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NFL Short Slate Xmas Special with DFS_PhD
Core: Hurts, Likely, McCaffery
Salary: up to $400 probably optimal (geomeanown limit of 29 if you want, prob overkill)
Rules: Max 1 Phi RB
Gainwell's share has been 40% for multiple weeks, and he has gone 61 catches without a TD... that's a lot
NFL Main Slate Week 16 #DraftKings MillyMaker MME with DFS_PhD
Core: Engram, TBD on news
$500 salary on table ok w so much value
Max 1 Mia RB
(don't need that rule for Detroit, wild)
PAY ATTENTION TO GB WR NEWS
IF Wicks and Reed both out: HEATH IS CORE, Doubs is very solid, and Bo Melton becomes acceptable GPP value
IF they are in, the remaining core is safer RBs like JT and Chuba
NFL Saturday Short Slate 12/23 with DFS_PhD
Core: Palmer, Cook, Higgins
$1k salary may be ok, not v tight pricing w Allen and Chase out
Rules (barely used): max 1 LAC WR3, max 1 Cin WR3
(unclear if Guyton / Erickson or Iosivas / Irwin)
NBA PhD 12/22, MME on #DraftKings
Core: Hardy, Eubanks, Lawson
Infinite value: Curry, Metu, even Grant Williams all v good
$300 salary max
Only one fork (don't need a Eubanks/Metu fork, both could hit):
Poeltl/Precious (foul trouble vs Embiid)
NBA PhD 12/21, MME on #DraftKings
Core (??): Kessler and Vince Williams Jr...
Hope more opens up
$500 salary max
Fun new slate type!
forking Zubac/Theis
Jalen Smith only played one stint... need to see more mins
The Showdown Show Thursday Night Football MME 12/21 on #DraftKings (LAR/NO) with DFS_PhD
Optimal Salary: $47.5k-49.5k
GeomeanOwn < 19 down to $45k, below there, no restriction
CPTs to Win: Tutu, DRob, Foster Moreau
All four NO TE's in play (max 2)
WHO will be the LAR WR3???
Most important Q of the slate
NBA PhD 12/20, MME on #DraftKings
No Core Players (over 50%)
$100-200 salary max
max 2/3 Clippers stars
max 2/3 Minnesota bigs
forking: Poeltl/Precious, Zubac/Theis
Jalen Smith megachalk first game back from injury??
NBA PhD 12/19, MME on #DraftKings
Core: Zach Collins and Sandro
$500 salary max (four games)
geomeanown limit overkill today prob
forking Eubanks / Nurkic
can play Sandro and Collins together bc of lack of value
NBA PhD 12/18, MME on #DraftKings
Core: Vince Williams, Bagley, Holmes
$200 salary max,
Couple new rules:
Max 2/3 LAC big 3 (buffing each to ~44-46)
Levert or Strus close (not sure depends who is avail)
A few good forks (w both in play):
Myles / Jackson
Zubac / Theis
The Showdown Show Monday Night Football MME 12/18 on #DraftKings (Phi/Sea) with DFS_PhD
Optimal Salary: $47k-49.6k (Assuming Hurts in and Geno out)
GeomeanOwn < 19 down to $45k, below there, no restriction
CPTs to Win: Philadelphia Eagles Players
Leverage: Any Seahawks heavy lineup
If Hurts is also out, it's the dang wild west, saddle up
From the publisher's feed
bonedog84 is hot right now. He won the ToC ticket for Game 1 of the Finals in the Game 2 tiebreak. He's up 60% every year for five on satellites. And now he's bringing his strategy to you, with the DFS_PhD show. Listen to him analytically break down the day's slate, offer player prop game takes, and, of course, tilt / celebrate.
The show focuses on bringing positivity and numerical analysis at the same time, starting with the MLB summer season, where we will have plenty of data. Everyone gets unlucky and lucky, but we can be ready to make the most of long term expected value plays we make every night, thousands of times per year.
Remember, you're good enough, you're strong enough, and gosh darnit, somebody's gotta win that money. Might as well be us.
on discord!