Deconstruct

As distress descends on commercial real estate, Deconstruct analyzes how past financial crises can inform how borrowers, banks and policy makers handle this down cycle. Guests include: Bob Knakal, JLL Senior Managing Director, Head of New York Private Capital Group; and Sam Chandan, Professor of Finance and Director of the Chao-Hon Chen Institute for Global Real Estate Finance at the New York University Stern School of Business.

Let's talk about last week. The Real Deal’s Deconstruct explains the catalysts behind the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last week and the lasting impact on regional banks, real estate lending and the Fed’s next steps.

Credits: CNBC, ABC News, NBC News, CBS, CNN, Forbes

Brookfield has defaulted on $784 million worth of loans connected to office towers in Los Angeles. Starwood foreclosed on the completely vacant Broadway Trade Center. A deal to sell a 40-story tower has been delayed for the 10th time. So what is going on with Downtown L.A.‘s office market? Deconstruct chats with Michael Soto, a research director at Savills, about the pain we’re seeing across the city’s center and how we ended up here.

Credits: CNBC

For the past year, public real estate investment trusts that own or manage office buildings, hotels and multifamily have traded at steep discounts as investors feared rising rates would take a whack to profits and property values. Amid that downturn, Ben Miller, CEO of investment platform Fundrise, has set his sights to credit. Tune in for the lowdown on why Miller sees opportunity in debt and which asset classes he’s eyeing once equities markets recover.

What goes up must come down, right? That’s one of the myths that has followed the Sun Belt’s multifamily market for decades, says Real Page Chief Economist Jay Parsons. It’s the idea of a boom and bust cycle, wherein strong periods of investment give way to supply levels that overserve demand. In practice, though, the Sun Belt has proved itself a market as or more resilient than many coastal cities. Here’s the rundown on why 2023 will likely be no different.

Michael Shvo doesn't care about how other people's office buildings are doing, just his own. He also thinks it's time for some of New York's office buildings to be demolished and rebuilt. TRD's Deconstruct sat down with the luxury developer to discuss the capital he deployed during the pandemic, why he's bullish on the office market in New York and San Francisco, and how he's taking advantage of a lack of office space in Miami Beach.

From LA to D.C., tenant protections have emerged as the policy du jour after two years of rising rents cemented affordaiblity as a headline issue. Los Angeles has rolled out a patchwork of renter-friendly policies; the White House made a push for better regulation of the rental market and six states are eyeing reforms that would allow cities to instate their own versions of rent control. So what’s the rub? Economists say capping rents is the best way to kill affordability. Deconstruct has the break down and also looks at the top news of last week.

Guest: National Multifamily Housing Council President Sharon Wilson Geno

Credits: a16z, Fox Business, KABC-AM, Democracy Now, KCAL News, KTLA 5

Last week, the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the eighth time in less than a year, sending benchmark rates to their highest level since 2007. For a mortgage market that has seized in the wake of higher financing costs, another rate hike would seem to be bad news. But Nadia Evangelou, senior economist at the National Association of Realtors, says the slowing pace of hikes could offer markets the type of certainty that could revive mortgage demand.

Twitter has stopped paying its rent, auctioned off furniture and let go half of its employees. None of that is helping Shorenstein and JPMorgan refinance a $400 million loan on the company’s San Francisco headquarters. Deconstruct chats with TRD reporter Emily Landes about Twitter's fights at the building and how it's emblematic of the larger impact of tech's shakeup on the San Francisco Office Market.

Times Square hotels are headed to bankruptcy. Investors are clawing at distressed properties in Chicago. High interest rates are making it harder for investors to transact. And in California, more supply is coming offline, as developers look to hotels for adaptive reuse projects. Deconstruct chats with Atlas Hospitality Group president Alan Reay about the looming distress across the hotel industry, but where investors are finding pockets of hope.