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NBA PhD 02/05 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Okongwu, Maxey, Cam Thomas
more: Doncic, Fernando, Kleber, Plumlee
$200 on table max
new rules:
max 3/4 Sac Wings (Huerter, Murray, Monk, Barnes)
old rules:
max 1 LAC C (Plumlee / Theis fork assuming Zubac out)
max 2/3 NO Big 3
Not doing a Fernando / Okongwu fork, could both hit w Fernando so cheap
NBA PhD 02/04 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Jemison, Hurt, Giannis
more: Gilyard, Tosan, Roddy, Shai, GG
$200 on table max (who knows optimal w memphis value...)
new single use rule:
Roddy / GG close in blowout (not sure who)
NBA PhD 02/03 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Doncic, Richaun, Miles McBride
more: Vuc, DeRozan, Kuminga, Monk, Hartenstein
$500 on table max
no rules rn
NBA PhD 02/02 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Wemby, Ingram, McCollum (assuming Zion out)
more: Dort, Trey Murphy, Kuminga, Aldama
$200 on table max
"Present at shootaround" != "Participated in shootaround"
Late News Slate, or a low scoring slate probably
NBA PhD 02/01 MME with DFS_PhD
core: GG Jackson, Brunson, Tobias
more: Roddy, Reed, Bamba, Collins, Tillman, Sexton
$500 on table ok on short slate
Assuming Aldama out on midday downgrade
Reed / Bamba fork
NBA PhD 01/31 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Deandre, Hardy, Aaron Gordon
more: Jamal, Jabari Smith Jr, Kawhi, Hardaway
$200 on table prob (although tons of value... more may be alright like last night!)
max 2/3 NO stars
max 2/3 LAC stars
max 2/3 Phx stars
max 2/3 Min bigs
NBA PhD 01/30 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Divincenzo, Hart, Russell
more: Ayo, Kuminga, Grimes, Scottie B
$300-400 on table ok
no rules unless Poeltl out
then Jontay / Thad fork in effect
NBA PhD 01/29 MME with DFS_PhD
core: Doncic, Grimes, Richards
more: Plumlee, Theis, Watson, Miller
$200 max on table ($100 even maybe)
rules:
max 2/3 stars for Phx, NOP
max 2/3 Min Bigs
Plumlee / Theis fork
Hartenstein / Precious fork (both overpriced didn't matter)
don't need LAC stars rule again until PG off restriction
The Showdown Show Championship Sunday Night Det / SF 01/28
Optimal Salary: $47.5k-49.6k
half w no restriction on geomeanown, half w geomeanown < 19
(not much good value)
CPTs to Win: Montgomery, Gibbs, Reynolds
Leverage: light McCaffery fade, lean weird captains in single digit ownership
NFL Conference Championship Round Special 01/27 with DFS_PhD
Core: McCaffery, ASB, David Montgomery
Salary: $200-$800 on table
Rules: Max 1 Det RB
Max 1 KC WR2-3
Leverage: MVS, Hardman, Richie James, Jennings
I am ignoring weather right now, but that game does feel slower anyway, leaving Vegas projections.
Why are 25% of you playing Noah Gray????
From the publisher's feed
bonedog84 is hot right now. He won the ToC ticket for Game 1 of the Finals in the Game 2 tiebreak. He's up 60% every year for five on satellites. And now he's bringing his strategy to you, with the DFS_PhD show. Listen to him analytically break down the day's slate, offer player prop game takes, and, of course, tilt / celebrate.
The show focuses on bringing positivity and numerical analysis at the same time, starting with the MLB summer season, where we will have plenty of data. Everyone gets unlucky and lucky, but we can be ready to make the most of long term expected value plays we make every night, thousands of times per year.
Remember, you're good enough, you're strong enough, and gosh darnit, somebody's gotta win that money. Might as well be us.
on discord!