merger enforcement process differently today than they did even four years ago?
Ed: I think they do Anatoliy. Look, we all know that President Biden came into office with a mandate which I think can more accurately be described as a dictate from the progressive wing of the Democratic party to bolster antitrust enforcement, especially with regard to mergers and beginning with the appointment of Lina Khan to chair the FTC and the appointment of Jonathan Kanter at the antitrust division. We've seen the White House act on that mandate. And each of them Khan and Kanter has implemented changes at their respective agencies that have made getting many deals through the agencies more challenging. Now, the good news is that we have not seen a dramatic increase in the number of cases being investigated through a second request or being challenged in court. And that was expected by many of us. We've seen fewer in fact, particularly at the FTC. And there are a lot of reasons for that, that I don't really have time to get into, but still for parties who are trying to navigate the merger enforcement process deals that potentially raise anti-competitive concerns. And I'm talking about deals where there is a significant horizontal overlap between the parties or maybe because it's a vertical transaction which could be seen as potentially threatening to rivals of either the buyer or the seller. These parties do need to adjust their strategies for dealing with the antitrust agencies to adapt to the changes that we've seen.
Anatoliy: So, what do you think are the biggest changes in merger enforcement that you've witnessed that are impacting parties today? They're trying to navigate the merger enforcement process?
Ed: Well, it's a lot, but maybe I can speak first in broad strokes. Uh I think the changes made by the agencies fall into three broad categories. First, the agencies have broadened the scope of deals that the agencies consider to be potentially anti-competitive. Second, they've implemented changes that couldn't make getting a deal through more difficult and take longer if the agency decides to investigate. And three, the agencies have also made negotiating remedies for a challenge deal in order to win approval more difficult. Now, let me take those one at a time. So with respect to broadening the scope of deals, the agencies may find to be anti-competitive. Let's take a look at the recent revisions to the horizontal merger guidelines, which in a number of ways, they really both broaden the scope of deals that may be subject to investigation and a suit to block and at the same time, lowered the bar for merger challenges. So for example, and really importantly, the revised guidelines state that a proposed transaction will be viewed as presumptively unlawful if it results in a post merger combined fare of 30% that is a market share of 30% by the merge firm or in HHI of 1800. These are significantly lower thresholds than we saw in prior guidelines and they're really much lower than the thresholds the courts have generally viewed as raising anti-competitive concerns. So those are two examples both coming out of the revised horizontal merger guidelines. Um Second, though the agencies have now stated that a vertical merger will be viewed as presumptively illegal if either party has at least a 50% market share. This is new. And it's also consistent with the fact that we have seen notable challenges to vertical mergers in the last few years such as the FTC suit to block the aluminum rail transaction. And that by the way is a case that the FTC lost before the FTC administrative law judge. I think we also have to look beyond what the FTC has said in the revised horizontal merger guidelines because the FTC has issued other notable policy statements including a broad general statement of enforcement policy that addressed merger enforcement policy. And there the commission said that mergers that don't violate Clayton Act Section 7, which is the federal law establishing the standard for merger enforcement, could still violate Section 5 of the FTC Act. That's a radical statement. So what the FTC is saying is that even if under the body of case law that's developed over the last many, many, many decades and under FTC policy, a merger would be deemed to be legal that they still may challenge it under Section 5. The FTC has also said that it is abandon the consumer welfare standard in analyzing mergers even though this has been the touchstone for merger analysis for decades. Now because the FTC hasn't, hasn't provided much in the way of guidance as to just how they analyze deals. We're really left with the commission pretty much saying we can't really tell you what the standards are, but we'll know in anti-competitive merger when we see it and that's really not much of an exaggeration. So let me turn now to getting the deal through once an investigation has been opened. And what we're seeing there is more of a practice than a stated policy by the agency. The investigations that are launched are taking longer and the burdens on merging parties in navigating the investigation process is generally greater. So, put another way what we're seeing in many cases is the agencies using their discretion more often to be less flexible in negotiating the scope of second request and overall taking more time to conduct the investigation. And this of course, can imposed an enormous toll on the parties and in some cases threatened or even kill the deal. Lastly, remedies. Both the FTC and the Antitrust division have expressed deep skepticism about the effectiveness of merger remedies in fixing the problems they see arising from problematic mergers. This is also significant because if the agency isn't willing to negotiate a remedy, the only remaining options are to litigate or abandon the transaction.
Anatoliy: So given all of that, how can merging parties adapt? What, what should they be doing differently today than they were doing four years ago? What, what are we supposed to be telling our clients?
Ed: Well, that's really a $60,000 question, isn't it? And I would highlight three things. The first, I think parties need to take into account the risk of a long investigation. And I'm talking potentially as long as 18 or even 24 months in the parties' deal documents if you would think an investigation is likely. And I'll add that this is especially true if the deal may be investigated in other countries. In which case, the U.S. agency may slow roll the investigation even more. Also, given the greater risk, parties need to be especially thoughtful. And I think even creative in thinking about clearance risk allocation between the parties and possible outcomes when negotiating the deal documents. The second thing that I think parties need to focus on arises from the following reality and that is that the agencies hold most of the cards in a merger investigation. They really do. But there is one card that the parties can play and that is a willingness and ability to litigate. So what that means is that if an agency is jamming the deal up, the most effective thing the parties can do is to when they get to that point, certify substantial compliance with the second request. Now, the agency may say they don't agree. You haven't, you haven't complied. But the parties can say as far as we're concerned, we have complied. Tell them that, tell the agency that the parties plan to close and that they can sue if they want. But, that means the parties have to be prepared to litigate. And that what that means is that they should develop an effective litigation strategy early in the planning process. This is an important change, but it is the reality of navigating the merger clearance process today. Ultimately taking the dispute to a federal court means the agency has to prove its case under the enormous body of merger law that's developed and that's where the parties get leverage, even the threat of litigation and demonstrating a willingness to do it. That's what gives the party much greater leverage in an investigation. Importantly, here, remember the, if the agency sues to block a deal, they bear the burden. Also notable is the fact that the agencies have a string of losses in the courts and merger cases. So again, the parties can and should use what they have. There are only so many cases the agencies can litigate and their track record hasn't been very good. So the key takeaway here is a willingness and ability to litigate is the leverage parties have. They should use it when necessary and be prepared to do so. Third, let me get back to remedies. Um I think what parties need to be doing on that score is to be prepared early on to advise the agency, what the parties are willing to do to get the deal through. So the party should begin this process early in the planning. What is the buyer prepared to give to get the deal through? It is often in the party's interest to consider that up front, especially if you're, if you're representing the buyer. Look, the agencies know that if the parties have put an effective remedy offer on the table, the agency's chances of losing in court has just gone up and it may deter them from simply laying down the gauntlet and saying we're not willing to negotiate, you can walk away or will sue you. And so this is why we've seen the agencies more willing to negotiate remedies than their words would indicate. And also then if litigation ensues the parties are in a much better place, if they can argue to the court that even if the deal does reduce competition, the proposed remedy effectively restores it and that the agency shouldn't and can't get any more than the parties have offered. Now, let me add one last point about strategy in dealing with the new merger world we're in and it's what I wouldn't do. What I wouldn't do is to change the arguments I would make to the agencies in fundamental ways. And that's even before the FTC, despite the policy statements that they've made about abandoning the consumer welfare standard and everything else, and this goes back to my second point, the agencies ultimately need to prove their cases in court if the parties are willing to litigate. So, while the FTC might say we've abandoned the consumer welfare standard and we're doing things completely differently today because the old order doesn't work. They still have to prove their case before a court of law if the parties are willing to litigate and the consumer welfare standard is still the Touchstone for merger analysis in the courts and it probably will be for a long time to come. So I think the bottom line here is that just because the agency have veered left, that doesn't mean that the courts aren't still driving straight down the middle of the road.
Anatoliy: So Ed, and we, we, of course, that's the current state of the world. Of course, we have an election coming up. So I will ask you to look into your crystal ball and tell us what you expect to happen in connection with the election. So do you see changes happening with the type of president that is elected or with an incumbent retaining its seat in office?
Ed: Yeah. Well, that's a very good and timely question. We're not that far away from an election and possibly a change of administration. So the short answer is yes, we will see changes and it of course, depends on what happens in November. Look, I think first if Trump is elected, I think we will see rollbacks of many of the changes we've seen in the last three years. And also just, you know, gazing a little more deeply into my crystal ball, if Trump is elected, I won't be surprised to see merger review with the antitrust division and maybe even at the FTC to become more politicized. And that could be a wild card for merging parties. And you know, if Biden's re-elected, I still think that we're going to see some changes, especially at the FTC. I wouldn't be surprised to see more of an institutionalist at the helm, appointed as chair of the FTC. I think the White House might want to see someone who is viewed as more able to get things done than the current chair. And you know, I think who ends up in control of Congress, both the House and the Senate could also affect merger enforcement, especially if the Democrats lose the Senate and Biden is reelected. Look, you know, he's gonna have to get his, his appointments through his nominees through Senate confirmation and that could have an impact and look if the Republicans control both chambers, they, they control the budget and that could also have an impact as well. So either way we're going to see some changes, I fully expect that exactly what those changes will be. I guess we'll just have to wait and see.
Anatoliy: Thank you, Ed. That's all the time we have for today's episode. And thank you to everyone for tuning in. This is the last episode of the series and we hope that everyone has enjoyed it. If you have any further questions or comments, or like to reach out to any of the speakers. You can please find all of our bios on the Reed Smith website. We look forward to staying in touch about these topics or any future topics until next time. Thank you so much.
Outro: Dealmaker Insights is a Reed Smith production. Our producers are Ali McCardell and Shannon Ryan. For more information about Reed Smith's corporate and financial industry practices, please email [email protected]. You can find our podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, reedsmith.com and our social media accounts.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for educational purposes. It does not constitute legal advice and is not intended to establish an attorney-client relationship, nor is it intended to suggest or establish standards of care applicable to particular lawyers in any given situation. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Any views, opinions, or comments made by any external guest speaker are not to be attributed to Reed Smith LLP or its individual lawyers.
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With the recent explosion of antitrust developments in the United States, members of our Corporate and Antitrust & Competition teams have come together to produce a three-part series that discusses the practical impact of these developments for our clients. In this episode, Reed Smith partners Anatoliy Rozental and Chris Brennan discuss new U.S. merger guidelines.
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Intro: Hello, welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content through this series, please contact our speakers.
Anatoliy: Hi, everyone and welcome back to Reed Smith's podcast series, Dealmaker Insights. I'm Anatoliy Rosental, private equity and M&A partner based in our New York office with the explosion of developments in the US antitrust space. I've teamed up with some of our antitrust and competition team to chair a three-part series where we'll be discussing the practical impact of recent developments and key priorities for some of our clients. For our second episode, I'm joined by Chris Brennan, who is a partner in Reed Smith's global antitrust and competition team and whose practice is at the forefront of these antitrust battles. Chris, thank you so much for joining me today.
Chris: Thanks, Anatoliy. Always good to work with you and especially for today's discussion which focuses on a major development on how our clients evaluate and plan for merger clearance issues in the US.
Anatoliy: So let's, let's jump right in. You know, this episode is focused on the US Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission's 2023 merger guidelines. So to start at the beginning for our listeners who may not be familiar with the history, you know, I understand that the first guidelines were issued way back in 1968 and there have been several iterations since then. The 2023 guidelines consolidate, revise, replace the various versions of the merger guidelines issued by the FTC and DOJ. And can you give us a brief background of what these guidelines represent?
Chris: So, the stated purpose of these guidelines is to help the public business leaders, practitioners that would be you and I and courts understand how the agencies consider certain issues when investigating mergers. The ideas is that they reflect the agency's current approach to merger enforcement and provide you and me and the larger community insights into how those mergers are going to be analyzed at least for the current agency leadership. And just so we're all on the same page. US law requires companies to file a notification that's known as an HSR filing to the FTC and DOJ for a proposed merger that at least for this year in 2024 is valued at or above 119.5 million. Once that filing is submitted, the agencies have 30 days to decide if they want to further investigate and potentially challenge the merger and critically the parties cannot close the deal while that process is playing out. So while these guidelines are non binding, you should think of them as the playbook for DOJ and FTC personnel that review those filings and that playbook is how agency leadership expects them to analyze a merger during the 30 day review period, and whether to let that deal close or to pump the brakes and investigate further.
Anatoliy: Got it. So are the 2023 guidelines, another incremental change or is this something more groundbreaking?
Chris: So it's definitely groundbreaking, but potentially not in the normal sense of that phrase. The agencies have touted these guidelines as necessary to address quote unquote the modern economy. Yet many of the legal authorities that the agencies rely on for significant changes in these guidelines are based on pre 1980’s case law and many of those authorities have been ignored or rejected by courts over the last 40 years as modern economic theory has shifted our view of how mergers affect markets and outcomes for market participants. Critics of these new guidelines have noted that there's an obvious tension between claiming to update the guidelines for a modern economy while seeming to adopt the pre economics era of antitrust enforcement. But if you take a step back, that approach makes perfect sense, if you think about the Biden administration's view of today's modern economy, and they've characterized that as one marked by excessive corporate consolidation and a need for enhanced merger enforcement. Consistent with that view, these 2023 merger guidelines clearly signal an appetite for stronger enforcement, more theories of potential harm to competition and likely longer investigation periods for our clients.
Anatoliy: Ok. So in light of this new approach, can you walk our listeners through the major changes and how the DOJ and FTC are analyzing mergers for potential competition concerns?
Chris: Sure, I should be clear that there's a lot in these guidelines but for purposes of today's episode and for our listeners, I want to talk about three of the most widely applicable changes. First, the guidelines significantly lower the threshold that agencies use to assess whether a merger is presumptively anti competitive. Generally, a merger that creates a firm with a market share of greater than 30% is likely presumed to be an anti competitive under these new guidelines. And so these guidelines are going to make an entirely greater class of mergers presumptively anti competitive. The guidelines also substantially reduce the presumption thresholds for the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index which is known as the HHI index which analyzes the change in concentration of market shares across all the competitors in a relevant market. I don't want to get too deep into the numbers of that analysis, but one way to think about it is that these revisions place far greater scrutiny on what we call a 6 to 5 merger where you start with six competitors, there's a merger and now you're left with five. Before these guidelines, those mergers were less likely to raise anti competitive concerns. And certainly under this new approach, anything more concentrated such as a 5 to 4 merger is absolutely gonna trip the new guidelines. I should note that this is a rebuttable presumption. And the agency has made clear in the final version of these guidelines that it's a rebuttable presumption, but they're saying it's rebuttable while at the same time saying you're gonna need really good arguments to get over that presumption. And if you're in a significantly higher market share above 30% or substantially below the thresholds for the HHI index, that's really gonna be an uphill battle. You're gonna have to fight really hard and potentially go to the courts if you wanna push that deal through. So second, I wanna talk about vertical mergers and obviously by that, I mean, a merger that's not between direct competitors, but something like a merger between a supplier and a manufacturer. The guidelines now suggest, don't declare but suggest the presumption against mergers in which there's going to be a market share of 50% or greater in the related product. And that's the product by which you could use to foreclose other rivals access to the market. This is an area where the agencies are clearly departing from case law because there's never been a presumption that a 50% share would make a merger unlawful. And I think they're gonna have a really tough time pushing that through the courts. And it'll be interesting to see how much they try to push those cases and challenge those mergers uh to test this new approach. Third and finally, I wanna talk about deals that involve nascent or com or potential competitors. And this includes both actual potential competition where one of the merging parties has real plans to enter a market as well as perceived potential competition where current competitors are disciplined by a perception that one or more of the merging parties could enter the market. The guidelines claim that and I'm quoting here in general expansion into a concentrated market via internal growth rather than via acquisition benefits competition. In other words, they don't want you to see, they don't want to see a entity buy its way into a market. They wanna see it build its way into the market. And we've seen this theory in the fintech space, in virtual reality. It's particularly applicable to emerging technologies and I'm sure we'll see it in acquisitions related to artificial intelligence. My view is these challenges are gonna rise and fall on the specific facts and players and that's consistent with the agency's mixed record in challenging these deals to date.
Anatoliy: Generally sounds like scrutiny is increasing across the board. But are there any potential industries or types of entities that are specifically targeted in these new merger guidelines?
Chris: There are and we should begin with a shout out to your first episode with my colleague Michelle Mantine because private equity is definitely in the crosshairs of these new guidelines. And I know you and her talked about that issue in detail. So if you're listening and that's applicable to your world, then please go back and check out that episode. Let's also talk about two other subgroups and that's platforms and labor markets. A multi sided platform is defined as a product or service in which participants provide or use distinct products which contribute to the attractiveness and use of the platform overall. Just for some examples, think about companies offering digital services like app stores, buyer and seller platforms and social media companies. The agencies make clear that the guidelines will apply even if the competitive concerns do not arise on all sides of the proposed market. And they'll consider competition between platforms, competition on the platform, and competition to displace the platform. My view and it's sort of reading the tea leaves here is that platforms are gonna play an increasingly important role in a lot of industries as technology and software continue to infiltrate all aspects of our lives and the agencies are sort of ahead of that shift, ensuring they have a very flexible approach on when those acquisitions are up for review. Second, let's think about labor markets. Unlike the prior merger guidelines, the 2023 edition include extensive discussion of possible harm in labor markets resulting from combinations of employers, they compete for talent. We've seen this and I'm sure you're familiar with an increasing focus on labor markets in all contexts including outside the merger world. And the guidelines confirm that agencies will be reviewing deals for a number of possible effects to labor including lower wages, slower wage growth, the degradation of workplace quality and forcing workers to be pushed into the job market. In response, merging parties should consider how they would respond inquiries on labor issues. And in particular should think very hard about how efficiencies related to head count are addressed in their internal analysis and the calculations of potential synergies.
Anatoliy: So let's now talk about impact. Do these guidelines prevent our clients from considering certain acquisitions or exit strategies?
Chris: So I noted at the beginning that these guidelines aren't binding on the on the agencies and I should also clarify that the guidelines have no legally binding effect on courts. And it may be a really tough sell for many judges given that these guidelines depart from existing and widely accepted principles of merger analysis. So again, the law is not changing here. Moreover, these guidelines are generally seen by antitrust practitioners as essentially memorializing an enforcement strategy that has been in effect since this current administration took over in 2021. And in large part, that approach has failed to produce results in merger litigation. The agencies have lost most of their efforts to enforce the more novel theories in these guidelines. And there's really little reason to think that that's going to change simply because the agencies have published their playbook. That said, defeating the FTC or DOJ in a merger challenge is a massive undertaking. And the agency's track record has not deterred them from being exceedingly aggressive in enforcement efforts. I'll leave you with two perspectives on impact. One clients shouldn't slam the brakes on deal activity just because the temperature in the room has increased. At the end of the day, the vast majority of deals go unchallenged in large part because agencies only have so many staff members to do the work. So work with your antitrust counsel to get a deal specific assessment of where you fall across the potential enforcement spectrum. But second, there's no doubt that this administration has adopted a deep skepticism of large companies becoming larger. A draft version of these guidelines went so far as to claim that any merger by a company with at least a 30% share would be subject to heightened scrutiny. If you're in that universe, I think you need to factor into acquisition planning and should consider what deals are most likely to create real shareholder value over the next eight months of 2024.
Anatoliy: Is there anything our clients can do in response to these changes?
Chris: I think all the common and classic suggestions apply, right? And you and I have talked with clients about those all the time, right? Think about your documents, get planning early, prepare your arguments. But in light of these changes, I think the best thing you can do is actually integrate your antitrust counsel into the acquisition planning process. Not just after you have a potential target. I know I've had a number of clients reach out and say here are our goals and some potential ideas. What do you think? And the great thing about that approach is we're helping the key personnel at the company understand how to be proactive in developing short and long term acquisition strategies that are aligned with current enforcement attitudes. So we're avoiding a scenario where the board hears about this amazing opportunity. And then only later down the road hears about all the potential antitrust risks that can make it hard to push through if you can write size and right time your client's acquisition strategy, you're creating tremendous downstream efficiencies in how you'll subsequently defend that deal before the agencies. Similarly, I think client should be more willing to consider filing on a letter of intent versus fully signed Comprehensive Agreement. The HSR rules have always allowed both scenarios and I think there are certain deals where an lo I makes more sense because you can get the agency's reaction to the deal before you incur 100% of the due diligence burden to be sure you can't just send in a hypothetical deal and you have to certify that you have a good faith intention to consummate the transaction. But I think where you can get a seller on board, I think it's a really interesting approach for certain transactions.
Anatoliy: Definitely. And it's, it's certainly one that you've recommended for our clients on, on many transactions before and been successful approach that we've taken. All right, Chris, last question for you and I'm sure it's one that you're getting at a lot of cocktail parties these days, but with the close of the first quarter of 2024 and as we're barreling toward a presidential election in November, could the results of that election affect the lifespan of these guidelines?
Chris: So the short answer is yes and obviously neither you nor I have a crystal ball on how things are gonna play out. But uh let me give you a reason to think that's not just possible but potentially likely. The DOJ and FTC issued the vertical merger guidelines in 2020 under the Trump administration. Just about a year later. The FTC rescinded those 2020 guidelines after the Biden administration appointees took control. So we'll certainly be paying close attention to how there's discussion of monopolies as well as the economy at large on the campaign trail. And hopefully you can have me back for a follow up episode on how this election will impact the merger outlook for 2025.
Anatoliy: Perfect. That's all the time for today. Thank you to Chris for today's episode and thank you to everyone for tuning in. For part three, I'll be joined by my partner Ed Schwartz and we'll be discussing merger planning in the age of uncertainty, FTC Section 5 and beyond. We hope you can all join us then. Thank you so much.
Outro: Dealmaker Insights is a Reed Smith production. Our producer is Ali McCardell. For more information about Reed Smith's corporate and financial industry practices, please email [email protected]. You can find our podcast on Spotify, Apple, Google, Stitcher, reedsmith.com and on our social media accounts at Reed Smith LLP on LinkedIn, Facebook and Twitter.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for educational purposes. It does not constitute legal advice and is not intended to establish an attorney-client relationship, nor is it intended to suggest or establish standards of care applicable to particular lawyers in any given situation. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Any views, opinions, or comments made by any external guest speaker are not to be attributed to Reed Smith LLP or its individual lawyers.
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In our latest Private Equity Spotlight series, Brian Murchie, senior client development advisor at Reed Smith, is joined by Rush Harvey, Director, Private Capital Advisory at Raymond James, to discuss the unique perspective Rush and his team bring to the market, and the state of the fundraising and secondary markets.
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Intro: Hello, welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content through this series please contact our speakers.
Brian: Welcome back to Dealmaker Insights. Excited with the new series spotlighting the private equity industry. My name is Brian Murchie. I'm the Client Development Advisor at Reed Smith. My personal background is I started out at Platinum Equity on the business development team for seven years. From there, I moved into in an investment banking role. I was with Stifel in a West Coast sponsored coverage role. And then from there, I moved over to Raymond James also as a managing director in a sponsor coverage role and excited for Rush Harvey, who's a good friend of mine and a, and a, and a former colleague at Raymond James, who's in a private capital advisory side. I think he brings a very unique perspective given where he sits in the market and the state of the market. So welcome rush and excited to have you on here How are you doing,
Rush: Brian I'm doing awesome. Thanks so much for having me today.
Brian: Great. I think you bring a very interesting perspective. Rush just given your background and kind of where you sit in the market. Could you discuss your transition from being a former LP to to the private capital advisory side?
Rush: Sure, thanks Brian. It's been a journey that's for sure. I was a limited partner my entire career up to joining Raymond James on the private capital advisory side about two years ago, most recently managing the endowment with the team at Kansas State University Foundation and then at the Texas A & M University Foundation. So go cats and gig em’ Aggies. And it's been a great transition to the private capital advisory side to bring an LP perspective to how we do business, how we serve our clients and ultimately how we try to be a source of relevant deal flow to limited partners.
Brian: and Rush I, I did notice you have a recent article out there that you published. Uh could you kind of discuss that? Like I know it discusses, you know, your background and kind of your entrance into the private capital advisory space. But if there's anything there you could touch on, it would be helpful.
Rush: Yeah. Happy to Brian and, and thank you for reading. I appreciate that. The title of the article is Reflections From the middle seat. So in, in the current role we are serving GPs, sponsors and also limited partners, LPs. And so we want to be as helpful as possible to both. And, you know, sitting in the middle seat on the airplane usually isn't the most fun, depending on who you sit next to. But in the current role, I'm having tons of fun because the market needs support in regards to fundraising. It's such a tough fundraising market right now. So GPS need a partner to help them navigate and we're trying to be a good partner in the market. But limited partners, they need good deals and they wanna work with folks, they trust and you gotta earn their trust. So sitting in between LPs and GPs, I have a pretty unique perspective. You know, being an LP understanding the hard work it takes to execute a process to get a deal done, to find the right partner to help you serve your institution, to enhance your mission. For me at two public land grant university cities. The mission was so important, thinking about those kids that we served and the scholarship dollars we tried to generate and making those private capital commitments really, really mattered and we had to have good partners. So trying to be a source of those types of great deals for those limited partners and then helping GPs, you know, tell their story in a way that resonates with those limited partners. And you know, the best private capital advisory firms play that role in the middle seat, but then they get out of the way when it makes sense and, and you let the LP and the GP build that relationship and, and stay as active as you can to be a good partner to help them ultimately build that relationship more formally. So, it's been fun.
Brian: Thanks Rush. That's uh a wonderful insight here. And I, I think that's a good segue into kind of the state of, of the fundraising market. Could you just kind of touch on, you know, like the current state of the fundraising market and how this year is a little different than last year over how it might face a lot of the same uh challenges.
Rush: For sure. To say it's tough would be a massive understatement. Limited partners just don't have the capital to deploy like they did a few years ago, you had public markets really underperform a few years ago, which makes allocations to privates go up, which means you have less budget for capital deployment. And so with the public markets being volatile, budgets got tight and they're still tight because private markets have continued to perform. But now you have public markets coming back. So what we're trying to help our partners understand is you've got to play the long game, you've got to expect to be in market longer. And there are a few boxes you have to check for limited partners given how tough it is from a capital deployment standpoint for them, the boxes that you have to check. So deals are getting done, capital is being raised, but it's taking much longer for funds to reach their target. And it's really been a biased mark in regards to fundraising, the bigger funds, those raising 10 billion and above have seen a lot more success than those groups raising 10 billion and below. That could be a flight to quality for LPs. It could be working with managers where they have longer lasting relationships as well in the more mid and large cap part of the market. Some of the data doesn't tell you exactly why LPs are favoring larger funds. But you've seen capital flow there in a much bigger way than in your past. That is what we're seeing. But at the same time, it's still tough for everyone outside of a few larger names.
Brain: Yeah. Thanks Rush. Yeah, I know. It's tough out there. I mean, in your seat, have you seen a fund that has historically had, you know, a good size fund, let's say they raised 650 million and, you know, they've been trying to raise, you know, another fund and can't, can't quite get to 650 but, you know, they can raise 500 so they're able to raise a smaller fund and, and they've said, ok, you know, let's just raise, you know, like a smaller fund on our next one and we'll deploy this app write some larger checks and then, you know, we'll go back to market in a couple of years when, you know, like the fundraising market might be a little different?
Rush: Sponsors in that situation are taking what they can get. So if they can't get to their former fun size, there is that conversation of, hey, let's get to a third number and go execute our process. I do think LPs in the future will look at a down fund with a little more grace than they would have in the past raising a smaller fund. Or it being significantly less than what you tried to raise was an absolute negative for most folks because you're trying to raise more capital. You've hired more people, you wanna do more deals and you don't get there just a bad sign in the market. But given how tough it is now, if it was 650 you raise 550 for the next one and you can help folks understand why. Hey, we had a strong re-up from our current LP base. Hey, we did bring in some new LPs. We saw the writing on the wall with the market. We didn't want to be in market 18 months. We want to execute our process. We want to put money to work because this could be our best fund ever and come back later to your point when things are more normalized. I do think most LPS will understand that. But also if it is a smaller fun explaining to the market, why you don't have to let people go, why you can still execute, why the pipeline is still going to be robust, et cetera. But that example, 650 to 550 isn't that material but say it was 650 then you raise 300 then you're hoping to go get a bunch of co-invest to do similar size deals, but you haven't done a lot of co-invest in the past. That's something LPs are really, you know, trying to avoid. So there is grace in the market, but you wanna make sure you can get as close to your target as possible. And that's where we're seeing a lot of demand for our services because we can come in and help tell that story, connect them with the right pools of capital. I want to see those types of opportunities to help them get to that part to help them get to that target. Wearing the old LP hat comes in handy here because I was always concerned about, hey, are you raising too much capital? And if you're increasing your fund size by 20% or 100% why, why can you execute the process? Why is it still reputable? Why is it still relevant? And so we're asking those same questions as a placement agent partner to ensure that we can get LPs interested in the mandate and answering the fund size question because it's usually the top five question that LPs want to understand when they look at a new mandate.
Brian: Got it. No, that's very helpful. Thanks, Rush. And could you kind of give us, you know, like a state of uh the uh the secondary market and how it compares to last year? You know, I know, you know, continuation vehicles had certainly been increased over the last, you know, a year or so. So just, just kind of curious your, your thoughts on that and the the current state of the market with that?
Rush: The secondary market is here to stay and the amount of GP led transactions we believe will continue to increase, you know, going back over time. LP led secondaries for the majority of market value and GP led volume has continually increased. If you look at the last five years, it's essentially doubled and we expect that to continue over time because GPs need ways to enhance their liquidity via generating it. And it's harder to do that in an environment like we're in today. Distributions, back to LPs, are essentially at all time lows. Contributions and distributions in regards to the mix, they're not equilibrium. And so that's a problem for LPs in regards to committing capital, they're used to the money coming back from their PE relationships, using that capital to contribute to the next fund and they can't do that. So a continuation vehicle. A GP led secondary is a new technology that allows sponsors to generate that liquidity, lots of skepticism in the market in regards to LP sentiment on these structures. And we advise all of our clients that you have to do these deals for the right reasons. You've owned the asset for at least three years, you love the asset, you're going to provide a great return to your LPs. If I underwrote a GP for a three X net return and a CV is coming my way to analyze and I'm gonna get that return that I underwrote, I'm gonna have a much higher probability of being open to doing a secondary. But if it's a 1.4 X, they've held it for 18 months, it's like, why are you doing this and we really work with our partners to make sure that they get support from their LP base. And if LPs love the deal, they can stay in it. But if they need that liquidity, which is what most LPs need right now, more than ever, they can get the return, they underwrote on that deal and they can use that capital to contribute to that GPs next primary or to commit to another opportunity. And we will help them find new investors on the secondary side to come in at the new valuation. And there's more and more capital looking for GP led secondary transactions than ever before. You've seen Lexington raise a $23 billion fund. You've seen groups like HarbourVest and a uh continue to commit capital to these types of deals. And there are more new entrants in the market focusing on GP leds. So we're excited about the market, but we wanna make sure all of our deals really pass that quality a threshold so they can be successful in the market or the selling LP feels good and the new partner for the GP feels good.
Brian: Thanks Rush. That's very helpful and just given all all that and with your background into your new role here that you can discuss, you know, the Raymond James entrance into the private capital advisory market.
Rush: Absolutely, really proud to be in this business a few years ago, let's say three years ago, if a sponsor needed help raising a fund raising capital for deal by deal or doing a secondary, they weren't calling Raymond James a lot of great competitors and peers in the market that were in that business winning those mandates. And Raymond James said, look, we need to compete here from a middle market, investment banking standpoint, always very competitive and very proud of our business. But private capital advisory was essentially a hole and made an acquisition of a boutique placement agent, secondary advisory firm, Cebile Capital based in London. Cebile was founded by my boss Sunaina Sinha and Raymond James got to know Sunaina bought her business and the goal has been to replicate what Sunaina built in Europe, a great business replicate that here in the US. And I was hired a few years ago to be on that team to help grow that US business and really proud of the work we've done. We've got about 60 people on our team today with offices in LA, Chicago, New York, West Palm. I'm down here in Houston, then half the team is in London. So just getting started, you know, we've been in this space under the Ray J umbrella for almost three years and again, just really proud of, of the team that we're on and excited about what's ahead uh to be a good partner in the market.
Brain: Thanks Rush. That's all the questions I had for today. You know, it's really a interesting time in the market. You know, I certainly appreciate your time to join us on Dealmaker Insights and I wish you and your team and uh Raymond James all the success here in 2024 and uh looking forward to staying in touch.
Rush: Thank you, Brian. Really appreciate you having me on the show today and can't wait to listen to future episodes.
Outro: Dealmaker Insights is a Reed Smith production. Our producer is Ali McCardell. For more information about Reed Smith's corporate and financial industry practices, please email [email protected]. You can find our podcast on Spotify, Apple, Google, Stitcher, reedsmith.com and on our social media accounts at Reed Smith LLP on LinkedIn, Facebook and Twitter.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for educational purposes. It does not constitute legal advice and is not intended to establish an attorney-client relationship, nor is it intended to suggest or establish standards of care applicable to particular lawyers in any given situation. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Any views, opinions, or comments made by any external guest speaker are not to be attributed to Reed Smith LLP or its individual lawyers.
All rights reserved.
Transcript is auto-generated.
With the recent explosion of antitrust developments in the United States, members of our Corporate and Antitrust & Competition teams have come together to produce a three-part series that discusses the impact of these developments for our clients. In this first episode, Anatoliy Rozental, a private equity partner in the firm’s Global Corporate Group, is joined by Michelle Mantine, chair of our global Antitrust & Competition team, to talk about recent developments at the intersection of private equity and antitrust law.
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Transcript:
Intro: Hello, welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content through this series please contact our speakers.
Anatoliy: Hi, everyone and welcome back to Dealmaker Insights. I'm Anatoliy Rozental, private equity and M&A partner based in our New York office uh with the explosion of developments in the US Antitrust space. I've teamed up with our antitrust and competition team to chair a three part series where we'll be discussing the practical impact of recent developments and key priorities for our clients. For our first episode, I honored to be joined by my partner Michelle Mantine, who chairs our global antitrust and competition team and who is at the forefront of some of these antitrust models. So, let's dig right in, we are here to talk about recent developments at the intersection of private equity and antitrust law. What is happening that makes this conversation so important?
Michelle: Well, this month alone, the federal agencies that enforce the antitrust laws signaled an intensified look into the purported financialization of health care markets. Citing concerns regarding health care consolidation and private equities role in the marketplace. Specifically on March 5th, regulators hosted a public workshop, private capital, public Impact an FTC workshop on private equity and health care. And during that workshop, the agencies announced a cross government inquiry into the impact of private equity investment and other forms of what they refer to as corporate greed in the health care sector. Speakers from the agencies touted enforcers recent enhanced scrutinizing of private equity firms and their involvement in health care. The workshop featured remarks from agency officials as well as panels of economists, academics and health care workers. Now across the board, the speakers denounced private equity’s role in health care leaving little room for discussion of the possible benefits, clinical or otherwise of private capital investments in the health care market. Now that very same day, just before that workshop began, the agencies issued a request for information or RFI looking for information regarding consolidation in health care markets. Again, citing concerns that acquisitions in this space may generate profits for private equity firms at the expense of patient care and worker safety. As the Federal Trade Commission's chair, Lina Khan, expressly noted private equity companies should be on notice of these efforts by the antitrust agencies specifically that the agencies are on the lookout for strategies and things that they see that could be problematic under the antitrust laws. They're focused on, in their words, protecting the American public from anti competitive and unlawful tactics.
Anatoliy: Certainly worrying for some of my um private equity clients in this space, aside from Lina Khan and the FTC, what other agencies are involved and how are they going to work together to, to regulate private equity firms?
Michelle: Yeah, beyond Lina Khan and the FTC, the antitrust division of the Department of Justice, the DOJ is really uh sort of alongside the FTC spearheading this effort. Now, both of those agencies, the FTC and DOJ are in charge of enforcing the federal antitrust laws, generally. In this particular effort, those agencies were joined by the Department of Health and Human Services, HHS, with support from the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, CMS. HHS is charged with protecting the health of American citizens while CMS works within HHS to administer government funded health care through the Medicare and Medicaid programs. Now, the FTC has undoubtedly focused on private equities involvement in health care. As of late, you know, they instituted a civil suit against a private equity investor, Welsh Carson and its portfolio company US Anesthesia Partners challenging its serial acquisitions with which the FTC alleges allowed the firm to monopolize the market at issue in that case. Now, corporate involvement in health care has been a consistent priority for this administration and it will likely continue well beyond this workshop. The DOJ also has plans to investigate for this discussion on March 5th, whether private equity investments in health care entities violate state corporate practice of medicine. CPOM laws. Now, HHS has a slightly different focus. It plans to focus its efforts more on monetary transparency and accountability regarding the use of government funds. Similarly, CMS plans to implement additional oversight into ownership of healthcare entities by exploring stronger standards to oversee the quality and execution of Medicare and Medicaid programs. Now, these agencies have agreed upon information sharing between and among them allowing information gathered by one agency to be used in potential investigations by the other agencies. Beyond these agencies, state regulators have been taking on similar cases under the state antitrust laws, scrutinizing investing and challenging private equity transactions in this space. In addition to proposing their own state legislation that will make it more challenging for private equity companies to engage in transactions purely in health care, but also beyond state antitrust rules are also becoming increasingly common as a method for inquiring against these types of actions. So for example, the Colorado Attorney General just settled lawsuits against the entity I named earlier Us Anesthesia Partners requiring that group which is private equity backed to sever exclusive contracts with five hospitals and dissolve any of its doctors non-compete agreements. Similarly, the Massachusetts Attorney General imposed conditions on a hospital acquisition by a private equity owned firm within the last few years. Multiple states have implemented transaction notification statutes that are often referred to as baby HSR statutes which are requiring transactions within the health care sector or ones involving hospitals or insurers to report transactions to state authorities before closing it. So it's really critical that, you know, the state players are factored into overall legal risk analysis and evaluation and assessment of transactions.
Anatoliy: Michelle. We're, we're talking a lot about health care. It does this mean that our PE clients that are not investing in the PE space don't have to be concerned about additional antitrust scrutiny from the government?
Michelle: It's a great question and I told you the short answer is no. While the examples you are seeing right now are focused on health care, it goes beyond that and the agencies have taken the opportunity to say that in the March 5th discussion and otherwise in their commentary. So just for a few examples, if you look back in August of 2022 the FTC challenged a private equities firms acquisition in the veterinary services space albeit health care adjacent, right? That challenge was settled. But though the parties are subject to numerous limitations on future acquisitions including prior approval and notice requirements on any purchase of their specialty or emergency veterinarian clinics within certain geographic areas. Similarly, alongside of these sort of changes and discussions on private equity and antitrust in June of 2023 the FTC announced upcoming changes to the information that will be required for merger control notifications under the Hart-Scott Rodindo Act. These proposed changes include requiring significantly more information regarding minority investors, officer director, relationships, board advisors, as well as a broader scope of internal documents to be submitted with the HSR filings. Private equity buyers will be particularly impacted by these requests for more information assuming that these proposed rules become final, particularly the information request seeking information about disclosure prior acquisitions that occurred within the past 10 years. That's quite a long time. Now, alongside those proposed HSR changes in July of 2023. The FTC and DOJ had released draft merger guidelines which were finalized in December of 2023. And those guidelines call for heightened scrutiny of private equity activity across all industries not just limited to health care. The guidelines expressly note that the agencies will investigate broad strategies of serial acquisitions even if no single acquisition on its own would substantially lessen competition or tend to create a monopoly. In addition, the guidelines note that the agencies will consider how minority interests may impact competitive decision making suggesting that that might even expand as far as non voting minority interests. Now last but not least in November of 2022, the FTC issued a policy statement describing the types of conduct that it considers to be an unfair method of competition even if that conduct does not violate the traditional antitrust laws such as the Sherman Act and the Clayton Act. The policy statement defines roll up transactions specifically as a series of transactions that tend to bring about harms that the antitrust laws were designed to prevent but individually may not have violated the antitrust laws. Now, since that time, the release of that statement in November of 2022 the FTC has increased its activity issuing civil investigative demands to PE firms under requests per section five of the FTC Act. Last but not least, both the DOJ and FTC have continued to enforce section eight of the Clayton Act which prohibits interlocking directorates between companies that cross certain thresholds, particularly in the case of private equity in August of last year. For example, the FTC announced an action to prevent an interlocking directorate arrangement, marking the first time that the FTC applied section eight enforcement to a non corporate entity. So far because of the DOJ’s recent efforts, 15 interlocking directors have resigned from 11 different corporate boards across various industries. That might not sound a lot, but that's a lot, a lot more than what was prevented in the past. And the antitrust agencies have stated that they are continually looking for interlocking directorates imposed by private equity venture capital and corporate venture capital firms among others.
Anatoliy: Certainly seems like there's a a new regime here. So, so what can private equity firms do to mitigate their antitrust risk as they do transactions?
Michelle: Yes, they, this is the time really to take stock of your operations entities in this area should exercise caution and work with their antitrust lawyers to evaluate the effects, both procompetitive and anti competitive of their strategic business decisions. So regular audits compliance efforts, ongoing counseling discussions with Council can really help navigate the impact of new policies and regulations. I think the big thing here is to really make sure that as a, as a private equity firm or corporate client that you're in the know, right? And part of that is appreciating a, we expect that there will be continued scrutiny in this area. Antitrust agencies are focused on private equity and financial sponsors. So we need to just know going into the deal that we may get more questions than we have in the past and be prepared to answer them. And we need to think about that even in the context of minority interests because they're starting to garner much more attention that they had in the past. I mean, the FTC is expected to assess even the minority interest from PE firms and financial advisors in looking at these transactions much more than they did before. Even just looking at how a board member or advisor position might influence the strategic and commercial decision making of an entity. Clients should also anticipate potential enforcement outside of the merger clearance process. Whether it be through a civil investigative demand or other subpoena like document, they should expect that agencies will take a critical view towards series of acquisitions concentrated within any single sector or related sectors over a more expansive multiyear time frame. And last but certainly not least being mindful of the documents you create in your retention policies. You know, there's a tendency by companies to hold on to documents and information longer than they should now is the time to look at those retention policies and to see how long you really need to hold tight on those materials. Similarly, what kind of documents are you creating? And do you need them? Not only do you need them, what do they say and how might they be interpreted by a regulator or completely out of context? Five years later, working with your lawyers to make sure that your language is very careful and strategic to the points you're trying to make is all the more critical really now, more than ever.
Anatoliy: Michelle. That's all the time we have today. Thank you so much for your time and thank you to everybody for tuning in. For part two I'll be joined by my partner Chris Brennan and we'll be discussing the impact of the new merger guidelines. We hope you can all join us.
Outro: Dealmaker Insights is a Reed Smith production. Our producer is Ali McCardell. For more information about Reed Smith's corporate and financial industry practices, please email [email protected]. You can find our podcast on Spotify, Apple, Google Stitcher, reedsmith.com and on our social media accounts at Reed Smith LLP on LinkedIn, Facebook and Twitter.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for educational purposes. It does not constitute legal advice and is not intended to establish an attorney-client relationship, nor is it intended to suggest or establish standards of care applicable to particular lawyers in any given situation. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Any views, opinions, or comments made by any external guest speaker are not to be attributed to Reed Smith LLP or its individual lawyers.
All rights reserved.
Transcript is auto-generated.
In the first of our Private Equity Spotlight series, Brian Murchie, senior client development advisor at Reed Smith, welcomes Chris Baddon, a principal and the head of business development at Pacific Avenue Capital, to discuss trends in the private equity industry in 2023 and what to look forward to this year.
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Transcript:
Intro: Hello, welcome to Dealmaker Insights, a podcast brought to you by Reed Smith's corporate and finance lawyers from around the globe. In this podcast series, we explore the various legal and financial issues impacting your deals. Should you have any questions on any of the content through this series please contact our speakers.
Brian: Welcome back to Dealmaker Insights. We are excited with a new series spotlighting the private equity industry. My name is Brian Murchie. I'm the client development advisor at Reed Smith. Excited to welcome our first guest, Chris Badden with Pacific Avenue Capital. I'm personally excited to welcome Chris, given I have a background like his. I spent seven years on the business development team with Platinum Equity. And then from there, I went into a sponsor coverage role with Stifel and then Raymond James. So, you know, welcome Chris, excited to have you and looking forward to your insights here with our podcast.
Chris: Thanks, Brian. Look, I really appreciate you having us on and, and uh looking forward to the discussion today. Personal background on myself, local kid in Southern California. So I grew up in, in Orange County in Huntington Beach specifically, I found my way to, to USD for college down in San Diego. And uh actually got some private equity experience during a college internship with JMI Equity. They're a software and tech focused private equity firm down in, down in San Diego. And I came up to LA for my first role professionally with Open Gate Capital uh back in 2010, which certainly exposed me to the industry. And I started as a, as an entry level uh business development associate. Most of my coverage was specifically uh industrial focused and chemicals and building products and source a number of platforms for, for the firm. There was there for about 7.5 years, went to Transom Capital for three years and help them build out the business development approach and then came here to Pacific about 2.5 years ago, almost three years ago now uh to lead the business development effort uh for Pacific Avenue.
Brian: Thanks Chris. So what would you say were your biggest challenges in 2023? And kind of how do you see these evolving in the year ahead?
Chris: Yeah, it's a really good question and, and maybe um maybe I'll start with just a quick background and an overview on Pacific as a firm that will help kind of segue into how we look at the world and and how we think about opportunity sets within the, the M&A environment and, and you know, just raising our first fund here. So, so Pacific Avenue was founded uh about seven years ago. Now, our founder, Chris Sznewajs um came out of The Gores Group. We have two other partners, uh Jason Lee, who came out of Platinum Equity and Sun Capital and, and James Oh who joined us recently, uh who came out of Transom and worked at uh Gores with uh with Chris. So, you know, we were founded on the premise that a lot of the, you know, firms that we, we all came from, you know, have moved up market uh when, when they look at these corporate divestiture and carve out opportunities and, and there's sort of a, a void or a hole for people with experience and, and credibility and understanding how to navigate these sorts of transactions in, in the lower middle market. So, you know, we were very successful as a pre fund firm. We, we did a number of transactions, you know, four different carve outs here and, and, and a few and one found a roll up opportunity prior to raising our first uh institutional capital pool and we did that successfully last year.
So in, in, in 2023 our, our fund closed officially uh just over 500 million and, and we, we raised the capital to really specialize in, in a few types of transactions. So the first being, corporate divestiture is certainly our, our number one bucket. Um and then businesses with unnatural ownership and, and what that means to us is, is carve outs are, are obviously somewhat self explanatory and, and, and we're buying businesses from, from larger organizations and, and uh fixing them operationally uh to, to end up returning capital to our investors. And we, we specialize in, in a number of categories, but we're, we're generalist um overall from an industry threshold and perspective. So we, we love industrials, um you know, business services, healthcare, consumer tech, broadly defined to name some of the larger sectors. But we're really, we're really more transaction focused than we are subsector experts. So we like deals and, and sit that we think we can be good partners for the Corporates in, in separating these businesses with our, our senior team. We, we've done over uh over 40 carve outs as, as a senior team here. So there are very few things that we haven't seen from transaction dynamic perspectives. And we, when we raise our first fund, we, we have two platforms already closed in the fund. One is a uh chemicals carve out that we bought from TotalEnergies uh that close uh in ’23 and we bought uh an ingredient processor from SunOpta uh as well in the, in the food and beverage space. So, uh we're based in, in Los Angeles. So most of the team sits there. We have a few folks that one sits in, in Dallas and two in Florida. But the, the majority of the team sits out of the L A office and uh we are growing very fast to keep up with uh internal demand and expectations on, on our side.
Brian: Thanks Chris for that. That's great to hear. And congrats on all the success you guys have had. Uh there, it's been, you know, it's been fun to watch you guys really grow. So, you know, with that being said, you know, what were some bright spots or specific trends that kind of excites you going into this year in 2024?
Chris: Yeah, absolutely. And, and I'll, I'll, I'll address the challenges question as well. And I know we, we got to that at the end there. But, you know, I think in, in ’23 some of the challenges we face were similar to most funds that are looking to deploy capital is, is navigating a, a difficult financing market to get transactions closed. Um You know, we found that uh timeline to get deals closed was taking much longer than in previous years. And, and we tend to focus in a lot of complex and, and challenged uh corporate carve out situations that have, have a ton of moving pieces and, and they tend to, to take longer than, than they used to. You know, for, for us, you know, one of the challenges we didn't have was, was overall deal flow. You know, the market was, was down certainly across the board. And I think it obviously is relative to the types of transactions, each firm uh is independently looking at from either a sponsor back transaction perspective or um something like us where we spend more time in, in corporate carve outs. But we were actually up just over 30% in, in do year, over year uh compared to ’22. So we had, we had a good, good volume of opportunities on a regular basis.
Brian: Wow, that's great.
Chris: Yeah, it was. And I think that, you know, the market shifted, you know, towards us for sure. Uh the complexity in the, in the financing markets obviously kept a lot of, you know, normal regular way, private equity backed transactions on, on the sidelines that, you know, certainly as we'll get to, I think we see an expectation to pick up in ’24. But for us, you know, that led to a lot of complex situations and, and we find that, you know, the carve out market itself, it, it doesn't, it doesn't ebb and flow from a volume perspective as, as much as, as some other categories, but it shifts more from an industry perspective. So, you know, in certain years, we'll see a ton of auto or chemicals or packaging type transactions. And then a year later, we'll see, you know, food and bev and, and oil and gas services and it seems to, to flow more from an industry threshold than it does uh a specific volume or, or ebb and flow based on the the market dynamics. But, you know, we, we think um for ’24 that, that there's a lot of bright spots.
So as mentioned, you know, we raised a new fund. Um so we have plenty of available capital to put into, to new transaction opportunities that we're very excited about. And we're two deals into the fund already. You know, we also have a large co-invest program with our LPs and, and what that allows us to do and when we raise the fund is target, a larger and more sizable transactions and that may be perceived that we can, can complete out out of a $500 million fund. So we punch above our weight, I think from a sourcing perspective and we like deals that are, you know, large and complex from a general thesis and scale is, is really important to us when we look at the, the new set of opportunities that we can go target. Uh you know, how do we, how do we build this? So we, we built this strategically from a sourcing model perspective. So we, we have what we call a dual source coverage model internally Pacific. And what that means to us is we cover the uh corporations directly from a carve out perspective. And also the, you know, all the advisors, the middle market advisors, the bulge brackets and down to the boutique boutique advisors as well. So, you know, in a perfect world. We have uh relationships with one or one or the other party that allow us not to miss a transaction. So, you know, we cover over 2000 public companies. Um We split our business development team up amongst sectors. So we have one individual. Uh Drew Nicoletti who's covering the industrial sphere for us. We another one named Eugene Kim who covers health care, business services, tech and consumer and, and they are regularly reaching out and building relationships um with these corporate heads of M&A, heads of corporate development, the right folks internally that are making these decisions and, and creating these buyers list and, and well, the goal of that, excuse me, the goal of that is to be uh become a trusted partner for these corporate corporations and, and, and understand with credibility that we have to navigate these sorts of complex transactions and, and ultimately, you know, we are introduced to the, the advisors that they choose. And so it, it's, it allows us to have either uh one sided coverage or dual sided coverage. In perfect world you know, we, we talk to a large corporation and they're gonna choose Goldman Sachs as their advisor, for example. And you know, we, we are covered on the golden side and we are covered on the corporate side and uh in, in a less perfect world we're covered on one of them and we don't miss the opportunity set either way.
Brian: Chris, with that being said, with, with, you know, your firm's experience in corporate uh divestitures and, you know, your, your area focused on that part. How do you view the corporate divestiture, you know, market coming for this year?
Chris: Yeah, I think we expect it to be pretty strong, you know, we from the conversations we have, you know, I think there's a lot of activity that we expect to see uh from both both the advisory network and specifically from, from the Corporates and in thinking about strategic alternatives. So I think we expect it to be pretty strong, you know, we also expect that the private equity back assets in the market will, will increase dramatically right there, there were, there was a pretty big slowdown in that piece of, of the M&A uh cycle last year and going forward, we expect that that is going to be a big wave of opportunities. You know, we talked to all the advisers and most of them have extremely strong backlogs uh and are just waiting to hit go frankly for the right market conditions for new sets of opportunities. Uh And, and I think the third, the third way is we look at transactions is is unnatural ownership. So, you know, in, in that very much fits in, in a corporate situation where there's a non core nonstrategic business unit that is being carved out for, for a variety of reasons. But it also fits into, um, a founder own business that is in transition and, and maybe there's no succession plan uh in that organization. And they, they look for uh a private equity partner that can help, uh, take them to the next level. Maybe they haven't had any institutional capital invested in the business before it, it could be a, private equity backed business that sits in a, in a prior fund or maybe even two or three funds ago. And, and there's sort of a need to move on from the asset. I think we'll see a little bit of that in ’24 with, with the fundraising dynamics of, of LPs obviously looking to get to get capital returned. I think uh sponsors will, will certainly need to sell businesses that they may have held on to longer uh in, in normal, normal course. But, you know, maybe they are looking at a new fundraise and they need to return capital um to do so. So I think we'll see more of those kind of must be sold, dynamic transactions and then there's, there's other situations where uh the lenders may have taken over the business and it may not be a broken business per se, but it's certainly one that has operational complexity and an unnatural current owner. So we, we look at those as well and I think that's a bigger piece of what we'll see in ’24 but we, we generally expect the market to be pretty active for, for Pacific Avenue.
Brian: Thanks. That's excellent background on, on that. And you, you touched on a little bit of this Chris, but could you just kind of give a overview of the market with what you saw in 2023 and kind of what your challenges were and kinda, you know, even those challenges, how you were able to also find opportunities in 2023?
Chris: Yeah, of course, you know, I think for, for, for us 2023 was a, was a good year. Um You know, we raised our debut fund, which is, is a big accomplishment. It's tough financing environment uh has been, you know, publicly documented. It's challenging to get that over the finish line. So we were able to have very good success with that, which is, is a testament to, to the team here. You know, I think from a, from a new platform perspective, you know, we completed one new platform which was a cross border divestiture of a very complex carve out from TotalEnergies. Uh There's three different product lines basically where we had to insert some, some management as part of the transaction and it was, it was extremely complicated. So getting that one over the finish line is, is a good testament to our team and our ability to, to succeed and, and actually transact in in those types of situations. For where we see opportunities and we were able to find them, you know, I, I touched on it a little bit but our, our model is, is dual, dual covered. But, you know, I think we, we inherit, we specifically spend a lot of time with the, the larger uh bolt bracket advisors and, and, and what we find and it's a fair question to say, you know, we are a $500 million fund. How much overlap is there with the, you know, the Goldman Sachs and the JP Morgan of the world. Uh You know, I think that there's quite a bit actually and, and what we find is, you know, those those advisors will, will regularly take on these, you know, larger revenue scale but more complicated corporate divestiture and carve out transactions. And, you know, that allows for an interesting um deal dynamic for a firm like us because generally they're, they're probably smaller processes than some and you know, that they are looking for a buyer who has credibility and can navigate a carve out and, and has proven the track record of doing so. So, you know, we spend a lot of time building relationships with, with the industry advisor, specifically industry coverage uh along with sponsor coverage at these larger banks because, you know, they tend to be smaller processes and, and knowing them personally um across the sectors that we like to play and allows us to get access to some of those opportunities that may be harder to navigate in, in other form. And I think that that's also true of, of the carve out uh and corporate relationship directly. We find that we get unique access to smaller, more bespoke deal processes. Uh Or maybe it's a, it's a boutique advisor that uh spun out of a big bank and, and they have a relationship so that they, they win that mandate. So we, we find a lot of success in that model. And as as mentioned, we were, you know, up just over 30% on deal for a year, over year. So we, we navigated the, the, the markets in ’23 fairly well from, from a sourcing model, but it's, it's still tough and, and look, we, we have a long way to go from a sourcing perspective, but we, we're starting to make headway in the relationships on, on both fronts.
Brian: That's great to hear, you know, with that being said, I know a lot of these, the investment banks uh have this backlog that almost goes back to last September of 2023. But you know, what are your expectations in this year for 2024? And do you think that there'll be an uptick in deal activity this year?
Chris: We, we do. And, and I agree, we, we hear that as well that the, the backlogs are extremely strong and that these, these things will come to market. Uh You know, I think we expected January to be a little busier than we found it to be in 2024. You know, I think there's a few of the big conferences and events early in the year that, you know, you have ICR and JP Morgan Health and, and, and Holiday as well. So, you know, we figured the back half of January was when the, the inboxes would start to flood with new opportunities and, and we've definitely seen our fair share, but I don't think we've seen that big wave that I think we expect to uh coming into the New Year. So my guess is it'll be pushed later into, uh you know, February and March and, but we, we feel there's going to be a strong activity level for, for M&A and deal flow overall in, in ’24. Uh And we, we think a lot of that will be driven by private equity backed assets, as mentioned earlier on, you know, sort of the need to sell, um need to return capital and need to raise capital. So I think we'll, we'll get a lot of those opportunities and, and that's fine for us because they can fit in that unnatural ownership bucket as, as we talked about. But I think we'll continue to see uh a heavy load of, of both sets of opportunities in ’24.
Brian: And when this activity picks up this year, what sectors do you think will be busier than others in, in this coming year?
Chris: Yeah, it's a great question, Brian. I it's difficult to say from a, a carve out perspective, you know, where to predict activity. You know, you can look at which sectors may be more challenged that may create carve out opportunities for Corporates to clean up um or reorganize their, their, their portfolio. Uh But I think the way we look at it is when we, when we circle back on, on ’23 and we look at where our our sourcing activity came from. You know, we have a few sectors of, of focus going into ’24 that we're excited to spend more time in. So industrial is, is a very big sector for, for us at Pacific, you know, represented nearly 50% of all deal flow that we we sourced last year. So I think there are, you know, a few sectors, health care, business services and, and broadly tech are our focus areas for us in addition to consumers. So we, we brought on a new partner, he joined us uh a few months back and his name is James Oh and he has a, a big consumer background from, from his prior firm. So, you know, we, we are gonna spend more and more time there than, than we did previously. And we're looking at several opportunities now that we're, we're fairly advanced on in that universe. So it, it's difficult to say exactly where it will come from. But I think our, our aim is to really focus in, in those sectors in addition to the industrial world uh to make sure we're, we're rounding out our, our, our level set of opportunity.
Brian: Yeah, you know, that makes sense. And you know, with the cost of capital, you know, are, are funds kind of resetting their investment uh strategies just given like the volume of M&A deal flow being down, you know, the last couple years?
Chris: So we, we are not, you know, it's been a tough environment, you know, as we, we started this off with the financing markets have created challenges to get transactions complete. You know, I think we, we certainly haven't reset our strategy. You know, we like businesses in transition and, and complex situations that we spend time on. But I think what it, what it does is it changes, you know, sort of valuation perspectives specifically in more cyclical and or challenging industries. So, you know, things that you, you may have looked at one way um are, are either more expensive or uh more uncertain in terms of navigating how you're gonna uh get that deal over the finish line from a financing and overall valuation perspective. So, you know, look, it's a really competitive market where we play and similar to most, we are, we're constantly adjusting, you know, our approach to, to find ways to, to win transactions. You know, one of the things we, we spent a lot of time recently doing is is linking up with uh buys site advisors in specific sectors that we may not have as much uh specific expertise. So, you know, we are at Pacific are, are, are really aiming to build the firm as um you know, a mutual partner to obviously the the companies we're buying, but also the advisors that we work with to uh to acquire businesses and and regularly engaging them on the buy side. So that when we look at a new asset that we may understand the carve out dynamics um expertly, well, you know, we may not understand the subsector uh dynamics as well. So we, we look to lean on them and, and partner with them and, and bring them alongside as an engaged uh advisor. And then we're also spending a lot of time building out and operating partner network and really leaning on those folks as well that we can uh tap in for, you know, potential CEO roles or, or board seats. But really help us navigate, you know, the, the market dynamics of a specific niche industry that, you know, we may not be as familiar with outside the, the, the carve out and the transaction dynamics. So, you know, we think overall that ’24 it's gonna be a pretty transformational year for Pacific and, and we're working on a number of transactions now that we're very close to getting announced. So we're hopeful that uh those will all come to fruition.
Brian: That's exciting. Congrats.
Chris: Yeah, thank you very much. Now, we're, we're, we built a really good team and we're continuing to invest in, in the team here at Pacific to grow and, and, and make sure we don't have any bandwidth concerns from an execution perspective. So, you know, we've really executed well on that, on that. And um you know, we're, we're continuing to look for folks that, you know, fit, fit the Pacific Avenue culture and, you know, want to be a part of a kind of a growing winning team.
Brian: And I know, you know, last year, there was kind of a gap between valuation expectations I mean, are you seeing valuations, have they reset? I'm just curious how you're seeing that.
Chris: Yeah, I think they've certainly reset from, you know, 18, 24 months ago. You know, I think the bigger challenge that we saw in, in ’23 was, you know, just the financing markets and, and, you know, what, and, and sustainability of EDITDA, right? I think that's the other point as businesses had had rebounded on the backside of COVID, obviously that was, you know, a number of years ago now, but as businesses have continued to perform, you know, some have have changed completely, some, you know, declined and, and some, it's really understanding, you know, what current sustainability of EBITDA looks like and, and how to navigate that for, for a go forward transaction.
Brian: You know, in, given the market that we're in, are you guys changing your target returns? I mean, I've talked to a number of sponsors where, and they told me kind of like the first time they're modeling in and they're forecasting lower returns just to provide some liquidity back to their LP. So I was just curious how, how you're viewing, you know, this current environment and if you're, if you're changing your target returns.
Chris: You know, we certainly haven't. Um You know, we're a young fund in, in, in our uh in our cycle right now, you know, we raised it last year, it closed. So, you know, we're pretty focused on, on the strategy that we have that, that we raised the capital with and, and, and looking at these carve outs and, and divestitures and unlocking value as part of our operational thesis. So we, we certainly haven't, but obviously, we're, we're a different place than some, you know, we're, we're a new fund and, and, and recently raised. So can, can understand, you know, if we weren't that, that could be the case, but for us, we, we certainly haven't.
Brian: Thanks. That's, that's great to hear. Well, Chris, that's all the questions that I had. And thank you so much for our podcast with Dealmaker Insights. We wish you and Pacific Avenue all the success in 2024. And thanks again for your time here.
Chris: Yeah. Thank you very much, Brian. Appreciate you having having me on and, and it was great to, to discuss with you and share a little bit about Pacific and, and how we see the world and, and we look forward to 2024 with you guys.
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Partner LiLing Poh and associate Aimee Khuong discuss best practices for early-stage companies in maintaining legal housekeeping to better prepare them for future rounds of financings; the overall diligence process and what companies and investors should expect; issues that typically arise during the diligence process based on our experience representing both company-side and investor-side; and next steps to keep in mind once a term sheet is finalized.
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