DFS_PhD DFS analysis show

NBA PhD 10/22 MME on DraftKings with DFS_PhD (Presented by PredictionStrike)

core: KAT, OG, Naz

more: Deuce, Donte, Kornet

leverage: play a backup Center! Don't play the starter too! Or do!

$200-$500 on table for most value on Classic (a bit more on SD prob)

rules below

2 min uniques ok (if trying to get conditions to fit)

Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good)

rules (reminder to boost all projection medians along w rules:

AD / Jaxson Hayes fork

Max 2/3 Minn bigs

KAT Sims fork

Horford Kornet fork

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NFL PhD 10/21 Manic Monday Slates on #DraftKings sponsored by PredictionStrike

Just watch the video today guys, too much to summarize the usual way. Cliff's Notes:

Jam Dobbins

Likely on too much Likely

Fading the King, Jamming the Passing Down Prince

White Return to glory?

Rules and Rhetorical Questions below

Is 55% owned Ladd McConkey appropriate?

Is Marvin Harrison Jr not the WR1 here?

How on Earth do you project Mandrews over Likely? (some sites are)

What happens if Baltimore is ever in a negative game script again?

Rules (all RB splits set at 50/50 medians):

Max 1 Bal TE (of 3)

Max 1 TB RB

Max 1 Bal RB (game script)

Recommending 0.5% bankroll if White in (on each component).

Would move to 1% on classic and early SD if White out prob.

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The DFS PhD Showdown Show: MNF10/14 Sponsored by PredictionStrike

Optimal Salary: $48-49.6k

To win ~$100k+: play Braelon and get lucky, late news?

CPTs to Win: pass catchers?

Leverage: fade Breece a lil

Rules: max 1/2 Braelon or Breece

Not a strong slate, unless we get news only recommending 0.5% bankroll

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The DFS PhD Showdown Show: MNF10/07 Sponsored by PredictionStrike

Optimal Salary: $48-49.8k

To win ~$100k+: take a stand on KC RB's (use rules!)

CPTs to Win: pass catchers, KC RBs

Leverage: cross out Mahomes CPT

Rules: max 1/3 KC RB (no idea)

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NFL PhD 09/30 Manic Monday Slates on #DraftKings sponsored by PredictionStrike

Just watch the video today guys, too much to summarize the usual way. Cliff's Notes:

Jam Achane

Rules and Rhetorical Questions below

Go crazy at Tight End:

Are you 10:1 sure Laporta outplays Brock Wright?

Who led Miami Tight Ends in snaps last week, and why are they 0.8% owned even on showdown?

Bad arms throw short routes, Tight End participation up 66% post Tua

Did we not all see Alec Ingold run all those routes btw? 1%?

Classic Rules (all RB splits set at 50/50 medians):

Max 1 Det RB

Max 1 Sea RB

Max 1 Tenn RB

Whyle or Chig

Laporta or Brock

Relying on SS for dupe control (their estimates got way better)

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The DFS PhD Showdown Show: TNF 09/26 Sponsored by PredictionStrike

Optimal Salary: $45k-49.8k (Slayton in), $40k-$49k (Slayton out)

To win ~$100k+: leave $1k (either way probably people don't play different enough on way different slates)

CPTs to Win: Slayton if in, Wandale if out. Nabers either way.

Leverage: cross out Dak CPT... 20 optimal%? Seriously? Have you watched him? Is he gonna rush for a TD? Throw for four?

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NFL PhD 09/23 Manic Monday Slates on #DraftKings sponsored by PredictionStrike

Just watch the video today guys, too much to summarize the usual way. Cliff's Notes:

Jam Workhorse RBs in classic

Play whatever WR suits your stack

Every lineup needs a gamescript, for both games

Consider your total classic and showdown exposures, keep a balanced portfolio

Play Eric All in SD, not classic, for instance

Relying on SS for dupe control (their estimates got way better)

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NFL PhD 09/22 Main Slate Week 3 Milly MME on #DraftKings sponsored by PredictionStrike

Buffs: Achane, Devonta Smith, Whittington, Likely

Nerfs: Tyreek Hill, Waddle, Cam Akers

Leverage: what if Dare Ogunbowale is paid more than Cam Akers and higher on the official depth chart on purpose?

Rules:

Max 1 Det RB

Max 1 Cle RB

Max 1 Hou RB

Likely or Andrews smash-case

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The DFS PhD Showdown Show: TNF is Gross Again 09/19 Sponsored by PredictionStrike

Optimal Salary: $49.3k-49.8k

To win ~$100k+: play a bad lineup, make a stand on a weird receiver, leave salary

CPTs to Win: Rhamondre, a random pass catcher

Leverage: zig where the field is zagging (use field lineups or your own build for contest sims?)

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The Showdown Show: MNF Milly 09/16 Sponsored by PredictionStrike

Optimal Salary: $45k-49.8k (Wilson in)

$40-$49k (Wilson out)

To win ~$100k+: geomeanown under 19, LEAVE $1k+ (Wilson in), $5k+ (Wilson out)

CPTs to Win: Philly WR2-3

Leverage: Philly WR Practice Squad Callups (Campbell? Phillips? Whoever it is, will get snaps and run routes esp if Wilson out or limited)

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