Please open https://hotaudiobook.com ONLY on your standard browser Safari, Chrome, Microsoft or Firefox to download full audiobooks of your choice for free.
Title: Probable Tomorrows
Subtitle: How Science Will Transform Our Lives in the Next Twenty Years
Author: Marvin Cetron, Owen Davies
Narrator: C.M. Herbert
Format: Unabridged
Length: 10 hrs and 29 mins
Language: English
Release date: 12-16-99
Publisher: Blackstone Audio, Inc.
Ratings: 3.5 of 5 out of 24 votes
Genres: Nonfiction, Social Sciences
Publisher's Summary:
What will our world be like in the year 2010? Where will we work? How will we travel? What kind of advances can we expect in medicine and technology? Authors Marvin Cetron and Owen Davies answer these questions and many more. Probable Tomorrows offers a look into the near-future advances, inventions, products, services, and everyday conveniences that will change how people live and work.
©1997 by Marvin Cetron and Owen Davies; (P)1997 by Blackstone Audiobooks
Members Reviews:
Its The Technology, Stupid!
This book is about science and technology, with an emphasis and interest from my perspective on the technology.
Here are seven things I was drawn to that this book points out. First, new technologies arrive first in war. Second, the convergence of computers, telephones, and everything digital is taking place. Third, artificial intelligence makes possible analysis never before possible. Fourth, the availability of information through the Internet is coming with great ease. Fifth, attendance is increasing at meetings announced on the Internet. Sixth, regular, global communciation is happening on the Internet. Seventh, the discovery to delivery time is collapsing.
These seven statements came out in this book published three years ago, but probably written four years ago. How true are they today? Very true, but already way down the road in several of the areas. How much progress have we already made in some of these areas? A lot!
So, that makes the greatest current day value of this book to be one of understanding the rate and pace of change, and understanding the predictability or unpredictability of the future from a recent history perspective.
As a solid work on the future of science and technology, I commend this book as one to still read to understand the way we can continue to frame and anticipate the future through creative, cutting edge, futures research and in-depth thinking.
Driving blindfolded . . .
and taking directions from someone in the back seat looking out the back window. That's one definition of forecasting. Despite the hazards, the authors bravely predict what is going to happen with some very interesting developments in the business world.
Probable Tomorrows was interesting to read since it was written in 1997 and made some predictions for "today" that we can use as a benchmark for accuracy. And all in all, the predictions were good. The tables at the end of the book, and the timeline for changes can be used to help us see what we might need to do to update our company strategies (as outlined in a recent book e-Strategy).
Some of the topics discussed here were expanded upon in the futuristic book The Age of Spiritual Machines by Ray Kurzweil. Between these two books, a broad brush look at what we are in store for emerges and may indeed give us some hints on how to formulate business strategy to take us into the future. Overall, I would rate this book a 3 out of 5. It was well written and easy to read, but books that attempt to forecast the future are qickly dated.
Insightful!
Authors Marvin Cetron and Owen Davies examine anticipated trends in technology over the next 15 to 20 years. They categorize their studies under digital systems, the Internet, high-tech materials, nanotechnology, transportation, space, energy, medicine and environmental remediation.