Dubai Daily

Dubai Daily E19: Commercial Real Estate Surge


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Welcome to Dubai Daily, your essential morning briefing on Dubai's real estate market.

🎙️ EPISODE OVERVIEW
Analysis of Dubai's commercial real estate surge in 2025, covering office market performance (94%+ occupancy, DIFC 98%), retail sector growth, Dubai South logistics boom driven by Al Maktoum Airport expansion, and commercial vs residential investment comparison.

📊 KEY TOPICS COVERED
• Commercial transaction growth (+61.7% YoY October 2025, Q3 sales AED 30.38B +31% YoY)
• Office market performance (94%+ occupancy expected by end-2025, DIFC 98% occupancy, +45% YoY rent Q1 2025, avg AED 113/sqft, forecasted +10-12% growth in 2025)
• Prime office locations (DIFC financial hub, Business Bay 6-8% yields metro/DIFC proximity, Downtown Dubai 4.5-6% yields prestige location)
• Retail sector (Q3 transaction value AED 1.15B +95% QoQ +55% YoY, +6% growth forecast 2025-2027, mall retail and high street opportunities)
• Dubai South logistics boom (AED 128B Al Maktoum Airport expansion, +15-20% property values since 2024, 7-8% rental yields, +20% rental rates 2025, warehouse/logistics demand +38% Feb 2025)
• Commercial vs residential comparison (commercial: higher ROI >8%, yields 6-12% gross 8-12% net in prime, longer 3-5 year leases, higher risk, moderate-low liquidity; residential: 5-8% yields, lower risk, high liquidity, shorter 1-2 year leases)

💡 KEY TAKEAWAYS
• Commercial transactions surged +61.7% YoY (October 2025) with Q3 sales reaching AED 30.38B (+31% YoY)
• Office market reaching 94%+ occupancy by end-2025 with DIFC at 98%, rents up +45% YoY (Q1 2025)
• Prime office locations: DIFC (financial hub prestige), Business Bay (6-8% yields), Downtown (4.5-6% yields)
• Retail sector rebounding: Q3 transaction value AED 1.15B (+95% QoQ, +55% YoY) with +6% growth forecast 2025-2027
• Dubai South logistics driven by AED 128B airport expansion: +15-20% property values, 7-8% yields, +20% rental rates 2025

📈 DATA SOURCES
Dubai Land Department | CBRE | Property Monitor | Dubai South Authority | Commercial Market Reports | Q3 2025

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📞 CONTACT PARAG KUNDALWAL | CONSULTAA
Founder & CEO, Consultaa - Dubai Real Estate Consulting & Global Capital Advisory

🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paragkundalwal/
🌐 Website: https://consultaadxb.com
📧 Email: [email protected]
📱 Phone: +971 58 596 4631

Dubai Daily airs Monday to Friday at 7:00 AM Dubai time.
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Dubai DailyBy Parag Kundalwal