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We begin the day with celebrations and affirmations. If your process is good, luck will find you. Be ready to run in the sun and get your Haywood Highsmith jersey someday soon!
For the early slate:
Studs to stuff: Kelly, Scherzer, Berrios, Paxton
Pitching Leverage: Bibee, Peralta, Sevy
Stacks: Atlanta (ugh), Toronto, Cin
And the "main":
Pitchers: Lopez, Miller, Gray, Olson
Don't get cute, play the coors park stacks
Today's slate summary:
Studs to Stuff: Webb, Bassitt, Musgrove, Bieber
Pitching Leverage: Giolito, Bello
Stacks: LAA, Col, Tor, SD
We review the positive expected value plays from yesterday, a nice lineup from the big gpp, and then settle in to review of today's (EARLY) main slate. No real weather concerns yet but check Philadelphia and Washington around lock.
Studs to stuff: Snell and Nola
Leverage: Ryan, Elder, Allen
Top Stacks: SD, ATL, Was
Sneaky Stacks: Oak, Cle
Fading: Arizona / Washington bats
We review a few (not so big) hits from yesterday, hope you followed the sneaky stacks more than I did... they went off. For today's slate:
early studs: Gausman and Bradley
early leverage: Javier and Wells
early stacks: Cin, Col, Det
main studs: Castillo and Ohtani
main leverage: Whitlock and Kopech
main stacks: Tex, LAD
We do a couple of victory laps for satellite wins yesterday on a small slate, despite pitcher troubles, thanks to a number of our leverage bat plays coming through clutch (looking at you Tauchmann). For today's slate we zoom in on pitching matchups:
Studs to Stuff: Cole, Kershaw
Leverage for GPPs: Verlander, Cease, Eovaldi
Stud Stacks: Cin, STL, LAD
Leverage stacks: Boston, Colorado
We review a number of hits and positive expected value plays from Sunday before diving into the main slate. For today:
Studs to stuff: Burns and Paxton
GPP Edge: Brown and Kelly
Fading (lightly): Scherzer and Lopez
Stud stacks: Cin, Tex. (CHECK CINCINATTI WEATHER NEAR LOCK)
Leverage stacks: Bos, Hou, NYM
We review the slate from last night, and begin today's analysis with a review of the top unique players in the US Open showdown with $100k up top. Then we set into tonight's MLB slate, giving leans on pitchers and a 5-pick for MLB on PrizePicks. Pitching summary:
Studs to Stuff: Ryan and Darvish
GPP Edge: McClanahan, Kopech, Hill
Stack summary: great day to fade Atlanta (not a FULL fade on 150, but they are overowned).
First we take a look at the uniqueness results for the PGA Milly Maker, noting only three 150-maxers played 150 unique lineups. I had 16/21 uniques in the milly, and 130/150 in the $100k.
Then we take a look at the MLB slates. No real hot takes for the early slate. Keep an eye on WEATHER IN ATLANTA. Main slate takes:
Stud Pitchers to stuff: Ohtani, Gray, Javier
GPP Values: Eovaldi, Cease
Pitcher to Fade: Stroman
We examine pitchers we like for the 06/14 slates on DraftKings and review performance from yesterday.
Our hot streak continues... this time mostly in basketball, but also one MLB Showdown hit. We will do uniqueness analysis on that tournament tomorrow. Today's shark pitcher plays: Miller and Webb. Top Fade: Paxton.
From the publisher's feed
bonedog84 is hot right now. He won the ToC ticket for Game 1 of the Finals in the Game 2 tiebreak. He's up 60% every year for five on satellites. And now he's bringing his strategy to you, with the DFS_PhD show. Listen to him analytically break down the day's slate, offer player prop game takes, and, of course, tilt / celebrate.
The show focuses on bringing positivity and numerical analysis at the same time, starting with the MLB summer season, where we will have plenty of data. Everyone gets unlucky and lucky, but we can be ready to make the most of long term expected value plays we make every night, thousands of times per year.
Remember, you're good enough, you're strong enough, and gosh darnit, somebody's gotta win that money. Might as well be us.
on discord!