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How do we live well in a world we can't predict?
This episode explores The Art of Uncertainty, a timely and thought-provoking new book by statistician David Spiegelhalter. From chance encounters to global crises, uncertainty shapes every part of our lives — yet we often struggle to deal with it.
Through stories, science, and Spiegelhalter’s trademark clarity, we unpack how risk works, why our brains misjudge probability, and how to make better choices in the face of the unknown. Tune in to gain practical tools — and a calmer mindset — for navigating life’s unpredictability.
📘 Book featured:
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Live Well through the Unknown
Author: David Spiegelhalter
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Publication Date: March 4, 2025
Language: English | Pages: 336 | ISBN-10: 1324106115
我们能否在无法预测的世界中,活得更从容?
本期节目聚焦统计学家 David Spiegelhalter 的新作《The Art of Uncertainty》,从“偶然”到“风险”,从生活琐事到全球危机,不确定性无处不在,我们却往往无从应对。
透过科学分析与现实故事,我们一起探讨:为何人类对概率的直觉常常出错?如何在面对未知时,做出更明智的决策?
这是一场关于清醒判断力、心理韧性与“放下控制”的对话,带你更坦然地走入不确定的每一天。
📘 本期图书介绍:
《The Art of Uncertainty: How to Live Well through the Unknown》
作者:David Spiegelhalter
出版社:W. W. Norton & Company
出版时间:2024 年3 月 4 日
语言:英文|页数:336|ISBN:1324106115
As AI accelerates, are we actually becoming happier?
To mark the 10th anniversary of Sapiens, we revisit Yuval Noah Harari’s modern classic — now updated for 2025 — and ask what history can teach us about today’s technological future.
From the agricultural revolution to artificial intelligence, we trace key turning points that shaped the human story. What have we gained, what have we lost, and where might we be heading? This episode offers deep reflection on human evolution, the nature of happiness, and the cost of progress in the age of AI.
📘 Book featured:
Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind (Tenth Anniversary Edition)
Author: Yuval Noah Harari
Publisher: Harper
Publication Date: February 4, 2025
Language: English | Pages: 464 | ISBN-10: 0063422018
科技日新月异,我们真的更快乐了吗?
本期节目聚焦 Yuval Noah Harari 的《人类简史》十周年纪念版(2025),重新回望影响人类进程的关键转折点,从农业革命到 AI 崛起,我们试图回答一个关乎未来的问题:
技术的进步,是否也带来了幸福的提升?
穿梭在人类演化的历史长河中,我们不仅审视过去,更反思正在发生的科技浪潮。本期将带来深度启发,关于人类选择、社会发展与“幸福”的本质。
📘 本期图书介绍:
《Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind(十周年纪念版)》
作者:Yuval Noah Harari
出版社:Harper
出版时间:2025 年2 月 4 日
语言:英文|页数:464|ISBN:0063422018
Is managing money really about math — or something far more human?
In this episode, we explore The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel, a modern classic on why we think, feel, and act the way we do with money.
Through stories and surprising insights, Housel shows how behavior, luck, ego, and emotion often matter more than spreadsheets and strategy. This is not just a book about wealth — it’s about contentment, patience, and the deeply personal nature of financial decisions.
Tune in for a fresh perspective on money that just might change how you save, spend, and think about success.
📘 Book featured:
The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness
Author: Morgan Housel
Publisher: Harriman House
Publication Date: September 8, 2020
Language: English | Pages: 256 | ISBN-10: 0857197681
我们在面对金钱时,真的理性吗?
本期节目聚焦 Morgan Housel 的畅销书《金钱心理学》(The Psychology of Money),带你理解一个常被忽略的事实:
财务决策,往往不是关于数字,而是关于人性。
从行为习惯到运气、偏见与情绪,这本书用一个个真实故事揭示了财富背后那些不那么理性的动因。它不仅关乎“怎么赚钱”,更关乎如何满足、如何延迟欲望、如何做出让自己安心的选择。
如果你希望建立与金钱更清晰、更健康的关系,这期节目值得一听。
📘 本期图书介绍:
《The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness》
作者:Morgan Housel
出版社:Harriman House
出版时间:2020 年9 月 8 日
语言:英文|页数:256|ISBN:0857197681
This episode unpacks highlights from the 2025 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting — alongside reflections from Buffett and Munger Unscripted, the newly released compilation of their candid conversations.
We dive into timeless investing principles, Greg Abel’s role as successor, Ajit Jain’s take on AI and risk, and unexpected moments with Tim Cook. Whether you're a seasoned investor or curious observer, this is a rare window into the minds shaping capital, legacy, and decision-making in a changing world.
📘 Books & Sources featured:
Author: Alex W. Morris
Publisher: Harriman House
Publication Date: January 21, 2025
Language: English | Pages: 480 | ISBN-10: 1804090670
2025 年,我们还能从巴菲特与芒格学到什么?
本期节目聚焦 Berkshire Hathaway 2025 年股东大会 精华内容,结合全新出版的访谈集《Buffett and Munger Unscripted》,带你解锁投资界最重量级的年度现场。
我们将深入讨论:Greg Abel 的接班人角色、Ajit Jain 如何看待 AI 与风险、Tim Cook 的惊喜亮相,以及巴菲特与芒格如何在 90 多岁依然用“简单而深刻”的语言诠释长期主义。
这是一次关于资本、传承与不确定时代决策智慧的深度对话。
📘 本期资料来源:
作者:Alex W. Morris
出版社:Harriman House
出版时间:2025 年1 月 21 日
语言:英文|页数:480|ISBN:1804090670
Struggling with sleep despite getting enough hours? Deep into Olivia Walch's "Sleep Groove" and unlock the power of your circadian rhythms. Learn how light and timing impact your sleep, discover practical tips to optimize your body clock, and finally achieve restful nights and energized days!
是否总觉得睡眠不足,效率低下?本期讨论 Olivia Walch 的《Sleep Groove》,揭示身体节律的奥秘。你将了解光照、时间对睡眠的影响,掌握调整生物钟的实用技巧,告别睡眠困扰,焕发活力!
Is technology leading us astray from our values? This Deep Dive explores Alexander Karp's "The Technological Republic," examining tech, values, and our shared future. Listeners will gain insights on tech giants' power, evolving national identity, and rebuilding a more humane tech-driven society.
科技正在重塑我们的社会,但我们是否迷失了方向?本期解读Alexander Karp的《The Technological Republic》,探讨科技、价值观与共同未来。听众将洞悉科技巨头的权力、国家认同的演变,以及如何重建更人性化的技术社会。
Feeling overwhelmed by rapid AI changes? Explore Nvidia's rise with "The Thinking Machine" by Stephen Witt. Gain insights into tech giants, reflect on ethics, and understand AI's impact.
如何在快速变化的世界保持领先? 本期解读 Stephen Witt 的《The Thinking Machine》,讲述英伟达如何重塑 AI 格局。 洞悉科技巨头的成长之路,反思技术伦理与人类未来。
Do your conversations often lead to conflict instead of connection? Explore Jefferson Fisher's "The Next Conversation" and discover how to communicate effectively. Learn to control emotions, set boundaries, and express yourself confidently. Improve relationships and enhance your life.
是否觉得沟通总是无效,甚至引发冲突?本期解读 Jefferson Fisher 的《The Next Conversation》,教你掌握高效沟通的技巧,建立更深层次的连接。学习控制情绪、设定边界、自信表达,改善人际关系,提升生活品质。
Uncover Bill Gates's success secrets! This podcast dives into his biography, "Source Code," revealing how childhood, Harvard, and stories with grandmother Gal shaped his ambition and resilience. We explore coding genius, family influence, early ventures, and his legendary partnership with Paul Allen, leading to the PC revolution. Challenge your view of this tech titan!
揭秘比尔·盖茨成功密码!本期播客深潜其传记《Source Code》,从童年、哈佛到与外婆Gal的趣事,看其如何塑造雄心与韧性。聚焦编程天赋、家庭影响、早期创业及与Paul Allen的传奇合作,直至个人电脑革命。颠覆你对科技巨头的认知!
Drowning in info? This episode unpacks Tiny Experiments by Anne Laure Le Cunff, ditching rigid goals for dynamic "growth loops." Learn to embrace curiosity, build a generative life, and find impact in small actions, inspired by figures like Emilia Earhart. Listen now!
信息过载?本期解读 Anne Laure Le Cunff 的 Tiny Experiments,抛弃僵化目标,拥抱动态 “growth loops”。学习培养好奇心,创造精彩人生,并从 Emilia Earhart 等人物身上汲取灵感,从微小行动中产生影响。立即收听吧!
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