Over the past 9 weeks, the conflict with Iran, Israel, and the United States has gone from intense aerial bombardment and missile strikes to a tense standoff in the Strait of Hormuz, with both sides blocking passage of the other’s ships and exchanging intercepts of the occasional oil or cargo vessel attempting to slip through the lines. While the ongoing economic havoc this has caused is clear, from oil price rises to shortages of fertilizer, what is less clear are the long-term shifts in global alliances that have centered around the petro-states of the Gulf region. Tonight we are joined by Louis from the Eviction Notice podcast to give us his analysis - based on time spent in the Middle East as well as in the armed services - on how these trends are likely to reshape the geopolitical and military postures of the major players in the region.

-- Brought to you by --

Very special guest Louis

@LouisWordGenius

and cohost @doomernat22

Eviction Notice Podcast - https://www.youtube.com/@eviction_notice14

https://rumble.com/v79mjmi-eviction-notice-episode-47-drama-alert.html

with Nick Mason and Adam Smith

New: Hard Copies of Exit Strategy now Available! http://www.lulu.com/shop/adam-smith/exit-strategy/paperback/product-24191334.html

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-- References --

- ‘Nobody’s Spared From This Conflict’: Lebanon’s People Are In Survival Mode, Karanth (2026) - https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/nobodys-spared-conflict-lebanons-people-110018746.html

- U.S. intelligence says Iran can outlast Trump’s Hormuz blockade for months, Strobel, et. al. (2026) - https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/05/07/cia-intelligence-iran-trump-blockade-missiles/

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